ECB Plans New Tool To Tackle Fragmentation Risk In Eurozone

RTTNews | 1224 ngày trước
ECB Plans New Tool To Tackle Fragmentation Risk In Eurozone

(RTTNews) - The European Central Bank said it will be flexible in reinvesting proceeds from the pandemic emergency bonds that are due to mature, and that it will create a new tool to address the fragmentation risk in the euro area after bond yields soared in the past few days, raising concerns of a debt crisis. The Governing Council held an unscheduled meeting on Wednesday to discuss the current market conditions. "The pandemic has left lasting vulnerabilities in the euro area economy which are indeed contributing to the uneven transmission of the normalisation of our monetary policy across jurisdictions," the ECB said in a statement. "Based on this assessment, the Governing Council decided that it will apply flexibility in reinvesting redemptions coming due in the PEPP portfolio, with a view to preserving the functioning of the monetary policy transmission mechanism, a precondition for the ECB to be able to deliver on its price stability mandate."

Further, the ECB said the Governing Council decided to mandate the relevant Eurosystem Committees together with the ECB services to accelerate the completion of the design of a new anti-fragmentation instrument for consideration by policymakers.

Less than a week ago, ECB President Christine Lagarde signaled that the bank was set to raise its key interest rates on July 21. That would be the first such move in 11 years. The Italian 10-year bond yield have been rising ever since, peaking at 4.2 percent on Tuesday, the highest level since early 2014. The yield eased to around 3.8 percent on Wednesday. The closely-watched spread between the Italian and German 10-year bonds yields, which reflects the financial stress in the euro currency bloc, eased to around 2.17 percentage points on Wednesday from a peak of 2.42 percentage points on Tuesday. "The fact that the ECB acted today ahead of a likely 75bp Fed hike is good news," market strategists at ING said. "Details on this new facility are still unknown but the mere fact that one is in the works is encouraging news to peripheral bond holders, and will likely slow the selling flow."

That said, PEPP reinvestments alone would be insufficient to cap sovereign spread widening in a global monetary tightening cycle, and the latest announcement is likely to have only modest implications for the euro, they added. Capital Economics expects spreads to resume their rising trend soon and to widen significantly further this year. The research firm also said the flexibility in PEPP reinvestments probably won't be enough to halt a major sell-off in peripheral bond markets and that ECB policymakers will remain slow to take decisive steps. "Our best guess is that its plan is to discuss the new fragmentation tool at the scheduled July policy meeting" Capital Economics said. "We wouldn't be surprised if, at that point, the Governing Council either fails to reach an agreement or announces only an underwhelming tool with limited firepower."

read more
Eurozone Industrial Production Declines

Eurozone Industrial Production Declines

Eurozone industrial production logged a monthly fall in August, reflecting the uncertainty surrounding the global trade environment. Industrial output dropped 1.2 percent month-on-month, in contrast to the 0.5 percent increase in July, Eurostat said Wednesday. However, the decline was less severe than the forecast of 1.6 percent.
RTTNews | 6 ngày trước
Euro Rises Amid Risk-on Mood

Euro Rises Amid Risk-on Mood

The euro strengthened against other major currencies in the European session on Wednesday, as European shares traded higher with French markets outperforming their regional peers, after LVMH, the owner of Louis Vuitton and Christian Dior, unexpectedly returned to sales growth in the third quarter.
RTTNews | 6 ngày trước
Euro Rises Against Majors

Euro Rises Against Majors

The euro strengthened against other major currencies in the European session on Wednesday.
RTTNews | 6 ngày trước
German Economic Sentiment Rises In October

German Economic Sentiment Rises In October

Germany economic sentiment rose moderately in October as investors still hope for an economic upturn, a monthly survey conducted by the think tank ZEW showed Tuesday. The economic confidence index rose to 39.3 in October from 37.3 in the previous month, though it fell short of the forecast of 41.2. However, assessment of the current situation continued to follow a negative trend.
RTTNews | 7 ngày trước
ECB Minutes Reveal Confident But Cautious Stance Amid High Uncertainty

ECB Minutes Reveal Confident But Cautious Stance Amid High Uncertainty

The European Central Bank policymakers felt no immediate pressure to adjust interest rates in September as risks to both inflation and growth were seen as balanced and the high uncertainty linked to trade policies also justified the stance as this would give more time to assess the real impact of tariffs on the economy, minutes of the September policy session showed on Thursday.
RTTNews | 11 ngày trước
German Exports Fall On Weak US Demand

German Exports Fall On Weak US Demand

Germany's exports declined for the second straight month in August as higher trade tariffs weighed on shipments to the United States, official data revealed Thursday. Exports dropped 0.5 percent in August from July, following a decline of 0.2 percent in July, Destatis said. The drop came in contrast to the expectations for an increase of 0.3 percent.
RTTNews | 12 ngày trước
German Industrial Output Falls Most Since Early 2022

German Industrial Output Falls Most Since Early 2022

Germany's industrial output registered its sharpest fall in more than three years in August due to the fall in auto production, fueling concerns about a potential recession. Industrial output fell 4.3 percent year-on-year in August, in contrast to the 1.3 percent increase in July, figures from Destatis showed on Wednesday. This was the biggest fall since March 2022.
RTTNews | 13 ngày trước
German Factory Orders Log Unexpected Decline

German Factory Orders Log Unexpected Decline

Germany's factory orders declined unexpectedly in August as the positive impetus from the frontloading of orders from the U.S. faded, official data revealed, adding woes to the struggling economy. Manufacturing orders decreased 0.8 percent on a monthly basis, following a 2.7 percent decrease in July, the statistical office Destatis reported Tuesday. This was in contrast to the anticipated increas
RTTNews | 14 ngày trước