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EUR/USD
Member Since Oct 08, 2011
137 posts
Nov 24, 2014 at 10:10
Member Since Oct 08, 2011
137 posts
Would you mind posting your long term trading history using the method you described. If you are using MT4 then hope it is not difficult to post a verified trading account here. Cheers.
I do not trade currencies, I teach price-bar formations. Some of my students trade currencies. With price-bar formations, any market can be traded. A chart is a chart, they all look the same and show the same formations.
I do not trade currencies, I teach price-bar formations. Some of my students trade currencies. With price-bar formations, any market can be traded. A chart is a chart, they all look the same and show the same formations.
"a little bit of knowledge is a dangerous thing"
Member Since Jul 10, 2014
1117 posts
Nov 24, 2014 at 14:34
Member Since Jul 10, 2014
1117 posts
Despite its descent on Friday EUR/USD reached the support level at 1.2350 and bounced back, forming what appears to be a double bottom on the daily filter chart, so a new movement to the upside is possible. On the other hand, the bearish trend is not over, so I doubt this is a long-term reversal. That said, a new drop will be confimed when or if it breaks below the support at 1.2350.
Member Since Nov 11, 2012
271 posts
Nov 24, 2014 at 20:27
(edited Nov 24, 2014 at 20:40)
Member Since Nov 11, 2012
271 posts
takechance posted:
We may see a green UP bar for today.
I have taken a small long position at 1.2365 which I will quit either at the end of the day or will hold for tomorrow depending upon how the day progresses.
Have a nice trading week ahead.
Nicely banked 70 pips from y'day long trade.
Cheers.
antariks1@
Member Since Jun 08, 2014
454 posts
Member Since Apr 14, 2014
230 posts
Member Since Nov 11, 2012
271 posts
Nov 24, 2014 at 22:35
Member Since Nov 11, 2012
271 posts
Today will be a confusing day for both the bulls and the bears.
Yesterday's pullback has disappointed the bears a bit and the market right now is exactly at the 38.2% retracement level of the whole bull rally started from 7.11 till 19.11. It can go anywhere from this point, either quickly back to 1.2357 or to the 61.8% level at 1.2506 for a test.
I am getting a confusing signal favoring both directions hence think it is prudent to sit quite for today and watch.
Yesterday's pullback has disappointed the bears a bit and the market right now is exactly at the 38.2% retracement level of the whole bull rally started from 7.11 till 19.11. It can go anywhere from this point, either quickly back to 1.2357 or to the 61.8% level at 1.2506 for a test.
I am getting a confusing signal favoring both directions hence think it is prudent to sit quite for today and watch.
antariks1@
Nov 24, 2014 at 23:46
Member Since Jun 07, 2011
372 posts
The daily momentum studies indicate positive divergence between them and the price action, which gives additional reason to wait for a fall.
R3 - 1.25539
R2 - 1.24990
R1 - 1.24696
Daily Std. Pivot - 1.24147
S1 - 1.23853
S2 - 1.23304
S3 - 1.23010
R3 - 1.25539
R2 - 1.24990
R1 - 1.24696
Daily Std. Pivot - 1.24147
S1 - 1.23853
S2 - 1.23304
S3 - 1.23010
Member Since Oct 11, 2013
775 posts
Member Since Apr 08, 2014
1141 posts
Nov 25, 2014 at 07:21
Member Since Apr 08, 2014
1141 posts
EURUSD initially fell during the course of yesterday session, but found enough support to bounce back up from the 1.24 handle. However, this is a pair that in a strong downward trend, so we may expect some sideways consolidation and the pair should continue to stay below the 1.26 level in the foreseeable future.
"I trade to make money not to be right."
Nov 25, 2014 at 07:37
Member Since Aug 07, 2014
13 posts
Fundies this week remain focused on EU:
1. EU Assessments for 2015 budgets
2. EC President Juncker unveils a new 3yr 300bln euro infrastructure program by the EIB.
In short, the program is too small in capacity and therefore too small of scale to make an actual difference. Fundamentally, agree with the technicals for a bearish break lower towards 1.2000 initially. However, would expect overextended positioning leads to a whiplash before breaking down further.
1. EU Assessments for 2015 budgets
2. EC President Juncker unveils a new 3yr 300bln euro infrastructure program by the EIB.
In short, the program is too small in capacity and therefore too small of scale to make an actual difference. Fundamentally, agree with the technicals for a bearish break lower towards 1.2000 initially. However, would expect overextended positioning leads to a whiplash before breaking down further.
We enjoy the process far more than the proceeds - Omaha's Oracle & legendary investor Warren Buffet
Member Since Nov 03, 2014
37 posts
Member Since Oct 08, 2011
137 posts
Nov 25, 2014 at 09:12
Member Since Oct 08, 2011
137 posts
EUR/USD daily-chart update:
as I posted last week, Friday's bar was the 6. bar in consolidation, which is the most difficult to trade. The low of Friday's bar did not violate the low of Nov. 11, (at least not on our FXCM charts), therefore the consolidation is still valid and currently on bar nr. 8.
A consolidation cannot have more than 10 bars.
The highs from last week's Wednesday, Thursday & Friday bars are still valid buy-stop entries.
Trade-entry buy-stop prices:
Last Wednesday: exact price of high
Last Thursday: high price + 1 pip
Last Friday: high price + 1 pip.
The high from yesterday (+ 1 pip) is also a valid entry, but very high risk!
If the low of Nov. 11 is violated (1.2356), then the entries above are not valid anymore.
If the high from last Wednesday breaks (1.2599) in the next couple days (without violating 1.2356) then yesterday's bar is called a 'thrust bar' and prices may rise significantly (1.2900 to 1.3000) over the next few weeks.
as I posted last week, Friday's bar was the 6. bar in consolidation, which is the most difficult to trade. The low of Friday's bar did not violate the low of Nov. 11, (at least not on our FXCM charts), therefore the consolidation is still valid and currently on bar nr. 8.
A consolidation cannot have more than 10 bars.
The highs from last week's Wednesday, Thursday & Friday bars are still valid buy-stop entries.
Trade-entry buy-stop prices:
Last Wednesday: exact price of high
Last Thursday: high price + 1 pip
Last Friday: high price + 1 pip.
The high from yesterday (+ 1 pip) is also a valid entry, but very high risk!
If the low of Nov. 11 is violated (1.2356), then the entries above are not valid anymore.
If the high from last Wednesday breaks (1.2599) in the next couple days (without violating 1.2356) then yesterday's bar is called a 'thrust bar' and prices may rise significantly (1.2900 to 1.3000) over the next few weeks.
"a little bit of knowledge is a dangerous thing"
Member Since Jul 10, 2014
1117 posts
Nov 25, 2014 at 16:19
Member Since Jul 10, 2014
1117 posts
EUR/USD really did form a double bottom at the support at the 1.2350, which proved to be quite strong, and is now headed for 1.2570. Between that double bottom and the strong support I am starting to wonder whether this is not the beginning of a more long-term correction.
Member Since Jun 08, 2014
454 posts
Member Since Nov 11, 2012
271 posts
Nov 25, 2014 at 23:17
Member Since Jun 07, 2011
372 posts
EUR / USD continued its recovery on Monday.
Looking at the daily momentum studies, we still see positive divergence between them and the price action, which stimulates thinking that is coming soon a new fall confirming the downward trend in the long run.
R3 - 1.25900
R2 - 1.25382
R1 - 1.25051
Daily Std. Pivot - 1.24533
S1 - 1.24202
S2 - 1.23684
S3 - 1.23353
Looking at the daily momentum studies, we still see positive divergence between them and the price action, which stimulates thinking that is coming soon a new fall confirming the downward trend in the long run.
R3 - 1.25900
R2 - 1.25382
R1 - 1.25051
Daily Std. Pivot - 1.24533
S1 - 1.24202
S2 - 1.23684
S3 - 1.23353
Member Since Apr 14, 2014
230 posts
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