Gold Prices Climb Amid Geopolitical Tensions

Key drivers behind the rally

Middle East Tensions: fears of escalation increased over a potential Israeli strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities, which could trigger retaliatory measures from Tehran.

US Political Uncertainty: President Donald Trump’s remarks on peace talks between Russia and Ukraine added to market unease, though he distanced himself from a mediating role.

Dollar Weakness: the US dollar remained under pressure after the Federal Reserve’s cautious economic outlook and Moody’s downgrade of the US credit rating, citing rising government debt.

Trade & Fiscal Policy: investor confidence in the dollar was further dented by uncertainty over trade tariffs and the pending vote on Trump’s proposed tax reforms.

As a result, the dollar’s weakness has made gold more attractive to international buyers.

Technical analysis: XAU/USD

H4 Chart:

·        The market consolidated near 3,222 before breaking upward

·        The immediate upside target of 3,312 has now been met

·        A pullback to retest 3,222 (from above) is likely, followed by a potential rise towards 3,333

·        MACD Indicator: The signal line remains above zero and points upward, supporting further gains

H1 Chart:

·        The pair broke through 3,250 and continued its upward trajectory towards 3,333

·        A short-term correction to 3,222 is expected before another push higher

·        The current uptrend is viewed as corrective; once complete, a downward wave towards 3,222 may follow

·        Stochastic Oscillator: The signal line is below 80 and trending downward towards 20, indicating potential near-term weakness

Conclusion

Gold’s rally reflects its role as a haven amid geopolitical risks and dollar softness. While technical indicators point to a temporary correction, the broader uptrend remains intact, with 3,333 as the next key resistance level.

Disclaimer

Any forecasts contained herein are based on the author's particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.