Forex Market Report - 31st July 2024

Our forex market report offers an overview of critical economic and financial events that impact the global forex markets. Traders should closely monitor developments to fine-tune their trading strategies accordingly.

1. Federal Reserve Policy Decision 

  • The Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting is expected to provide more clarity on the future interest rate path.
  • Analysts are speculating on whether the Fed will continue with rate hikes or signal a pause.
  • The decision could significantly impact USD pairs, particularly EUR/USD and USD/JPY. 

2. Eurozone Inflation Data

  • Eurozone inflation figures are scheduled for release, with markets looking for signs of persistent price pressures.
  • Higher-than-expected inflation may prompt the European Central Bank (ECB) to maintain or increase its tightening measures.
  • The data will be crucial for EUR pairs, especially EUR/USD and EUR/GBP. 

3. Bank of Japan Monetary Policy

  • The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is set to announce its monetary policy stance, with traders watching for any changes to its ultra-loose policy.
  • Speculation about potential adjustments to yield curve control or interest rates is high.
  • JPY pairs, particularly USD/JPY and EUR/JPY, will be highly sensitive to the BoJ’s announcements. 

4. U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)

  • The latest U.S. NFP report is due, providing insight into the health of the U.S. labour market.
  • Strong job growth could support further Fed tightening, while weaker numbers may prompt a dovish shift.
  • This release is a major driver for USD pairs, including GBP/USD and AUD/USD. 

5. China's Economic Data

  • Key economic indicators from China, such as GDP growth and industrial production, are expected.
  • Weak data may increase concerns about a slowdown in the world's second-largest economy, affecting global risk sentiment.
  • Commodity-linked currencies like AUD and NZD, as well as CNY pairs, are likely to react strongly to this data. 

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