USDJPY Analysis: Beware of intraday false breakouts

In this comprehensive analysis, Ultima Markets brings you an insightful breakdown of the USDJPY for FEB 21, 2025.

Fundamental Analysis of USDJPYUSDJPY Key Takeaways:

  • Japanese inflation data: Last week, Japan’s inflation accelerated faster than expected, and this week’s Tokyo CPI data is expected to reinforce the argument for more rate hikes.
  • Bank of Japan attitude: Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said on Friday that he was ready to intervene in the bond market to quell the surge in yields, which prompted the yen to pare its gains. Any follow-up actions in the coming weeks could lead to greater volatility in currency prices, even if the prospect of further appreciation remains unchanged.

Technical Analysis of USDJPY Daily and Hourly ChartsUSDJPY Daily Chart Insights

(USDJPY Daily Price Chart, Source: Ultima Markets MT4)

  • Stochastic oscillator: The indicator falls to the oversold area and is about to send a long signal, suggesting that the short-term short force has subsided, and be alert to the possibility of a short-term rebound in the exchange rate.
  • Price Action: Yesterday’s exchange rate finally closed above Friday’s closing price, and the double cross star structure clarified the short-term bullish trend. Today’s exchange rate has a further rebound probability, and the target is 150.745 above.

USDJPY H1 Chart Analysis

(USDJPY H1 Price Chart, Source: Ultima Markets MT4)

  • Stochastic oscillator: The indicator sends a short signal in the overbought area, and at the same time forms a top divergence with the exchange rate. Be alert to the priority decline and adjustment of USD/JPY during the Asian session.
  • Support price: The current exchange rate has touched the upper edge of the upward channel line, and there is short-term adjustment pressure. The key support price below focuses on the black 65-period moving average.

Pivot Indicator Insights for USDJPY

(USDJPY M30 Price Chart, Source: Ultima Markets APP)

  • According to Pivot Indicator in Ultima Markets APP, the central price of the day is established at 149.35,
  • Bullish Scenario: Bullish sentiment prevails above 149.35, first target 150.20, second target 150.60;
  • Bearish Outlook: In a bearish scenario below 149.35, first target 148.90, second target 148.50.

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