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The future of Crypto
Jan 31, 2019 at 15:18
Feb 22, 2011からメンバー
4862 投稿
The problem with BTC vs. fiat price drops is not the investors losing money.
Good trader makes money shorting the asset as well.
The real issue lies with miners.
The level where BTC mining brings profit is around $6,000.
If the price stands below that level for long time, a lot of miners will be OOB.
The exception: Chinese mining companies are still profitable around $1500-$2000.
So problem solved?
No. The problem is blockchain is independent only when none is able to control more than 50% of miners.
And that could happen in China.
Your thoughts?
Good trader makes money shorting the asset as well.
The real issue lies with miners.
The level where BTC mining brings profit is around $6,000.
If the price stands below that level for long time, a lot of miners will be OOB.
The exception: Chinese mining companies are still profitable around $1500-$2000.
So problem solved?
No. The problem is blockchain is independent only when none is able to control more than 50% of miners.
And that could happen in China.
Your thoughts?
Feb 01, 2019 at 17:51
Dec 28, 2013からメンバー
171 投稿
togr posted:
A lot of guys consider crypto as simply spending fiat to buy BTC.
World of crypto is much more diverse. If you want to hodl why not buy XRP which is going to be used by international banks to settle transactions.
This is interesting: Where did you get this info? Could you cite us the source?
Feb 03, 2019 at 07:25
Feb 01, 2019からメンバー
10 投稿
togr posted:
The problem with BTC vs. fiat price drops is not the investors losing money.
Good trader makes money shorting the asset as well.
The real issue lies with miners.
The level where BTC mining brings profit is around $6,000.
If the price stands below that level for long time, a lot of miners will be OOB.
The exception: Chinese mining companies are still profitable around $1500-$2000.
So problem solved?
No. The problem is blockchain is independent only when none is able to control more than 50% of miners.
And that could happen in China.
Your thoughts?
That is a very interesting comment about the discrepancy in mining costs leading to control of BTC. But even is Chinese miners held 50% they would not necessarily be all working together. If they did then it would need to be kept secret otherwise the interest in BTC would collapse. So achieving control would be extremely difficult in practice
Feb 04, 2019 at 09:39
Feb 22, 2011からメンバー
4862 投稿
niceGLer posted:https://ethereumworldnews.com/top-ten-u-s-bank-pnc-to-use-ripple-for-international-payments/togr posted:
A lot of guys consider crypto as simply spending fiat to buy BTC.
World of crypto is much more diverse. If you want to hodl why not buy XRP which is going to be used by international banks to settle transactions.
This is interesting: Where did you get this info? Could you cite us the source?
Feb 04, 2019 at 09:41
Feb 22, 2011からメンバー
4862 投稿
Jdimitrov posted:togr posted:
The problem with BTC vs. fiat price drops is not the investors losing money.
Good trader makes money shorting the asset as well.
The real issue lies with miners.
The level where BTC mining brings profit is around $6,000.
If the price stands below that level for long time, a lot of miners will be OOB.
The exception: Chinese mining companies are still profitable around $1500-$2000.
So problem solved?
No. The problem is blockchain is independent only when none is able to control more than 50% of miners.
And that could happen in China.
Your thoughts?
That is a very interesting comment about the discrepancy in mining costs leading to control of BTC. But even is Chinese miners held 50% they would not necessarily be all working together. If they did then it would need to be kept secret otherwise the interest in BTC would collapse. So achieving control would be extremely difficult in practice
Well yes it is not sure that this will happen. But China is centrally planned and controlled economy. In such country the risk of global control of BTC blockchain is immense.
Feb 04, 2019 at 12:46
Feb 22, 2011からメンバー
4862 投稿
Molly141 posted:
I mean eveyrbody going on about how it was guaranteed money, then it crcashed.
Well crypto is volatile there is no guarantee you will profit from hodling, but you could have make a lot of money shorting it.
There is no asset with the price always growing.
Feb 04, 2019 at 16:07
Dec 28, 2013からメンバー
171 投稿
togr posted:Molly141 posted:
I mean eveyrbody going on about how it was guaranteed money, then it crcashed.
Well crypto is volatile there is no guarantee you will profit from hodling, but you could have make a lot of money shorting it.
There is no asset with the price always growing.
Initially bitcoin was marketed generally as a non-inflationary currency. It was told that it is deflationary, and because one can't increase the amount of bitcoins its value is going to increase. What has happened to cryptocurrencies is actually lot worse. Although, when I saw the graph of BTCUSD I saw classical signs before market crash: that is exponentially rising value.
With a classical inflationary currency one usually has a lot of time to react in normal inflationary conditions.
Most of the people would have been satisfied with bitcoin maintaining its value.
I suspect that cryptocurrencies in general have lost their credibility for a long time. Besides, there are tens of alternatives for investing on cryptos. Who can say this is the right one?
Mar 12, 2019 at 07:34
Feb 22, 2011からメンバー
4862 投稿
niceGLer posted:togr posted:Molly141 posted:
I mean eveyrbody going on about how it was guaranteed money, then it crcashed.
Well crypto is volatile there is no guarantee you will profit from hodling, but you could have make a lot of money shorting it.
There is no asset with the price always growing.
Initially bitcoin was marketed generally as a non-inflationary currency. It was told that it is deflationary, and because one can't increase the amount of bitcoins its value is going to increase. What has happened to cryptocurrencies is actually lot worse. Although, when I saw the graph of BTCUSD I saw classical signs before market crash: that is exponentially rising value.
With a classical inflationary currency one usually has a lot of time to react in normal inflationary conditions.
Most of the people would have been satisfied with bitcoin maintaining its value.
I suspect that cryptocurrencies in general have lost their credibility for a long time. Besides, there are tens of alternatives for investing on cryptos. Who can say this is the right one?
But that
Initially bitcoin was marketed generally as a non-inflationary currency. It was told that it is deflationary, and because one can't increase the amount of bitcoins its value is going to increase.
is right. You need to look at BTC price from long term perspective.
It has grown from zero value to 20k value very fast.

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