BTCUSD Analysis: Uncertainty Is the Main Melody of the Market

Fundamental Analysis of BTCUSDBTCUSD Key Takeaways

• Uncertainty is the main theme of the market: The Trump administration has on the one hand exempted tariffs on products such as chips and mobile phones, and on the other hand hinted at imposing new tariffs on products like chips. The uncertainty of the tariff outlook has curbed the rebound momentum of the US stock market, with the three major stock indexes all briefly turning lower during trading on Monday, and international crude oil also fluctuating downward several times.
• The Federal Reserve is ready to cut interest rates at any time: On Monday, Federal Reserve Governor Waller indicated that the inflation brought by Trump’s tariffs may be “temporary,” and hinted that interest rate cuts are still under consideration. Subsequently, US Treasury bonds were actively sought after, and US Treasury bonds ended five consecutive days of decline, with the yield on 2-year Treasury bonds wiping out all the gains from last Friday.

Technical Analysis of BTCUSD Daily and Hourly ChartsBTCUSD Daily Chart Insights

(BTCUSD Daily Price Chart, Source: Ultima Markets MT5)

• Stochastic oscillator:The indicator has once again issued a bullish signal, suggesting that short-term bulls are in the upper hand and the bullish sentiment is strong. It is worth paying attention to the trend-following trading opportunities.
• MA Signal: Bitcoin is currently encountering resistance near the green 200-day MA. The flat MA suggests that Bitcoin prices will mainly follow a volatile trend in the short term and it is difficult to quickly form a trend direction.

BTCUSD 1-hour Chart Analysis

(BTCUSD H1 Price Chart, Source: Ultima Markets MT5)

• Stochastic oscillator: Oscillation Zone: The three MAs are all in an upward trend in order, indicating that Bitcoin prices are at least in favor of bulls in the short term. However, it should be noted that there are two resistance levels above, and the market price has a high probability of wide-range fluctuations.
• 13-Period MA: It is worth noting that the current market price has broken below the 13-period MA, which means that the market price is in a volatile trend during the Asian session and it is not advisable to bet on the trend direction too early.

BTCUSD PIVIOT INDICATOR

（BTCUSD M30, source: Ultima Markets APP）

• According to the trading central pivot line indicator of Ultima Markets APP, the central price of the day is 83220,
• Bullish above 83320, , first target 86670, second target 87660
• Bearish below 83320, first target 81560, second target 80570

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