Swing Trading Part 2 (By DRFXTRADING)

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Swing Trading Part 2 Discussion

Aug 08, 2015 at 17:31
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Member Since Nov 19, 2014   169 posts
Aug 08, 2015 at 18:36
This System is a continuation of the one started on Swing Trading Part 1. https://www.myfxbook.com/members/DRFXTRADING/swing-trading-part-1/1079693


As with Part 1, the focus here is to generate consistent and stable returns over the Long-Term by targeting the best trading opportunities of between 100 and 200 Pips each month. The Risk Per Trade used in the system is 5%, but naturally, anyone who uses it is free to apply the Risk that is consistent with their personal Risk Tolerance.


The system has had a little bit of bad luck with the last 3 trades being losing ones. Nevertheless, when combined, the Rate of Return from all trades so far have led to a good performance in a relative short time.


USD JPY

This was thought to be breaking Bullish from a Large Consolidation, but instead, the market pulled back bearish, leading to the loss.








Unfortunately, this was not a Large Consolidation as I had thought. The only Consolidation was the Range Setup and I was actually entering at the end of the breakout from this setup just ahead of the pullback that takes place when these breakouts end...






As a result, the market pulled back to take out the Stop Loss.









 

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Member Since Nov 19, 2014   169 posts
Aug 08, 2015 at 18:52


This was trade within Range Setup, with a Bearish Signal given at Resistance indicating a move back to Support







Unfortunately the market pulled back bullish, taking out the trade...







This may have simply been due to the market getting ready to breakout Bullish from the Range.

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Member Since Nov 19, 2014   169 posts
Aug 08, 2015 at 19:00


In this trade, I was expecting the pair to rally to the Resistance of the Pennant Setup that appeared to be forming on the Daily Chart.







Entry took place at that 2nd Bullish Candle which appeared to be strong enough to continue the rally. However, after the end of the Holding Period, the pair had not hit the target and was starting to pullback. It therefore had to be closed for the small loss of 51 Pips.






Perhaps the Bull Candle was not strong enough to justify entry. Given that the 3 previous signals were ABC Setups, this Bull Candle Signal was not in sync and should have been avoided.








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Member Since Nov 19, 2014   169 posts
Aug 08, 2015 at 19:11

Taking a look ahead at another possible trade, we can see that the NZD CAD has broken below its major Uptrend Line and could continue bearish over the short and long-term.


A strong bearish signal in the form of Double Tops led to the reversal and break of this Trend Line that has been in place since 2008.







These Double Tops are among the most common and strongest signals that we see in the Forex Market. They generally lead to fast and strong reversal patterns at the end of Uptrends and above Resistance boundaries of Consolidations to start False Breakout Reversals...













If we see a strong Bearish Signal to above the Resistance of the current Range below the Uptrend Line, then this could see a continuation of the Downtrend started in favour for the CAD.




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