Gold False Breaks Monthly Highs - How to Identify Liquidity Zones and False Breaks

What a week it's been for gold! We witnessed a break, a false one as it turned out, above the crucial 2074 monthly high—a level that's held its ground multiple times over the last few years. Some might even refer to it as the "COVID-peak" or the "Putin-peak."

What a week it's been for gold! We witnessed a break, a false one as it turned out, above the crucial 2074 monthly high—a level that's held its ground multiple times over the last few years. Some might even refer to it as the "COVID-peak" or the "Putin-peak."

This break seemed significant until it swiftly retraced. This prompts an insight I'd like to share with you: the importance of liquidity zones in the market. Our senior market strategist, Duncan Cooper, delves into this concept in a free three-part trading course, with one part dedicated to liquidity zones, available for all here.

So, what exactly are these liquidity zones? Picture this: you're a big financial institution with sizable sell orders, say $500 million worth of gold. You'd need a significant number of buyers to prevent pushing prices down substantially, right? That's where liquidity zones come in.

Consider this gold example: the triple top on the monthly chart. While the price broke above it momentarily, that area potentially attracted a pool of buyers—those looking to exit their short positions with buy orders just above that triple top. This creates a zone where buyers are likely congregated.

Why is this important? Well, these zones offer insight into where significant buying or selling activity might cluster. In our case, despite the break, it seems there was strong selling pressure around that 2074 level, evident from the subsequent retracement.

This observation leads me to advise keeping an eye on what we call false breaks or liquidity zones—areas where substantial orders could be filled. Even though these events don't necessarily reverse trends, they offer valuable insights into potential price movements.

As we head into the weekend, I wish you all the best with your gold trading. I'll personally be watching to see if gold can reclaim that crucial level. If so, it might signal a continuation of the upward trend.

Have a fantastic weekend, traders!

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