If the majority of traders that are represented in Myfxbook's community/outlook are trading in one direction, is that a good indicator that price will move that way? I'm looking to find out what the best way to utilize this data is.
Most of the traders in the community outlook are martingale. They open trades in the opposite direction of the trend and wait for price to return. It is best to trade in the opposite direction as the majority are doing. However, the outlook is NOT a timing tool. Wait for a trend to resume movement that is opposite the outlook data. I use the sentiment data available on dailyfx.com.
I have designed a trading system using community outlook as a reverse indicator. I have been live trading it for a month after four months on a demo account. If you use this community outlook as an indicator you are certainly on the right path but it is important to remember it requires discipline and tight stops
It is in fact possible to use it. I personally wait until it is above 93 percent going in a direction. I have alerts set. I then look to my charts and if it is a long sentiment I look for support about 50 to 100 pips or so below the current area. I have found that when more than 93 percent of folks are going in a direction the market rips in the opposite direction before then going in the direction of the consensus. This is done to stop out those folks and make the banks money. You can also wait for the rip, then ride it back in the right direction.
Just because many people are trading in one direction does not necessarily mean that they are right,. Maybe they are all headed in that direction because they are copying each other. Some are going to read this reply and then head the other direction. So what is what. That is all uo to you.Go in the direction you want to go.
You know, the point is that there are traders who trade against the trend and there are traders who trade against the trend. And both formats can be called working and efficient. The other question is that most of the traders from these two groups use different methods of market analysis, choose different timeframes and even differently insure themselves in the market.