Asia slows more than expected

Expert market comment from Alex Kuptsikevich of the FxPro Analyst Team: Asia slows more than expected
FxPro | hace 1093

Asia slows more than expected

The statistics packages from China and Japan - the largest economies in the Asian region - came out below expectations, highlighting weak domestic demand and production.

Japan's economy lost 0.3% in the third quarter while it was expected to grow by the same amount. Meanwhile, real GDP added 1.8% y/y. A jump in imports was responsible for the decrease while private consumption showed a relatively moderate positive contribution.

Industrial production lost 1.9% in September, reversing a sharp turnaround after three months of growth, during which the index increased by 13.4%. A jump in energy prices prevents production from taking full advantage of the weaker yen. China's slowdown will likely constrain Japan's industry by not giving it enough orders.

 

China noted a 0.5% y/y fall in retail sales thanks to 0-covid restrictions. These are gradually easing but remain much more restrained than in other major economies worldwide. Industrial Production growth slowed to 5% y/y last month versus 6.3% in September.

Weighing retail sales and manufacturing numbers would be enough of a signal for the government to step up support to the economy.

 

Considering the weak data from Japan and China, their currencies have particularly strengthened this month by 6.5% and 4%, respectively. Currency volatility risks hurting exporters for whom exchange rate stability might be a better option after a slump since the start of the year.

 

By the FxPro Analyst Team 

FxPro
Tipo: NDD
Reglamento: FCA (UK), SCB (The Bahamas)
read more
The dollar roller coaster ride

The dollar roller coaster ride

•The acceleration of foreign economies will weaken the US dollar. •The USD index may fall another 13.5%. •GBP is pressured by political uncertainty. •Verbal interventions are not helping the yen.
FxPro | hace 11h 37min
Yen intervention risk rises, US jobs concerns intensify

Yen intervention risk rises, US jobs concerns intensify

Japan’s Katayama highlights negative impact of weak yen - US labor market concerns increase chance of December Fed cut - Soft UK jobs report takes BoE rate cut probability higher - Stock futures rise; gold extends rebound despite broader optimism
XM Group | hace 12h 10min
Pound Succumbs to Pressure from Weak Labour Data

Pound Succumbs to Pressure from Weak Labour Data

The GBP/USD pair snapped a four-day winning streak, declining for a second day to trade around 1.3135. The sell-off was triggered by UK labour market data revealing a rise in unemployment and a deceleration in annual wage growth.
RoboForex | hace 13h 16min