crescendo (by crescendo) Einfache Statistik
Gewinn: +215.29%
Drawdown: 25.07%
Pips: 18127.7
Trades: 713
Gewonnen:
Verloren:
Typ: Real
Hebel: 1:500
Handel: Automatisiert

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crescendo Diskussion
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Siitari

Mitglied seit Jul 21, 2010  111 Beiträge Siitari Oct 04 2010 at 11:44
Well, for 16.24% average monthly profit you could take a 30% hit every 2 months and still _survive_ with the account tongue

Less effort, better results.
stevetrade

Mitglied seit Oct 28, 2009  1408 Beiträge Steve B (stevetrade) Oct 04 2010 at 11:54 (bearbeitet Oct 04 2010 at 11:54 )
Yes, but depending on where they fell in the trading cycle and whether you were compounding or not it might not be pretty.
If you suffered a 30% drawdown at the end of the two months you would be worse off than when you started if you were compounding.

In fact if you were compounding and managed to get through six months without any drawdown stop losses and you were then unfortunate enough to suffer two 30% drawdowns one closely followed by another - which is actually a lot more likely than getting them spaced apart from each other - you would only be 23% up on your account.

Which admittedly is still a lot better than some investments.

A third 30% drawdown at this stage would leave you down on the account overall.

11:15, restate my assumptions: 1. Mathematics is the language of nature. 2. Everything around us can be represented and understood through numbers. 3. If you graph these numbers, patterns emerge. Therefore: There are patterns everywhere in nature.
4xfreak

Mitglied seit Feb 26, 2010  21 Beiträge Dale (4xfreak) Oct 05 2010 at 02:25
Looking at the LIVE account since Feb (six month period) - No drawdown has been bigger that 5-6%. In the last week the profit has increased by $161.93 and the drawdown increase by $104.74 ( at this moment ) cool

...And what is the likelyhood of 3 Black Swans happening as you describe or even 2 for that matter?

The '4xFreak'

stevetrade

Mitglied seit Oct 28, 2009  1408 Beiträge Steve B (stevetrade) Oct 05 2010 at 08:01
Well two happened in May during the Greek banking crisis.

11:15, restate my assumptions: 1. Mathematics is the language of nature. 2. Everything around us can be represented and understood through numbers. 3. If you graph these numbers, patterns emerge. Therefore: There are patterns everywhere in nature.
Succe55

Mitglied seit Sep 29, 2010  40 Beiträge Graham Archer (Succe55) Oct 05 2010 at 23:22

stevetrade posted:
    Well two happened in May during the Greek banking crisis.



Hi Steve

It looks like May was the BEST perfoming Month for Crescendo???

Hmmmm smiley

stevetrade

Mitglied seit Oct 28, 2009  1408 Beiträge Steve B (stevetrade) Oct 06 2010 at 07:24
That might be because the Greek banking crisis mainly affected EurUsd

11:15, restate my assumptions: 1. Mathematics is the language of nature. 2. Everything around us can be represented and understood through numbers. 3. If you graph these numbers, patterns emerge. Therefore: There are patterns everywhere in nature.
nhtngn85

Mitglied seit Oct 07, 2010  2 Beiträge nhtngn85 Oct 07 2010 at 18:27 (bearbeitet Oct 07 2010 at 18:28 )
Steve Lol. Will u do some math or read some more books be4 u say something out. Lol. Read all ur comments make me laugh so hard.

crescendo

Mitglied seit Sep 11, 2010  1 Beiträge crescendo Oct 09 2010 at 16:00 (bearbeitet Oct 09 2010 at 16:01 )
stevetrade posted:
    That might be because the Greek banking crisis mainly affected EurUsd


GBPUSD and GBPJPY suffered a drop of more than 1000 pips.

Remember, everything affecting EURUSD usually also affects GBPUSD as well, and usually is amplified :) This is due to strong direct correlation between the two pairs (EURUSD and GBPUSD). Also, GBPUSd average daily range (the difference between the daily H and L in pips) is 20% greater than EURUSD. And GBPJPY as and ADR 40% greater than GBPUSD.

May was the best month THANKS to the higher volatility. Crescendo works best in that situations. And for the same reason August has been the worst.

Philbot44

Mitglied seit Feb 17, 2010  33 Beiträge Phil (Philbot44) Oct 10 2010 at 01:57
yes it likes high volitility, once you are in this mode you should modify the setting and get it to trade more frequently say 6 hours, then switch off when volitility slows down. Difficult to predict unless some one has any idea how we could see a trend of volitility and have a signal to tell us when its finished and ideas?



FXDF

Mitglied seit Jun 22, 2010  13 Beiträge FXDF Oct 10 2010 at 08:51
Hello Crescendo

Love your work Crescendo....Just a quick question, and that is why have'nt you adjusted your lot size and profit target as recommended in the manual once your account got to 15k.

Regards
FXDF

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EURUSD 1.19595 GBPUSD 1.33036
USDJPY 104.032 USDCAD 1.29846

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