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# Hello everyone

Aug 25, 2017 at 10:51
1,848 Views
45 Replies
Member Since Feb 07, 2019   47 posts
Feb 21, 2019 at 13:02
AlHashim posted:
togr posted:
walpants posted:
hello and welcome, im new to, im doing a lot of reading on here, there is some very good advice on here.

I would not say you get proper education here on MFB

The forums are very good for tips and specific questions but there is better educational material in other places

of coarse, i am finding material from all over to add to my education.
Member Since Feb 13, 2019   10 posts
Feb 24, 2019 at 07:24
have you tried babypips? they have a lot of great info for total beginner
Member Since Mar 02, 2017   50 posts
Feb 24, 2019 at 13:19
After 4 years studying Forex I learned something called Positive Expectancy.
For example, in roulete game, your positive expectancy is:
Winning% - 1/38
Losing % - 37/38
Reward - 36
Loss - 1

Positive Expectancy = Winning% x Reward - Losing% x Loss
PE = 1/38 × 36 - 37/38 ×1
PE = 36/38 - 37/38
PE = -1/38 = - 2.63%

In short, no matter what you do, the house (Casino) has an edge. You only have luck to win the house...
But Casino has an insurance against lucky players: a max bet value.

But in Financial Markets, you need to do like Casino: a positive expectancy strategy with small bets in the long run.
Let's say your strategy has a winning ratio of 40%, a reward of 2, and you trade 20 positions a month, risking 0.5% per trade...

20 × 40% = 8 winning trades = 8 x 2 x 0.5% = 8% reward
20 x 60% = 12 losing trades = 12 x 1 x 0.5% = 6% loss
Monthly profit = 2%.

A 2% strategy means 27% a year... not bad, because 70% of retail traders fails! Why?
They don't have a strategy, they don't have money management. They only trust in luck.

If you want to win in market, you need:
1) a strategy where you know your risk (loss)
2) a strategy where you know your reward (profit)
3) a strategy where you know your winning ratio.

These 3 questions are not answered by 99% of Expert Advisors. Because Martingale/Grid/Averaging strategies (very common in these EAs) doesn't have a known risk. If a trade goes wrong, these EAs increase the risk in a new trade, to cover the previous loss and make some profit.

3 months of backtesting in a strategy that answer these 3 questions is enough. 1/3 months in foward test in a demo account is enough. Start small in real account, and be happy!

Trade safely... Remember, a high Drawdown means a high risk!
Member Since Feb 08, 2019   213 posts
Feb 24, 2019 at 13:50
BipinBike posted:
have you tried babypips? they have a lot of great info for total beginner

I agree
Member Since Feb 25, 2019   10 posts
Feb 25, 2019 at 13:49
Arcferreira posted:
After 4 years studying Forex I learned something called Positive Expectancy.
For example, in roulete game, your positive expectancy is:
Winning% - 1/38
Losing % - 37/38
Reward - 36
Loss - 1

Positive Expectancy = Winning% x Reward - Losing% x Loss
PE = 1/38 × 36 - 37/38 ×1
PE = 36/38 - 37/38
PE = -1/38 = - 2.63%

In short, no matter what you do, the house (Casino) has an edge. You only have luck to win the house...
But Casino has an insurance against lucky players: a max bet value.

But in Financial Markets, you need to do like Casino: a positive expectancy strategy with small bets in the long run.
Let's say your strategy has a winning ratio of 40%, a reward of 2, and you trade 20 positions a month, risking 0.5% per trade...

20 × 40% = 8 winning trades = 8 x 2 x 0.5% = 8% reward
20 x 60% = 12 losing trades = 12 x 1 x 0.5% = 6% loss
Monthly profit = 2%.

A 2% strategy means 27% a year... not bad, because 70% of retail traders fails! Why?
They don't have a strategy, they don't have money management. They only trust in luck.

If you want to win in market, you need:
1) a strategy where you know your risk (loss)
2) a strategy where you know your reward (profit)
3) a strategy where you know your winning ratio.

These 3 questions are not answered by 99% of Expert Advisors. Because Martingale/Grid/Averaging strategies (very common in these EAs) doesn't have a known risk. If a trade goes wrong, these EAs increase the risk in a new trade, to cover the previous loss and make some profit.

3 months of backtesting in a strategy that answer these 3 questions is enough. 1/3 months in foward test in a demo account is enough. Start small in real account, and be happy!

You make a very interesting point but the hard part for me has been finding a strategy that yields just 2%. Most strategy I try end up losing a lot not matter what I do
Member Since Feb 10, 2019   54 posts
Mar 05, 2019 at 07:25
I agree, Babypips is really helpful!
Member Since Feb 11, 2019   34 posts
Mar 10, 2019 at 06:47
hi and welcome! I have to say I love babypips, very good resource
Member Since Feb 07, 2019   47 posts
Mar 12, 2019 at 09:30
babypips and youtube have some great stuff.
Member Since Feb 08, 2019   21 posts
Mar 15, 2019 at 08:11
WELCOME BUDDY
Member Since Mar 20, 2019   10 posts
Mar 24, 2019 at 07:07
i agree with most here, babypips is the best place to learn
Member Since Feb 08, 2019   213 posts
Mar 25, 2019 at 06:55
AharonGorion posted:
Arcferreira posted:
After 4 years studying Forex I learned something called Positive Expectancy.
For example, in roulete game, your positive expectancy is:
Winning% - 1/38
Losing % - 37/38
Reward - 36
Loss - 1

Positive Expectancy = Winning% x Reward - Losing% x Loss
PE = 1/38 × 36 - 37/38 ×1
PE = 36/38 - 37/38
PE = -1/38 = - 2.63%

In short, no matter what you do, the house (Casino) has an edge. You only have luck to win the house...
But Casino has an insurance against lucky players: a max bet value.

But in Financial Markets, you need to do like Casino: a positive expectancy strategy with small bets in the long run.
Let's say your strategy has a winning ratio of 40%, a reward of 2, and you trade 20 positions a month, risking 0.5% per trade...

20 × 40% = 8 winning trades = 8 x 2 x 0.5% = 8% reward
20 x 60% = 12 losing trades = 12 x 1 x 0.5% = 6% loss
Monthly profit = 2%.

A 2% strategy means 27% a year... not bad, because 70% of retail traders fails! Why?
They don't have a strategy, they don't have money management. They only trust in luck.

If you want to win in market, you need:
1) a strategy where you know your risk (loss)
2) a strategy where you know your reward (profit)
3) a strategy where you know your winning ratio.

These 3 questions are not answered by 99% of Expert Advisors. Because Martingale/Grid/Averaging strategies (very common in these EAs) doesn't have a known risk. If a trade goes wrong, these EAs increase the risk in a new trade, to cover the previous loss and make some profit.

3 months of backtesting in a strategy that answer these 3 questions is enough. 1/3 months in foward test in a demo account is enough. Start small in real account, and be happy!

You make a very interesting point but the hard part for me has been finding a strategy that yields just 2%. Most strategy I try end up losing a lot not matter what I do

Doesn't have to be 2%. You can set yourself free with 0.5% edge or even lower
Member Since Jul 12, 2018   24 posts
Apr 01, 2019 at 08:15
Mikelsius posted:
I have been training for some time and now I am in the test phase in demo accounts :)

I'm from Barcelona, ​​regards!

Hi! And how is your trading going now? I'm sure you have found yourself a profitable strategy?
Member Since Feb 22, 2011   4862 posts
Apr 01, 2019 at 10:29
Treeny posted:
AharonGorion posted:
Arcferreira posted:
After 4 years studying Forex I learned something called Positive Expectancy.
For example, in roulete game, your positive expectancy is:
Winning% - 1/38
Losing % - 37/38
Reward - 36
Loss - 1

Positive Expectancy = Winning% x Reward - Losing% x Loss
PE = 1/38 × 36 - 37/38 ×1
PE = 36/38 - 37/38
PE = -1/38 = - 2.63%

In short, no matter what you do, the house (Casino) has an edge. You only have luck to win the house...
But Casino has an insurance against lucky players: a max bet value.

But in Financial Markets, you need to do like Casino: a positive expectancy strategy with small bets in the long run.
Let's say your strategy has a winning ratio of 40%, a reward of 2, and you trade 20 positions a month, risking 0.5% per trade...

20 × 40% = 8 winning trades = 8 x 2 x 0.5% = 8% reward
20 x 60% = 12 losing trades = 12 x 1 x 0.5% = 6% loss
Monthly profit = 2%.

A 2% strategy means 27% a year... not bad, because 70% of retail traders fails! Why?
They don't have a strategy, they don't have money management. They only trust in luck.

If you want to win in market, you need:
1) a strategy where you know your risk (loss)
2) a strategy where you know your reward (profit)
3) a strategy where you know your winning ratio.

These 3 questions are not answered by 99% of Expert Advisors. Because Martingale/Grid/Averaging strategies (very common in these EAs) doesn't have a known risk. If a trade goes wrong, these EAs increase the risk in a new trade, to cover the previous loss and make some profit.

3 months of backtesting in a strategy that answer these 3 questions is enough. 1/3 months in foward test in a demo account is enough. Start small in real account, and be happy!

You make a very interesting point but the hard part for me has been finding a strategy that yields just 2%. Most strategy I try end up losing a lot not matter what I do

Doesn't have to be 2%. You can set yourself free with 0.5% edge or even lower

It is nice to calculate expectancy when you know you have 8 winning trades and 12 losing trades.
But you never know how many trades will be winning and how many loosing.
Member Since Oct 31, 2018   10 posts
Apr 01, 2019 at 12:41
Treeny posted:
AharonGorion posted:
Arcferreira posted:
After 4 years studying Forex I learned something called Positive Expectancy.
For example, in roulete game, your positive expectancy is:
Winning% - 1/38
Losing % - 37/38
Reward - 36
Loss - 1

Positive Expectancy = Winning% x Reward - Losing% x Loss
PE = 1/38 × 36 - 37/38 ×1
PE = 36/38 - 37/38
PE = -1/38 = - 2.63%

In short, no matter what you do, the house (Casino) has an edge. You only have luck to win the house...
But Casino has an insurance against lucky players: a max bet value.

But in Financial Markets, you need to do like Casino: a positive expectancy strategy with small bets in the long run.
Let's say your strategy has a winning ratio of 40%, a reward of 2, and you trade 20 positions a month, risking 0.5% per trade...

20 × 40% = 8 winning trades = 8 x 2 x 0.5% = 8% reward
20 x 60% = 12 losing trades = 12 x 1 x 0.5% = 6% loss
Monthly profit = 2%.

A 2% strategy means 27% a year... not bad, because 70% of retail traders fails! Why?
They don't have a strategy, they don't have money management. They only trust in luck.

If you want to win in market, you need:
1) a strategy where you know your risk (loss)
2) a strategy where you know your reward (profit)
3) a strategy where you know your winning ratio.

These 3 questions are not answered by 99% of Expert Advisors. Because Martingale/Grid/Averaging strategies (very common in these EAs) doesn't have a known risk. If a trade goes wrong, these EAs increase the risk in a new trade, to cover the previous loss and make some profit.

3 months of backtesting in a strategy that answer these 3 questions is enough. 1/3 months in foward test in a demo account is enough. Start small in real account, and be happy!

You make a very interesting point but the hard part for me has been finding a strategy that yields just 2%. Most strategy I try end up losing a lot not matter what I do

Doesn't have to be 2%. You can set yourself free with 0.5% edge or even lower

I find getting an edge the difficult bit. I have trade the standard strategies but none of them give me the 'edge' that means I can beat the market and get some profit. 0.5% would be a vast improvement on the 20% loss that I am currently in
Member Since Mar 03, 2019   57 posts
Nov 05, 2019 at 11:31
Atchris posted:
i agree with most here, babypips is the best place to learn
yes i started off using Babypips and found it helped a lot.
Member Since Feb 23, 2021   330 posts
Jul 05, 2021 at 06:06
Atchris posted:
i agree with most here, babypips is the best place to learn
Yes. It helps a new trader a lot to learn many new things about trading and the market.
Member Since Nov 03, 2020   65 posts
Jul 06, 2021 at 04:27
I think it's right to learn as much as possible about how the market works and how you can improve your trading system
Member Since Feb 18, 2021   10 posts
Jul 22, 2021 at 07:24
Just like many others said, babypips is a good place to learn forex trading. For more sources of forex learning, certain youtube lectures are also worth watching.
Member Since Jul 23, 2020   759 posts
Sep 05, 2021 at 13:47
Hello in the forum. It is one of the best communities for traders.
Member Since Apr 16, 2017   39 posts
Sep 05, 2021 at 15:21
Mikelsius posted:
I have been training for some time and now I am in the test phase in demo accounts :)

I'm from Barcelona, ​​regards!

Hello mate I wish you all the best