Wave analysis and forecast for 15.01 – 22.01: Downtrend continues.
Estimated pivot point is at the level of 118.42.
Our opinion: Sell the pair from correction below the level of 118.42 with the target of 116.00 – 115.00.
Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price above the level of 118.42 will enable the pair to continue the rise up to the levels of 121.00 – 122.00.
Analysis: The formation of the wave С of 4 of the senior level continues. Within this wave the impetus is likely to develop. At the moment, the formation of the third wave of the impetus iii of C is likely to finish and within it the decline in the fifth wave (v) is expected . If this assumption is correct, the pair will continue to decline to 116.00 – 115.00. Critical level for this scenario is 118.42.