Analyse

Risk-on momentum persists amidst US-Iran agreement hopes

Risk-on momentum persists amidst US-Iran agreement hopes

Reports of fresh US-Iran talks scheduled as the former blocks the Strait of Hormuz; Both the dollar and major equity indices return to pre-Middle East crisis levels; Gold’s underperformance persists as investors are not adopting the US-Iran agreement hopes; Rich Fedspeak, packed earnings releases, and US data in the spotlight today;
XM Group | il y a 50
Markets Downplay U.S.-Iran Tensions, Eye U.S. PPI

Markets Downplay U.S.-Iran Tensions, Eye U.S. PPI

Today’s focus will be the U.S. March PPI report, expected to rise 4.6% year-on-year, up from 3.4% previously. PPI matters because it is a leading indicator of CPI and the first stage in the transmission of energy prices into end-consumer inflation. With Middle East tensions driving oil prices sharply higher, the U.S. may begin to feel stronger inflationary pressure. If PPI significantly exceeds ex
ATFX | il y a 51
Oil Remains Supported Amid Escalating Iran Blockade Risks

Oil Remains Supported Amid Escalating Iran Blockade Risks

Heightened tensions surrounding Iran and the Strait of Hormuz continue to underpin oil prices. Markets are increasingly pricing in a prolonged disruption, with limited expectations of a near-term resolution. While a broader conflict appears unlikely, persistent geopolitical risk is sustaining a firm premium in crude markets.
Headway | il y a 51
When No One Fully Wins: How Strategic Pressure in Hormuz May Reshape Oil Markets

When No One Fully Wins: How Strategic Pressure in Hormuz May Reshape Oil Markets

Strategic pressure in the Strait of Hormuz is reshaping oil market dynamics, not through a full disruption of supply, but by introducing friction, uncertainty, and uneven access. As maritime restrictions target Iranian-linked flows while allowing broader transit, the system remains operational but less efficient. This evolving environment creates fragmented risk, rising costs, and sustained volati
IUX | il y a 51
US-Iran Talks Fail, Safe-Haven Demand Returns

US-Iran Talks Fail, Safe-Haven Demand Returns

U.S. stocks closed mixed on Friday as investors remained cautious ahead of the weekend, closely monitoring the ongoing Middle East peace talks. All three major indices posted their biggest weekly percentage gains since November. The U.S. dollar fell, recording its biggest weekly decline since January as investors sold safe-haven assets. EUR/USD stood at 1.172, up 1.8% on the week, while GBP/USD cl
ATFX | il y a 52
Oil Is Not a Trend — It Is a Market of Swings

Oil Is Not a Trend — It Is a Market of Swings

The recent price action in crude oil reflects a market driven by geopolitics rather than fundamentals. The rapid collapse of the Middle East ceasefire and renewed tensions around the Strait of Hormuz have reinforced a regime of sharp, unpredictable swings. With no clear base case, pricing is increasingly dictated by shifting risk premia rather than stable trends.
Headway | il y a 54