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Bitcoin (BTC) analysis thread

Robert (Robert647373)
Feb 25 2020 at 12:27
95帖子
momo3HC
Feb 29 2020 at 22:11
207帖子
Robert647373 posted:
I expect a leap of time


Leap of time?

AniLorak
Mar 02 2020 at 10:39
920帖子
Robert647373 posted:
I expect a leap of time



Are you expecting bullish moves as like 2017? Or anything else? By the way, I am very much positive on BTC!

PeteLanceley
Mar 06 2020 at 12:23
50帖子
I wonder when this will actually happen? Bitcoin has been staling for a while now, maybe they are waiting for halving to come into action before flying it up?

momo3HC
Mar 08 2020 at 18:23
207帖子
PeteLanceley posted:
I wonder when this will actually happen? Bitcoin has been staling for a while now, maybe they are waiting for halving to come into action before flying it up?


May be. I also think that the halvening is already cashed.

TheGreatRecycler
Mar 09 2020 at 12:33
10帖子
Do you think the halving is already priced in than?

momo3HC
Mar 15 2020 at 21:42
207帖子
TheGreatRecycler posted:
Do you think the halving is already priced in than?

Like i said in the above post - yes.

Nil2589
Mar 16 2020 at 15:28
10帖子
How do you think when the price will be higher?

Nicolya7565
Mar 17 2020 at 09:18
2帖子
Nil2589 posted:
How do you think when the price will be higher?

I think that the price has already broken its bottom, according to my forecasts for 1-2 months bitcoin will rise to 8000 $

momo3HC
Mar 20 2020 at 17:15
207帖子


Hi all. Let me present you my latest Bitcoin (BTC) analysis.
First of all let`s check what caused this huge dump.
The main reason must be the COVID19 world threat and yes if you think the same you`re definitely right. But… and this is quite big “BUT”, there`s also some other rumors at which I want to drew attention too.
The first one is Whales. Yes they`re greed. Yes they`re powerful. And yes, they have all the resources to manipulate the market for the simple target… to accumulate more coins at the lowest price possible. In evidence of this (or kind of evidence) I can point the number of BTC whales during this dump – more than 1940.
The second rumor which i`ve heard lately and it`s VERY interesting is that this dump was caused by the miners, big miners and they`ve used COVID19 as a look-alike trigger. In front of the halvening, big miners wanted to destruct small ones with sell off and that must be started from 15th of February. As you must know after the halving this May:
1. The production and the profitability of/from BTC will be cut in half.
2. The expenses to mine will stay the same or even bigger if there`s inflation.
3. The miners will be the same number as now.
And from 1,2 and 3 is popping a problem – competition.
How the big miners can destruct the competition of small ones and get them out of business before the halvening? Easy. With big sell offs, pushing the price down and down till the small ones become unprofitable and capitulate.
Like I said this is just a rumor but it`s very interesting one and may be the latest hashrate is kind of evidence for this theory (about 30% decrease from the latest ATH).
Now let`s get to the technicals.
1. Pivot point for this week is $5794.92 Weekly candle close above it – GOOD. Weekly candle close below it – bad.
2. 200 Weekly SMA – price is back above it – GOOD.
3. Resistances:
1st $6400 (by previous PA)
2nd $7300 (by 61.8 fibo level and previous PA)
3rd $7800 (by previous PA)
4th $8500 (by 50% fibo level and previous PA)
4. Supports:
1st $5300 (by 78.6 fibo level and previous PA)
2nd $4100 (by previous PA)
5. And last but not least check the purple marks. In short, every time when we see such high volume and such highs or lows in price, the trend reversed afterwards.
P.S. Last thing which i`ve checked is Crypto Fear & Greed Index. It shows extreme fear and I have a moto: “Buy the fear and sell the greed.”
 That is my vision for the latest circumstances and the future possibilities about Bitcoin.

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