psaTrading's Beiträge - Seite 19

Trading Journal in Neue Trader Jul 06, 2016 at 16:05

In England, three funds dedicated to the real estate market suspended the possibility of its subscribers to withdrawals. The surrounding European policy, marked by uncertainty in the United Kingdom, Spain, Austria and Italy had risks that apparently the financial markets were not considering in full. It was not noticeable if last week’s rise had been a technical reaction to the falls of the post-referendum days or mirrored one complacency of investors to the risks mentioned. The Brexit effects are not yet fully visible, but at this stage the referendum showed known issues, including the ...

Trading Journal in Neue Trader Jul 05, 2016 at 14:13

Wall Street investors will continue to monitor the developments in Europe but expectedly with the same detachment that demonstrated so far.

Trading Journal in Neue Trader Jul 04, 2016 at 16:35

Asian indices extended the end of the rally last week, despite the uncertainty generated by the inconclusive outcome of the elections in Australia. In fact, from the results of the polls, no party can form a stable government, coming up just a phase of negotiations. Rating agencies have warned that the political deadlock is prolonged, the financial rating of Australia (which is the highest in the three largest agencies) may be revised downwards.

Trading Journal in Neue Trader Jul 01, 2016 at 12:48

In the pre-opening, European indexes traded with some gains. Initially, investor sentiment will be influenced by the the words from the Governor of the Bank of England, Mark Carney, who said that this institution is ready “to take any action to support the economy.” These words were not a surprise but served to ensure investors’ expectations regarding the Central Bank stance. However, Standard & Poor’s reduced the rating of the European Union from “AA +” to “AA” with a stable outlook, due to the departure of the United Kingdom from the E...

Trading Journal in Neue Trader Jun 30, 2016 at 13:43

At the current moment all seek to know what is the extent of the recovery of European stock markets. In fact, there is a risk that this rally is taken advantage of by many fund managers to decrease their exposure to equity markets. The recent rally takes various characteristics of a climb framed in a downward medium term movement: the main buyers are hedge funds and short-term investors which are closing selling positions, the volume is not high and the sessions are particularly volatile. All these signs advise greater caution.

Trading Journal in Neue Trader Jun 29, 2016 at 10:43

The recovery triggered by the purchase of selling positions by hedge funds and other short-term investors, was also observed in the forex market and the pound reached gains of more than 1% against the dollar. However, this increase is still modest considering that the English currency had lost 13% since Thursday, a very sharp move to one of the major world currencies. The potential for recovery of the British Pound and therefore the equity markets is uncertain, given the uniqueness of the times we are experiencing. From a technical point of view and using the DAX as a sample for the European m...

Trading Journal in Neue Trader Jun 28, 2016 at 15:53

Asian markets closed with opposing tendencies. On one hand, the Japanese and Chinese stock exchanges ended with modest gains, but on the other, the indices of Hong Kong and Sidney finished lower again. Stocks in these two markets have a strong connection to British banks. In fact, institutions such as HSBC and Standard Chartered have high exposure to several Southeast Asian countries and Australia.

Trading Journal in Neue Trader Jun 27, 2016 at 12:16

After the result of the referendum in the United Kingdom, which finally ruled the exit of this country from the EU, investors, economic operators, policymakers are facing a scenario that until Thursday was purely hypothetical and that will have ramifications (many unpredictable) that will last for years. The closest scenario that was envisioned was an exit of Greece from the Euro zone, something that has been widely discussed but never realized. The biggest threat to the financial markets is uncertainty. Markets prefer a negative event to an event whose ramifications are uncertain. When a give...

Trading Journal in Neue Trader Jun 24, 2016 at 12:42

Four months of nervousness that dominated all the attention. Against expectations, the Brexit won and now will begin negotiations for farewell to the European Union. But the impact on markets was felt soon and experts are on the alert. Investment banks and asset managers are informing customers of the referendum effects on the economy and markets.

Trading Journal in Neue Trader Jun 23, 2016 at 15:15

yesterday US markets closed with modest losses. While waited for today's referendum, US investors focused on factors specific sectors and companies. Oil traded volatile fashion, following during the morning the rise of other risk assets but later reversing this trend when the Department of Energy published a report that showed an unexpected increase in gasoline reserves. In the technology sector, investors reacted negatively to the offer launched by Tesla (producer of electric cars) on the SolarCity by 2800 M.USD. In the Dow Jones, the highlight was the weakness of the shares of McDonald&#...

Trading Journal in Neue Trader Jun 22, 2016 at 14:50

The Asian session was relatively quiet, reflecting the expectations of investors concerning tomorrow’s referendum in the UK. The only exception was the Japanese market, which once again was affected by the appreciation of the yen. The Japanese currency has shown great resilience in relation to other haven assets and has not suffered losses the latter recorded in recent days. The rise of the yen pressured shares of exporters, which in turn, penalized the Nikkei.

Trading Journal in Neue Trader Jun 21, 2016 at 12:36

The devaluation of the price of the dollar boosted commodities, with the exception of gold that had previously attracted purchases from investors because of their defensive nature. Although in Wall Street, investors continue to monitor developments in Europe, the main event of the day will be the testimony of Janet Yellen on the financial committee of the Senate at 15:00.

Trading Journal in Neue Trader Jun 20, 2016 at 20:40

The rise in crude on Friday is associated with a recovery of some risky assets (due to a decrease in fears for the Brexit) and a technical reaction to the losses suffered in the previous days. From a fundamental point of view, there is still an imbalance between supply and demand, which although not as pronounced as at the beginning of the year continues to persist.

Trading Journal in Neue Trader Jun 17, 2016 at 14:40

Investors will continue to react to economic data, trying to anticipate what may be the decisions of the Fed. But this pattern has become more complex from the time the Fed began to give greater importance to the behavior of financial markets.

Trading Journal in Neue Trader Jun 16, 2016 at 12:28

After the reaction of financial markets to the meetings of central banks, European investors will focus again on the referendum on the permanence of the UK in the EU. Regarding this subject there is a slight discrepancy between the polls and the odds offered by the bookmakers. The latest polls point to a growing advantage of the favorable field outside the EU. However, the bookmakers continue to assign a higher probability to the “Remain”. The reason for this difference is that the bookmakers, based on similar events that occurred in the past, presuppose that the undecided will vot...

Trading Journal in Neue Trader Jun 15, 2016 at 11:20

Today the "Brexit" (the possibility of the UK leave the EU) may be overshadowed by the meeting of the Fed. In this context, it is expected that many investors to position their portfolios for this event. Some of these investors are hedge funds which in recent days constituted selling positions on equity markets and also in the British Pound. Thus, it is possible that these investors close some of these positions which will represent a buying impulse in such assets.

Trading Journal in Neue Trader Jun 14, 2016 at 21:36

The uncertainty that characterizes the outlook of the stock markets will continue to generate a risk aversion among global investors. While there is almost a consensus view that the Fed will not change interest rates in its decision tomorrow, the unknown in relation to the statement of the meeting, is from the perspective of investors, an additional risk factor in the current environment. But the factor that seems to be most conditioning the investor sentiment is the UK’s EU referendum. Yesterday, two new polls were released. The first commissioned by Telegraph states that 48% of Britons...

Trading Journal in Neue Trader Jun 13, 2016 at 13:35

Since Thursday there has been a devaluation of the Euro, which possibly indicates that non-European investors (mostly American) are selling European assets. For its part, the European managers take refuge in assets with a lower risk associated as German bonds. In commodity markets, gold and silver in smaller scale have attracted the purchases of several global managers.

Trading Journal in Neue Trader Jun 10, 2016 at 08:27

The US stock market yesterday made a pause after the recent valuations. The selling pressure was mainly driven by the drop in oil prices. An indicator of the labor market was published, but it did not have a very significant effect on the stock markets. The number of weekly claims for unemployment benefits fell by 4,000 to 264,000 in the week ended June 4, compared to 270 000 estimated. The data from the previous week were revised up registered another 1,000 weekly claims for unemployment benefits than previously indicated. The dollar depreciated, reaching the minimum in over a month against t...

Trading Journal in Neue Trader Jun 09, 2016 at 08:09

In the pre-opening, European indexes traded with slight losses. Despite the rise of Wall Street, European equities should be conditioned by the weakness of the Asian session and the fact that the Euro is being traded near 14.01 against the dollar. The recent weakness of the dollar, the result of uncertainty about the future of interest rates in the US, had a positive impact on oil, gold and other commodities, which could ensure an early stage over-performance in oil and mining sectors. The referendum in the UK will have an increasing role in investors’ decisions especially if the result ...

EURUSD	1.13033	GBPUSD	1.32788	AUDUSD	0.64634
USDJPY	144.144	USDCAD	1.38134	USDCHF	0.82351

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