When will Dow be Low?

Graphs of changes in quotes of currency pairs, stock prices, index values carry much more information than is commonly believed. Few people know that on the chart you can also see its future dynamics.
The issue of modeling the future dynamics of the value of financial assets (currencies, stocks, indices, raw materials, etc.) by plotting graphs showing possible future dynamics is a cornerstone in the field of financial investment.
In this thread of the forum, I plan to share my thoughts on the future dynamics of the currencies of stocks, indices and other financial instruments for the short, medium and long term after reading their charts.
You can get acquainted with the reading technique by reading the article “When will Dow be Low?”.

In my opinion, the upcoming dynamics of the Dow Jones index for the next 3 months will be downward to the mark of 26,000 points.

Dow Jones, fractal structure (time frame 1 hour / 01/17/2022).

As of 01/17/2022, in the fractal structure on the Dow Jones index chart, the 3rd segment of the fractal is forming, which is indicated on the chart with a 1 hour timeframe in pink.
After this pink fractal is formed, and it will be the 1st segment of the fractal of a higher order, the decrease in the values of the Dow Jones index will continue as part of the formation of the 3rd segment of this fractal, which will begin to form after the 2nd segment.

Dow Jones, fractal structure (time frame 1 hour / 01/20/2022).

As of January 21, 2022, the fractal marked in pink on the chart has completed its formation in the fine fractal structure of the Dow Jones Index chart.
All three segments of the pink fractal are completed.
The 1st segment of the pink fractal is marked with a dark brown fractal.
The 2nd segment of the pink fractal is indicated by the light brown fractal.
The 3rd segment of the pink fractal is indicated by the blue fractal.

Dow Jones, fractal structure (timeframe 1 hour / 01/20/2022)_continued.

Taking into account the existing fractal structure on the chart of the Dow Jones index, built with a time frame of 1 hour, it can be assumed that the fractal marked in pink is the 1st segment of the fractal of a higher order, which is marked in red on the chart.
In this case, with a high degree of probability, we can talk about the continuation of the downward dynamics of the index values within the formation of the 3rd segment of the red fractal.

Dow Jones, фрактальная структура (тайм-фрейм 1 час / 25.01.2022).
С учётом сложившейся фрактальной структуры на графике индекса Dow Jones, построенного с тайм-фреймом 1 час, можно предположить, что нисходящая динамика значений продолжится в рамках формирования 3-го сегмента фрактала, который обозначен на графике красным цветом.
Составной частью 3-го сегмента красного фрактала является фрактал меньшего порядка, который обозначен на графике фиолетовым цветом.

This is a key week for equities. After almost a month of galling prices we have now established a key base. I personally expect a further fall, maybe not to 26,000 points but 30,000 is achievable. Many stocks are massively over inflated right now so I would like to see a fall and then a more sustained rise as the economy gets going (unless inflation kills any growth)

Dow Jones, fractal structure (time frame 1 hour / 01/25/2022).
Taking into account the current fractal structure on the chart of the Dow Jones index, built with a time frame of 1 hour, it can be assumed that the downward dynamics of values will continue as part of the formation of the 3rd segment of the fractal, which is marked in red on the chart.
The component of the 3rd segment of the red fractal is a fractal of a smaller order, which is indicated in purple on the chart.

skihav posted:
In general, it is quite difficult to predict any processes in the market now. At least, it seems to me that it really needs attention.

It is always difficult to predict something.
Well, the accuracy of forecasts is not least determined by forecasting methods.

Swing trading is a very popular strategy. And with this strategy a lot of profit can be made. But I'm new to the strategy show you're doing.

Dow Jones, fractal structure (time frame 1 hour / 01/31/2022).
Taking into account the fractal structure formed on February 1, 2022 on the chart of the Dow Jones index, built with a time frame of 1 hour, we can assume that the 2nd segment of the fractal, which is indicated in blue, is completing.
The 1st segment of the blue fractal formed in the form of the F33 fractal from the ABC of Niro Attractors, which is indicated on the chart in purple.
In this case, the upcoming dynamics of the Dow Jones index will be downward as part of the formation of the 3rd segment of the blue fractal, the completion of which will form a fractal, which will be the 3rd segment of the fractal of a larger order, which is indicated on the chart in red.

Taking into account the global fractal structure, it can be assumed that within the framework of the formation of 3 segments of fractals, which are indicated on the chart in blue and red, the values of the Dow Jones index may drop to the level of 27,000 points.

Do you just use technical analysis or do you also use more fundamental analysis in your predictions?

OriginalPointer posted:
Do you just use technical analysis or do you also use more fundamental analysis in your predictions?

Fundamental analysis is required to calculate the probability of the implementation of models of future dynamics.
In the article “When will Dow иу low?” shows the symbiosis of technical and fundamental analysis.

Dow Jones, fractal structure (time frame 1 Day / 02/10/2022).
Taking into account the fractal structure emerging on February 10, 2022 on the chart of the Dow Jones index, built with a time frame of 1 day, it can be assumed with a high degree of probability that the formation of the 3rd segment of the fractal, which is indicated in red on the chart.
Taking into account the global fractal structure, the most likely scenario for the formation of the 3rd segment of the red fractal will be the formation of the F34 fractal, which is indicated in blue.
The implementation of this model of the dynamics of the Dow Jones index assumes that the index values may fall to the 27'500 mark as part of the formation of the 1st segment of the blue fractal, after which the values will rebound to the level of 30'000 points as part of the formation of the 2nd segment blue fractal followed by the formation of the 3rd segment of the blue fractal and a decrease in the Dow Jones index to 26,500 points by the end of May 2022.