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bewayopa
Jun 27 2015 at 15:59
372 комментариев
The attitude of the Greek rulers on the Greek debt seems to be, 'too big to care'.
bewayopa
Jun 27 2015 at 16:48
372 комментариев
The total debt of Greece amounts to 315 billion euros. The largest creditor is by far the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF), which holds 44.9% of the total public debt. The second largest share, with 17.5% of the total, is in the hands of private investors in the form of sovereign bonds.
Abdul2012
Jun 27 2015 at 18:36
413 комментариев
The EUR/USD under the pressure of the strong US Dollar and Monday most likely it will break below 1.1130.
Alex
Look009
Jun 28 2015 at 06:31
224 комментариев
Future is not predictable until it happens. We can only predict the chaos and volatility
Anios FX Ltd (Inari)
Jun 28 2015 at 06:38
42 комментариев
Well the gauntlet has been thrown down by the creditors - no extension of the repayment due on Tuesday to allow for the referendum the following Sunday - big question now is (assuming there are no further twists) will the ECB support the Greek banks after Tuesday? I sense a few people running to the ATMs over there just now!



Sean
Zainal Arifin (saintdev)
Jun 28 2015 at 06:43
5 комментариев
a misleading by news.. it is obviously a drama... a small country against all odds and no one take action?
usd went strong last week, while china did the rest takeover?
monday, 'payback' would come.. glory to gold!
Alex
Look009
Jun 28 2015 at 06:48
224 комментариев
Abdul2012 posted:
The EUR/USD under the pressure of the strong US Dollar and Monday most likely it will break below 1.1130.

We will see !
keith Mellor (Sceadagenga)
Jun 28 2015 at 11:28
83 комментариев
I think Greek banks will not open and so there will be high volatility through Monday and Tuesday. Consolidation through Wednesday and a new cycle of Volatility after GBP on Thursday. EUR/USD down to 1.10500 could bring out the bulls.
Si eius XCIX% Ius ergo est Nefas - Sileo processus (If its 99% Right then it is Wrong - Restart the process)
keith Mellor (Sceadagenga)
Jun 28 2015 at 11:31
83 комментариев
GBP on Thursday(damn spellchecker) not GBP.
Si eius XCIX% Ius ergo est Nefas - Sileo processus (If its 99% Right then it is Wrong - Restart the process)
Anios FX Ltd (Inari)
Jun 28 2015 at 13:44
42 комментариев
My thoughts in this ever changing debate, for what it is worth, is that

There will have to be some capital controls imposed by Greece on its people now that it seems likely that the ECB will no longer provide the necessary liquidity.

Greece will default on its IMF loan repayment on Tuesday evening

The Greek people will face hardship this week and that may influence the NO vote come Sunday - even though the vote my no longer be relevant.

As for the Eur/Usd

For a few weeks it has started to build up a resilience to the Greek news and counter news stories...

Now however actuals are starting to materialise and here are the hard facts...

The impact of QE will affect the EUR/USD as it rolls out continues
The Greek situation is now more tangible and this in no way strengthens the EUR/USD bullish cause
Interest Rates are much more likely than ever to rise in the US than Euroland

Given that the medium term outlook for the EUR/USD has to be bearish and a trend towards USD parity seems the route with the highest probability...

Of course who knows for sure - there may be a last gasp Greek rescue - but that's the risk we take when making predictions :)

Sean
Anios FX Ltd (Inari)
Jun 28 2015 at 13:48
42 комментариев
So an olive branch from the ECB in terms of funding to the Greek banks at least for Monday - but after Tuesday more extensions fly in the face of the ECB charters... We will see...

Sean
ZOOM
Jun 28 2015 at 16:47
39 комментариев
Yeah, you are right. But news reports are saying they capped the ELA at the previous max levels, which should still be enough for a couple of days? Key is the June 30th IMF loan repayment. Will be interesting what happens next. One of the key trades I had/have in mind is CHF/JPY short if nothing positive comes out before/after Tuesday.
csc2009
Jun 28 2015 at 20:47
834 комментариев
A Greek bank holiday on Monday was announced today, there are rumors about it may extend for the whole week. The news could be extremely bearish for Eur/Usd.
ZOOM
Jun 28 2015 at 21:02
39 комментариев
Too bad that brokerages are closed and cannot enter any EUR/USD shorts atm, wonder where the EUR/USD will shift by the time they open in a couple of hours in Asia.... Any thoughts on whether the eur/usd will be lower during European hours than during Asian hours?
Mikaels Demo (Spackelspade)
Jun 28 2015 at 21:13
53 комментариев
ZOOM
Jun 28 2015 at 21:19
39 комментариев
Sub 1.10 now.... TP on small positions hit.....
Meanwhile my bit larger CHF/JPY short went up something like 200pips
Anios FX Ltd (Inari)
Jun 29 2015 at 06:34
42 комментариев
And it's official - it's a Bank Holiday in Greece tomorrow - Would hate to be an ATM over there right now
Anios FX Ltd (Inari)
Jun 29 2015 at 06:38
42 комментариев
FXCM Open - but EUR/USD quoted at 1.1004/06
Milton Torres (miltont)
Jun 29 2015 at 06:39
2 комментариев
Hugo ONeill (honeill)
Jun 29 2015 at 07:39
1141 комментариев
On Friday session the EURUSD fell and closed in the red near the low of the day, below the 50-moving average. The Greek drama is coming to an end as Greece prepares to hold a referendum on July the 5th over its bailout program. Key levels to watch today the 1.1097 daily support, 1.1058 Fibonacci retracement (38.2) and 1.0955 Fibonacci retracement (50.0).
"I trade to make money not to be right."
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