The ongoing phase of consolidation is similar to the temporary pauses seen during last February-May and July-September. Recently, the pair rebounded towards the upper bound of the triangle (currently at 1.2610) and has started to retrace. A move towards the triangle support near 1.2155/1.21 looks likely, with the next support at 1.20/1.1918. The weekly channel at 1.2680/1.2780 remains a prominent hurdle.
The British pound was up against the US dollar on Friday. By the close of the US trading, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2550, gaining 0.65%. I believe that support is now at 1.2375, the minimum of Wednesday, and the resistance is likely to come in at 1.2618, the maximum of Monday.
The GBPUSD attempted to push higher yesterday topped at 1.2524 but closed lower at 1.2467. Overall price is still in a bearish phase since fell below the bullish channel as you can see on my H1 chart below but still unable to stay consistently below the H1 EMA 200 and moving inside a minor bullish channel. The bias is neutral in nearest term probably with a little bullish bias testing 1.2530 – 1.2550 region. Immediate support is seen around 1.2450. A clear break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure testing 1.2375 key support which need to be clearly broken to the downside to continue the bearish scenario.
Monday's high at 1.2615 could be seen as the first technical resistance for the GBP/USD, followed by 1.2680 (Feb. 1 high) and 1.2730 (Dec. 14 high). On the downside, below 1.25 (psychological level), the bearish slide could extend towards 1.2405/10 (50-DMA/100-DMA) and 1.2370 (20-DMA).
The GBPUSD attempted to push lower last week bottomed at 1.2375 but whipsawed to the upside and closed higher at 1.2553. As you can see on my H1 chart below price is moving back above the H1 EMA 200 and inside a bullish channel suggests a short-term bullish view. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 1.2615 region. Immediate support is seen around 1.2520/00. A clear break below that area could lead price to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.2450 area.
GBP/USD is up 0.01% at 1.2551 and a breakout of 1.2598 (high Mar.28) would aim for 1.2618 (high Mar.27) and finally 1.2661 (200-day sma). On the other hand, the next support aligns at 1.2497 (23.6% Fibo of the March up move) followed by 1.2429 (55-day sma) and then 1.2375 (low Mar.29).
GBP/USD bounced off from 1.2555 after forming a doji candlestick and a spinning top candlestick at that level on the four-hour time-frame. It's currently testing the support at 1.2470 and a breakout below that level will probably lead to a further drop towards the previous low at 1.2375.
The GBPUSD had a bearish momentum yesterday bottomed at 1.2465. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing the lower line of the bullish channel as you can see on my H1 chart below located around 1.2450 area. A clear break below that area would expose 1.2400 – 1.2375 region. Immediate resistance is seen around 1.2515/30 area. A clear break back above that area could lead price to neutral zone in nearest term but would keep the short-term bullish bias remains alive and kicking testing 1.2615 region.
GBP/USD is losing 0.42% at 1.2434 and a breakdown of 1.2381 (20-day sma) would expose 1.2375 (low Mar.29) and then 1.2362 (50% Fibo of the March up move). On the flip side, the next hurdle lines up at 1.2556 (high Apr.3) followed by 1.2598 (high Mar.28) ahead of 1.2562 (high Mar.31) and finally 1.2618 (high Mar.27).
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