Posts by famajeed

in goldenmember feed Nov 09, 2013 at 21:38
Amazing that makes sense. I read your recent posts where you explained your long term strategy and I thoroughly assume due to ppl like me bugging u constantly. My understanding is that you use supply and demand theory to assess where a certain currency would land. I will admit I am not good at this, but this where I got to, if I were to make this type of model, at the bare minimum for factors say I would assess the CDN to be dependent and oil gold and TSX to be independent variables, I could probably create a multivariate model although I have to figure out time frames and a scale to see how far back to lag these variables. I would have to repeat the exercise for the other currency which i would be pairing with cdn to trade the pair. But some basic stats also teaches me that these relationships may not hold true, some fundamental changes can alter this wherein comes the art part, and embracing uncertainty without being able to size it. Also what about correlation models do u suppose they would be different than these multivariate models.
in goldenmember feed Nov 08, 2013 at 15:22
I have been following your posts and trades here, I am very impressed. I am so confused at what strategy you utilize as you never speak to it directly, but what now confuses me further is that you were able to automate it. Good luck, your account is the only one with solid pips that ihave seen with very comfortable draw downs.