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Lucifinics
Feb 19 2018 at 13:56
1 posts
I always want to learn Forex trading from my old man but he do not allowed me to. Lately I download his trading history in excel method from his laptop, contain nearly 1500 closed trade. I did a little calculation, looks like his win rate is around 75%. I know little about Forex, but is that possible to backtrack his trading strategy and build an Export Adviser base on it?

SignalMonsters (signalmonsters)
Feb 21 2018 at 12:35
1 posts
It is possible if you are able to see similarities by breaking it down.

Start to check on this variables:

Time of entry
Currency pairs
SL deviation
Lot Size Deviation
Avg holding period
TP target
SL max

Using the info go back to the Trading chart to see if you can spot any similarities at the entry level.
As long a human is manual trading, there is a large part of discrepancies and discretionary decisions involved.

If he/she is so systematic, it would be way easier to just program their system into EA instead of trading.

Most often, successful manual traders come with gut feels, discretionary manual decision making on exit points through market volatility and anticipation like if they want to cut loser cut, or bring a trade into a news event, breakeven or let profits run and so on., There can be many factors involved.

A system with 75% WR is too high and too good to be true, which is likely less than 1:1 RR or maybe the pips expectancy was lower.

The bigger the TP, the spread and also longer trading duration increased the uncertainty in the market.

My 2 cents.

This is for Traders
vontogr (togr)
Feb 26 2018 at 14:30
4856 posts
Lucifinics posted:
I always want to learn Forex trading from my old man but he do not allowed me to. Lately I download his trading history in excel method from his laptop, contain nearly 1500 closed trade. I did a little calculation, looks like his win rate is around 75%. I know little about Forex, but is that possible to backtrack his trading strategy and build an Export Adviser base on it?


No way to do it.

GridMaster
Feb 26 2018 at 22:56
7 posts
I think a machine learning program and the MT4 back tester could do it.

vontogr (togr)
Feb 27 2018 at 12:54
4856 posts
GridMaster posted:
I think a machine learning program and the MT4 back tester could do it.

No way to do it.

AlexZhou
May 17 2018 at 05:49
4 posts
It depends on your ability and experience of trading and parogram

GridMaster
May 29 2018 at 21:30
7 posts
togr posted:
GridMaster posted:
I think a machine learning program and the MT4 back tester could do it.

No way to do it.

why not?

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