arigoldman posted: I exited my position, too uncertain.
I agree. It's testing the resistance at 1.4490 - 1.4500, but today's Friday and the market will close later today. It could break above the resistance, but I'm not sure how good of an idea it is to open such a new position at this time.
It will likely return to 1.4070 - 1.4100 levels on Monday. No coming support for a rate hike from BOE, a hike from the Feds is still likely. All while you have brexit risk, with growing support. Telegraph poll about a week ago at 49% to leave - 47% to stay, all while leave was below 40 first half of 2015, and below 45 all of the remaing of the year, EU terrorism doesn't help the numbers.
The GBPUSD had a bearish momentum last week bottomed at 1.4057. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 1.4050. A clear break and daily close below that area could trigger further bearish pressure testing 1.3900 area. Immediate resistance is seen around 1.4200. A clear break and daily close above that area could trigger further bullish pressure testing 1.4300 – 1.4400 area. My major technical outlook remains neutral but as long as stays below 1.4200 I prefer a bearish scenario at this phase.