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Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Jul 01, 2015 at 13:29

Angela Merkel said that should not be discussed new proposals while the Greek people do not express themselves through the referendum.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Jun 30, 2015 at 11:56

US markets closed with very wide losses. The reaction of US investors was significant. Until yesterday, and as at similar times in the past, the US stock markets have always considered the Greek situation a European issue with limited potential to affect the US economy. However, given the high uncertainty that is spreading throughout the Eurozone, US investors fear that the modest European economic recovery is compromised, adversely influencing this quarter the attempted acceleration of the US economy. In a risk aversion context, the publication of economic data has been relegated to a lower p...

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Jun 29, 2015 at 13:07

The Greek Government stated that banks today would not open and would be imposed controls on withdrawals (maximum € 60 daily) and movement of capital, also deciding the closing of the Athens stock exchange presumably to the referendum in Sunday.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Jun 26, 2015 at 15:11

Now, creditors expect Greece to present a new plan so that the technicians from both sides can discuss it until Saturday lunch time, when it will be held the Eurogroup meeting. Chancellor Angela Merkel was adamant in saying that an agreement should be reached by Sunday before the opening of financial markets on Monday.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Jun 25, 2015 at 15:20

Investor fears does not relate to the relevance of Greece itself but with the impact of a hypothetical failure could have on financial markets. This scenario would be a negative factor in the global environment, characterized by the slowdown of the Chinese economy and the contraction of many emerging economies. Thus, the dependence of the US economy from domestic factors would increase.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Jun 24, 2015 at 12:07

Concerning the Greek issue, the current situation is characterized by reduced time available, which forces players to discuss frankly and directly and by a change of tone in the negotiations. Yesterday, the President of the Eurogroup, said the Greek proposal is a step in the right direction and that is inclusive and comprehensive, adding the possibility of an agreement later in the week. A detailed plan resulting from technical meetings must be approved by the Eurogroup before being proposed at the European Council on Thursday. The last phase shall provide for the adoption of the final proposa...

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Jun 23, 2015 at 14:55

For Greece, quite a lot has been lost! Such a delay would only make sense if the deal got better.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Jun 22, 2015 at 11:29

Asian indexes closed higher, with emphasis on Japanese equities. The Nikkei led the Asian session, basing its performance on the valuation of the financial system. The Chinese markets were closed. Last Friday recorded losses of more than 6%, exhibiting high volatility, which is a warning sign.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Jun 19, 2015 at 11:46

Today will take place the expiration of futures and options, known as quadruple witching. Quadruple witching happens when three related classes of options and futures contracts expire, along with the individual stock futures options. Quadruple witching days are usually accompanied by considerable volatility in stock and derivative prices, as well as increased trading volume, with the occurrence of erratic movements. The most most volatile time of day shall be 13h30 (open) and 18h00. Statistically, the sessions of quadruple witching are positive for the equity markets.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Jun 18, 2015 at 10:56

It is not excluded that the European countries present Greece a new proposal, which would probably be a temporary solution that would allow the country to receive a portion of the tranche that was suspended since February (7200 M €) in exchange for the adoption of certain measures. Thus, this hypothetical proposal would not aim at solving the structural problems of Greece but would be more an extension of the second ground plan and that would give more time for negotiators to reach a more lasting solution. Even not reached an agreement today, is not to rule out the possibility of being sc...

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Jun 17, 2015 at 09:07

Against this rather uncertain and threatening scenario, the performance of equity markets during yesterday’s session was quite interesting. After accumulating losses of about 1.50%, major European indexes embarked on a solid recovery, finishing the day with about 0.50% gains. This pattern may have various reasons but probably was due to the closing of selling positions by investors. If on one hand the longer pass the smaller the probability of an agreement (which has a negative impact on the market and therefore these positive selling positions) on the other hand there is always the poss...

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Jun 16, 2015 at 15:06

European stocks rose from an almost four-month low as Swiss equities rallied. Greek shares tumbled amid the country’s debt impasse. The situation in Greece continues to haunt equity markets. After negotiations between this country and its creditors were interrupted on Sunday, things have become considerably more tense. Yesterday, Tsipras Prime Minister said in Athens that his country will not stoop to their foreign creditors, referring to the condition imposed by its partners to reform the pension system, one of the most expensive in the eurozone. The position of Prime Minister was suppo...

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Jun 15, 2015 at 14:35

There is the hypothesis of the European partners adopt a ultimatum posture to Greece, similar to the one adopted two years ago to Cyprus

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Jun 12, 2015 at 11:31

European markets started the session trading in slight decline. Equities pared gains yesterday after the International Monetary Fund said that its team negotiating with Greece left Brussels after failing to make progress on a debt deal.The IMF cited “major differences” for the withdrawal of its team, although it left the door open for further talks. The decision came amid increasing criticism from creditors at the Greek government’s refusal to bow to their demands, risking a default and ultimately an exit from the euro area. In addition, some European leaders demonstrated th...

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Jun 11, 2015 at 16:00

The S & P yesterday lowered the rating of Greece from CCC + to CCC with a negative outlook, reflecting the impasse in negotiations. This agency also said that without a reform of the state and sustained economic growth, Greece’s debt is unsustainable.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Jun 10, 2015 at 21:04

Stock Market initiated a recovery from recent losses after Bloomberg reported Germany may be willing to offer a staggered deal to Greece.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Jun 09, 2015 at 11:24

If the DAX doesn't recover soon to levels above 11150/11170, it's likely to occur a stronger correction than the ones observed in recent months.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Jun 08, 2015 at 11:05

After the opening, European markets negotiate without major fluctuations. The situation in Greece should continue to capture the attention of investors. An exchange of accusations between the European Commission President Juncker and Prime Minister Tsipras took place during the weekend. While the second set as “unacceptable” proposals of creditors, Jean-Claude Juncker argued that these proposals were distorted by the Athens authorities. The European indices will be influenced by the outcome of these negotiations (which are usually accompanied by news, rumors and denials), the Euro&...

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Jun 05, 2015 at 09:24

European markets started the session slightly lower. Yesterday, Greece announced that it will not now repay 310 M.€ to the IMF, and also advance that can concentrate the payment of the remaining 1300 M.€ that has to be carried out during June at the end of the month. The Greek Prime Minister said that the proposal of creditors does not constitute a starting point for an understanding. This decision does not imply a breach or default. The infringement procedure is often long and complex. The first consequence of a failure to pay the IMF will suspend any additional funding to Greece. H...

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Jun 04, 2015 at 10:53

Asian markets closed lower. The central theme of the session was the drop in Chinese equities. The Shanghai Composite was losing more than 5% before recovering part of the losses, devaluing about 3% by 7:00 a.m. (GMT). One reason for the decline was the news that one of the largest brokers in the country would reduce the amount of loans given to retail investors. Many of these investors fund to invest, depositing a collateral (margin) which is just a portion of that funding. Thus, exposure to the equity market is well above the capital of these investors, which exponentially increases the pot...

EURUSD	1.1301	GBPUSD	1.32594	AUDUSD	0.64478
USDJPY	144.668	USDCAD	1.379	USDCHF	0.82566

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