atlantictrade's Beiträge - Seite 3

Market Fundamental Context in Erfahrene Trader Sep 03, 2025 at 08:53

When i will have time will post another one...

Market Fundamental Context in Erfahrene Trader Sep 03, 2025 at 08:52

The following situation is very similar but has a couple of differences. We are not interested in whether the price closed above or below the level. That is, the wick is also taken into account, but we are interested in the net momentum and the pullback from the level.

Market Fundamental Context in Erfahrene Trader Sep 03, 2025 at 08:46

You will have to check all this yourself and not just take our word for it. 1) False breakout with closing above the level (the smaller and shorter, the better) 2) The price should give a false breakout the next day and form something like a small sideways movement, and when its limits are broken, we enter on the correction. 3) Stop loss above the level, taking into account a possible correction, and take profit in the 0.61 zone, as this is the most likely scenario.

Market Fundamental Context in Erfahrene Trader Sep 03, 2025 at 08:43

I decided to share with you three ways to trade reversals and continuation movements in swing trading that I personally use in my trading. This is simply an advanced understanding of price action. It is not necessary to use fundamental analysis, although I strongly recommend being cautious in the event of important news. I recommend waiting for the results, as this can distort statistics and, in general, change the direction of the market. This approach works in the forex market but, unfortunately, is less effective in trending markets. We will analyze everything using examples. The basis of e...

Market Fundamental Context in Erfahrene Trader Sep 02, 2025 at 06:41

What a bad vacation start... ahah ( got BE on EURCHF on Monday and closed my CADCHF with small profit this morning) CADJPY got stopped out on dovish BoJ and strong dollar... Not so bad anyways... We do not control surprise data point that obviously come... Sometimes it is in our favor and other times not...Yen dominated currency moves in an otherwise subdued Asian session, with broad-based selling gathering pace. After weeks of range-bound trading, the Japanese currency may finally be breaking lower, particularly in the crosses where momentum is building.Trade uncertainty is a central factor. ...

Market Fundamental Context in Erfahrene Trader Aug 30, 2025 at 16:53

See you next week after vacation ahah

Market Fundamental Context in Erfahrene Trader Aug 30, 2025 at 16:52

My trade ideas ( it is only my opinion ) i see fundamental divergence between these pairs

Market Fundamental Context in Erfahrene Trader Aug 30, 2025 at 16:51

Is Fundamental Analysis Overrated in Forex? in Erfahrene Trader Aug 30, 2025 at 08:15

(Just my opinion) I think fundamentals matter a lot... Yes technicals can reflect fundamentals, but only on Daily and Weekly timeframe. If we talk about serious traders and investors who can move forex market ( no retails can do that at all ) we will see they all use fundamentals for trade ideas and technicals for entries, trade management. Also quantative analisis is usefull but you need programms to study this type of analisys. For me, every person who trade without fundamentals are trading blindly... Fundamentals reflect value of an asset ( of course it depends how you interpret them ) tech...

Market Fundamental Context in Erfahrene Trader Aug 28, 2025 at 07:35

Goldman Sachs maintains a cautious bias on AUD, NZD, and CAD in light of dovish domestic policy paths, but stresses that another bout of USD weakness could still offer upside. The takeaway: commodity G10s may participate in Dollar weakness, but less consistently and with lower conviction compared to EUR or JPY.BofA sees European FX leading the next leg of USD weakness, with SEK standing out as the most compelling bearish USD expression. While commodity FX may hold steadier, the quant and positioning picture favors selling the USD against EUR, GBP, CHF, and SEK.

Market Fundamental Context in Erfahrene Trader Aug 28, 2025 at 07:31

U.S. equities closed higher overnight, but Asian markets turned mixed on Thursday as risk sentiment remained muted. Nvidia’s stronger-than-expected earnings beat on both revenue and profit dominated headlines but failed to deliver a sustained boost to risk appetite.In currency markets, Dollar softened as this week’s rebound lost steam. Overall trading remained subdued with no major catalysts. Yen led gains on the day, followed by Loonie and Swiss Franc. On the downside, Euro lagged most, trailed by Dollar and Kiwi, while Sterling and Aussie held middle ground.Focus in Europe was on...

Market Fundamental Context in Erfahrene Trader Aug 26, 2025 at 12:16

Markets turned risk-averse again overnight, with Wall Street weakness spilling into Asia as political and trade developments rattled sentiment. Expectations that the Fed will cut rates in September remain intact, but investors are struggling to look past threats to central bank independence and a fresh wave of tariff risks.The flashpoint came Monday when US President Donald Trump announced he had fired Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, citing alleged misconduct related to mortgage applications. Cook immediately rejected the move, saying the president had “no authority” to dismiss...

Market Fundamental Context in Erfahrene Trader Aug 25, 2025 at 15:52

You should learn every piece of infromation you can... technicals / fundamentals / QA whatever... only you can make your strategy work... TO EACH THEIR OWN

Market Fundamental Context in Erfahrene Trader Aug 25, 2025 at 15:50

AND HERE WE GO... MY QA TRADING STYLE RESULT THIS WEEK

Market Fundamental Context in Erfahrene Trader Aug 25, 2025 at 15:49

Asian investors kicked off the week on a positive note, with equities advancing after Fed Chair Jerome Powell struck a dovish tone at Jackson Hole. Gains were particularly strong in Hong Kong, though most regional markets saw upward momentum, reflecting belief that the Fed appears ready to ease again soon.Still, market expectations have essentially reverted to where they stood before last week’s volatility. Fed fund futures are currently pricing an 87% probability of a September rate cut. Odds of a follow-up move in October stand at just 42%, while December is seen carrying more than an ...

Market Fundamental Context in Erfahrene Trader Aug 18, 2025 at 10:46

The interplay between Nikkei and Yen remains crucial. A softer yen improves exporters’ competitiveness, lifting equities. At the same time, robust equity performance can in turn weigh on the currency as investors channel funds into riskier assets. The feedback loop is evident again today, with Yen sliding broadly.In the currency markets, Yen leads losses, followed by Dollar and Euro. On the flip side, Kiwi, Aussie and Loonie are outperforming, reflecting demand for higher-beta plays in a risk-on environment. Sterling and Swiss Franc sit in the middle of the pack.With the economic calenda...

Market Fundamental Context in Erfahrene Trader Aug 12, 2025 at 17:38

Dollar came under renewed selling pressure in early US session following the release of July’s CPI report. Equity markets responded positively, with stock futures pushing higher as investors focused on the softer-than-expected headline reading, largely downplaying the firmer core figure. Market reaction suggests the report does little to disrupt expectations for the Fed to deliver its anticipated September rate cut.Futures pricing in fed funds markets even firmed slightly for a follow-up move in October. However, the policy outlook beyond September remains highly uncertain, as the impact...

Market Fundamental Context in Erfahrene Trader Aug 11, 2025 at 08:54

Markets began the week in tight ranges, with traders reluctant to take big positions. The August 12 deadline for a US–China trade deal is a major headline risk. For now, markets are betting heavily on an extension, with another 90-day truce seen as the most probable outcome.Still, the threat of escalation lingers. US President Donald Trump has floated the idea of higher tariffs on Chinese goods linked to Beijing’s purchases of Russian oil — mirroring his 25% additional tariffs on India for similar ties. Such measures would raise the stakes in the talks, though most expect the...

Market Fundamental Context in Erfahrene Trader Aug 09, 2025 at 07:55

To be honest it was hard week for me ( got GbpNzd short but lost it ) but made some profit on EurGbp longs and some Eurchf and AudJpy shorts scalps hit BE... So BE week overall... Be carefull with CHF cause tarrifs harmed outlook on that currency ( this is why i made only scalps ) Next week we have Trump + Putin meeting, if we get some sort of relief on this conflict, we could see more risk on unless it was priced in ( i dont think so)Next week will have a lot of data ( especially US CPI if it goes lower we surely get those cuts next meeting ) So be carefull and adapt...AUD have CB meeting and...

Market Fundamental Context in Erfahrene Trader Aug 08, 2025 at 11:23

After a week of volatility, the forex markets settled into a quieter rhythm during the Asian session on Friday. Swiss Franc stabilized somewhat, but remains the weakest performer this week after a heavy blow from Washington.Switzerland’s diplomatic efforts fell short as the harsh 39% US tariff on Swiss imports officially kicked in. The import levy is among the highest imposed under Trump’s “reciprocal tariff” regime. Swiss President Karin Keller-Sutter lamented the impact on industry, calling it “an extraordinarily difficult situation.” Despite intense eleve...

EURUSD	1.1442	GBPUSD	1.33675	AUDUSD	0.69308
USDJPY	161.05	USDCAD	1.41831	USDCHF	0.80269

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