There are a lot of theories that Brexit won’t happen at all. To talk about an exact date or even year is absurd. People in UK are now realizing what will happen if they leave. There are already people who voted LEAVE that are regretting their choice.
Here are 6 negative effects for the British if the UK leaves the EU : - More expensive foreign holidays for UK citizens because of the less worth of the pound - No immediate change in immigration status (one of the main reasons of the Leave voters)| - Higher inflation - Interest rates might rise - Economy recession - UK wouldn’t even get their money back and will need to bring a new Budget
I don’t think Brexit will happen at the end. Everything was a big big theory and there wasn’t even 3% difference between voters “Leave” and “Stay”.
What about all those people who wanted to stay?
There will be a lot of things to happen and a lot of time to pass until we get the answer of the question “Will UK leave the EU?'
I suggest that it will be not in UK's favor to stay in the EU further. Global information breakthrough took place relatively recently, and according to the geographical positions, GB is kinda 'isolated' country. And this sort of 'isolation' is their charm, something that Englishes try to preserve, if you understand what I say about. Personally I understand it pretty well, some kind of private thing in people's mentality. Note the fact that if you can explain to someone that learning English is useful since it is an international language and helps in communicating with the outside world, you don't even need to explain it to an English - the fact that the whole planet must learn their native language sits deeply in British minds. At least think about the fact that it is practically the only EU country that preserved strength of its national currency against Euro and has made it quite effective. Also it is more difficult to get Visa to UK than to another European country. So I believe that all this old and solid social background brings its reflection in all spheres of social life, from cultural to political/public views. In my opinion, whatever people say, UK is a strong country, more solid on the background of the whole EU. And the Europe, let's be sincere, was benefiting and in some aspects devouring opportunities created by the UK. And even despite all cons mentioned by you guys, I think GB will all in all benefit if Brexit takes place after all. To be honest, I would also vote LEAVE were I British.
@Bisulget I don't see any controversy between being a strong economy and remaining part of the EU. It is a bit tricky when you say about the mentality of the British people because not 100% of those who can vote voted at the referendum and just a slight majority voted for the exit. UK is quite diverse and in my opinion it would be mutually beneficial for them to stay within the EU. For the EU vision to succeed we need countries that stay but not leave when the going gets tough. Because of this Brexit talk the pound started loosing its positions recently and I wonder until when this will continue.
@ben08in of course we live in the world of mutual depending upon one another, and I believe that is the strongest reason you don't see any controversy and pound gets weakened under 'LEAVE' vote. But in my opinion, it is only temporary. I also don't see anything tricky in what I've said either. But my main idea is that GB gets this tough not in the last turn due to EU actions. That is just my opinion, not more, not less.
The UK was a powerhouse before EU so I'm pretty confident they will pull this off. It's not 'when' that matters, its 'how'. There are two options, exit at once and reform as fast as possible or reform in increments till a final exit. Farage is looking for the quick exit, and I somewhat agree, it's not like they have no experience in being an independent country [Kingdom]. The longer it drags out the more uncertainty and politics would creep in.
It would be easier and quicker to deal with the changes and adapt as they happen after an abrupt exit than to politicize a plan to exit, which have no guarantees either. Merkel seeking a fourth term, and succeeding, will only strengthen the resolve to exit sooner rather than later (not my opinion, UK opinion) as well.
For every loss there should be at least an equal and opposite profit.
I think that even if you UK does leave the agreement will be such that the UK might as well stay in the EU. I actually don't think it will happen in the end, there are quite a few road blocks that could stop things.
I am a Brit who voted to leave, I hope we go out quickly of EU and do not stay longer than necessary.
I agree that some stuff out of Brussels was good but the majority was bureaucratic clap trap and damned expensive at that.
If EU had been truly democratic (which it is not) then it would allow member states to negotiate. Brussels thought Remain would win and it could cnotinue to bully with the same reasoning as a Comora Don, Well we give that a good kicking.
Brussels also thinks that the UK will be a shrinking violet but when we are needed then we will answer. This will change.
The sacrifices that the UK have made upon the world stage have been enormous in all aspects whereas some in Europe are all take, take and more take. Brussels might find that it will have to say Non, No, Nein, and Niet a bit more often after 2019
Donald Trump (Whom I do not like) is perfectly right in tearing up those trade agreements that only suit certain countries and we in Britain are now going to do the same thing. In fact we have led in this idea. Globalisation is a massive failure.
I see Britain as escaping the clutches of a European Chancellor dictating to 500 million captives. Last time this was tried was between 1933 and 1945.
Teresa May will trigger article 50 in March 2017. 2 years later whether negotiations are finished or not on March 31st 2019, we will no longer be part of the EU.
Si eius XCIX% Ius ergo est Nefas - Sileo processus (If its 99% Right then it is Wrong - Restart the process)
Sceadagenga posted: I see Britain as escaping the clutches of a European Chancellor dictating to 500 million captives. Last time this was tried was between 1933 and 1945.
I don't think it's correct to make such a comparison as we all know what was the regime then and how it was imposed! I also don't think someone is dictating to others. Every single member state can leave and break the agreements. Maybe there is a good reason for not doing that for the other countries. In my opinion EU is not about dictating and imposing, it's about joining forces and uniting the rules 😄 How it is being achieved is another story 😄 I am not for or against Brexit, just wanted to comment on this aspect.