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The future of Crypto

Jan 31, 2019 at 15:18
5,999浏览
202 Replies
会员从Feb 22, 2011开始   4862帖子
Jan 31, 2019 at 15:18
The problem with BTC vs. fiat price drops is not the investors losing money.
Good trader makes money shorting the asset as well.
The real issue lies with miners.
The level where BTC mining brings profit is around $6,000.
If the price stands below that level for long time, a lot of miners will be OOB.
The exception: Chinese mining companies are still profitable around $1500-$2000.
So problem solved?
No. The problem is blockchain is independent only when none is able to control more than 50% of miners.
And that could happen in China.

Your thoughts?
会员从Jan 22, 2019开始   25帖子
Feb 01, 2019 at 09:59
Does Crypto have a future?
会员从Jan 31, 2019开始   16帖子
Feb 01, 2019 at 11:49
Molly141 posted:
Does Crypto have a future?
😂😂😂
The AI is the future.
会员从Feb 22, 2011开始   4862帖子
Feb 01, 2019 at 11:53
Sure it does. Even on decreasing price you can make profit by shorting it
会员从Dec 28, 2013开始   171帖子
Feb 01, 2019 at 13:45
togr posted:
Sure it does. Even on decreasing price you can make profit by shorting it
It is like in Weimarer Republik tackling with hyperinflation. If you have money, buy anything you can. It's a bit late thought..
会员从Feb 22, 2011开始   4862帖子
Feb 01, 2019 at 13:51
A lot of guys consider crypto as simply spending fiat to buy BTC.
World of crypto is much more diverse. If you want to hodl why not buy XRP which is going to be used by international banks to settle transactions.
会员从Dec 28, 2013开始   171帖子
Feb 01, 2019 at 17:51
togr posted:
A lot of guys consider crypto as simply spending fiat to buy BTC.
World of crypto is much more diverse. If you want to hodl why not buy XRP which is going to be used by international banks to settle transactions.

This is interesting: Where did you get this info? Could you cite us the source?
会员从Feb 01, 2019开始   10帖子
Feb 03, 2019 at 07:25
togr posted:
The problem with BTC vs. fiat price drops is not the investors losing money.
Good trader makes money shorting the asset as well.
The real issue lies with miners.
The level where BTC mining brings profit is around $6,000.
If the price stands below that level for long time, a lot of miners will be OOB.
The exception: Chinese mining companies are still profitable around $1500-$2000.
So problem solved?
No. The problem is blockchain is independent only when none is able to control more than 50% of miners.
And that could happen in China.

Your thoughts?



That is a very interesting comment about the discrepancy in mining costs leading to control of BTC. But even is Chinese miners held 50% they would not necessarily be all working together. If they did then it would need to be kept secret otherwise the interest in BTC would collapse. So achieving control would be extremely difficult in practice
会员从Jan 31, 2019开始   2帖子
Feb 03, 2019 at 08:07
just an image ,


 


附件:

会员从Apr 18, 2017开始   920帖子
Feb 03, 2019 at 08:15
Molly141 posted:
Does Crypto have a future?

Of course, it has! But will take time to make the ground. This is why, long term view is very much important.
会员从Jan 22, 2019开始   25帖子
Feb 04, 2019 at 07:49
Sorry for what was possibly a dumb question, I only know what I have seen banded about facebook/
会员从Feb 22, 2011开始   4862帖子
Feb 04, 2019 at 09:39
niceGLer posted:
togr posted:
A lot of guys consider crypto as simply spending fiat to buy BTC.
World of crypto is much more diverse. If you want to hodl why not buy XRP which is going to be used by international banks to settle transactions.

This is interesting: Where did you get this info? Could you cite us the source?
https://ethereumworldnews.com/top-ten-u-s-bank-pnc-to-use-ripple-for-international-payments/
会员从Feb 22, 2011开始   4862帖子
Feb 04, 2019 at 09:41
Jdimitrov posted:
togr posted:
The problem with BTC vs. fiat price drops is not the investors losing money.
Good trader makes money shorting the asset as well.
The real issue lies with miners.
The level where BTC mining brings profit is around $6,000.
If the price stands below that level for long time, a lot of miners will be OOB.
The exception: Chinese mining companies are still profitable around $1500-$2000.
So problem solved?
No. The problem is blockchain is independent only when none is able to control more than 50% of miners.
And that could happen in China.

Your thoughts?



That is a very interesting comment about the discrepancy in mining costs leading to control of BTC. But even is Chinese miners held 50% they would not necessarily be all working together. If they did then it would need to be kept secret otherwise the interest in BTC would collapse. So achieving control would be extremely difficult in practice

Well yes it is not sure that this will happen. But China is centrally planned and controlled economy. In such country the risk of global control of BTC blockchain is immense.
会员从Feb 22, 2011开始   4862帖子
Feb 04, 2019 at 09:41
Molly141 posted:
Sorry for what was possibly a dumb question, I only know what I have seen banded about facebook/

What's the thing on Facebook?
会员从Jan 22, 2019开始   25帖子
Feb 04, 2019 at 12:37
I mean eveyrbody going on about how it was guaranteed money, then it crcashed.
会员从Feb 22, 2011开始   4862帖子
Feb 04, 2019 at 12:46
Molly141 posted:
I mean eveyrbody going on about how it was guaranteed money, then it crcashed.

Well crypto is volatile there is no guarantee you will profit from hodling, but you could have make a lot of money shorting it.

There is no asset with the price always growing.
会员从Dec 28, 2013开始   171帖子
Feb 04, 2019 at 16:07
togr posted:
Molly141 posted:
I mean eveyrbody going on about how it was guaranteed money, then it crcashed.

Well crypto is volatile there is no guarantee you will profit from hodling, but you could have make a lot of money shorting it.

There is no asset with the price always growing.

Initially bitcoin was marketed generally as a non-inflationary currency. It was told that it is deflationary, and because one can't increase the amount of bitcoins its value is going to increase. What has happened to cryptocurrencies is actually lot worse. Although, when I saw the graph of BTCUSD I saw classical signs before market crash: that is exponentially rising value.
With a classical inflationary currency one usually has a lot of time to react in normal inflationary conditions.

Most of the people would have been satisfied with bitcoin maintaining its value.

I suspect that cryptocurrencies in general have lost their credibility for a long time. Besides, there are tens of alternatives for investing on cryptos. Who can say this is the right one?
会员从Feb 08, 2019开始   213帖子
Mar 11, 2019 at 07:27
Thousands of alternatives these days
会员从Apr 18, 2017开始   920帖子
Mar 12, 2019 at 07:26
Treeny posted:
Thousands of alternatives these days

Yes it is; but end of the day it’s a good sign in trading industry! I am really excited to see the movements of crypto market.
会员从Feb 22, 2011开始   4862帖子
Mar 12, 2019 at 07:34
niceGLer posted:
togr posted:
Molly141 posted:
I mean eveyrbody going on about how it was guaranteed money, then it crcashed.

Well crypto is volatile there is no guarantee you will profit from hodling, but you could have make a lot of money shorting it.

There is no asset with the price always growing.

Initially bitcoin was marketed generally as a non-inflationary currency. It was told that it is deflationary, and because one can't increase the amount of bitcoins its value is going to increase. What has happened to cryptocurrencies is actually lot worse. Although, when I saw the graph of BTCUSD I saw classical signs before market crash: that is exponentially rising value.
With a classical inflationary currency one usually has a lot of time to react in normal inflationary conditions.

Most of the people would have been satisfied with bitcoin maintaining its value.

I suspect that cryptocurrencies in general have lost their credibility for a long time. Besides, there are tens of alternatives for investing on cryptos. Who can say this is the right one?

But that
Initially bitcoin was marketed generally as a non-inflationary currency. It was told that it is deflationary, and because one can't increase the amount of bitcoins its value is going to increase.
 is right. You need to look at BTC price from long term perspective.
It has grown from zero value to 20k value very fast.
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