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euro frente a dólar estadounidense W1 Live Forex Chart
Gráfico EURUSD,W1 de Panos12
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Panos12
Jul 08, 2022 at 11:10
It is true that the euro is under immense pressure, but I think that now that the exchange rate is near parity, the ECB will come in super hawkish in the July meeting if ECB wants to retain a certain level of credibility. That is why I think we could see a short-term pullback before this downtrend continues.
Panos12
Jun 09, 2022 at 14:24
ECB may be forced to act in a more hawkish way in the next quarter as European bond yields are rising rapidly, thus strengthening the FX flows to the euro area at least in the short term( next quarter ), especially if the Fed turns less hawkish and the markets start pricing in fewer rate hikes for the US Fed funds rate.
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Panos12
Jul 09, 2022 at 09:12
Yes, market reactions dictate the policy, but I think Lagarde's position is at stake, especially if EUR/USD breaks down further. I would not be surprised if the ECB takes a step toward a 50bps hike and the market receives that as a more hawkish message than what is currently priced in, and as a result we see the Euro rallying against the dollar.
Panos12
Jul 21, 2022 at 12:37
As I expected the ECB hiked 50 bps today. A relief rally for the euro may start now until the end of August if Lagarde manages to reassure the markets about the so-called anti-fragmentation tool.
