Americans' incomes continue to rise sharply without fuelling inflation

Expert market comment made by Chief Market Analyst Alex Kuptsikevich of the FxPro Analyst Team: Americans' incomes continue to rise sharply without fuelling inflation
FxPro | 7 days ago

Americans' incomes continue to rise sharply without fuelling inflation

Household personal income in the US rose by 0.8% in April, following increases of 0.7% and 0.8% in the previous couple of months. This is the fourth consecutive month that the figure has exceeded analysts' average expectations, which were 0.3% this time. Meanwhile, we have become accustomed to the much more modest spending increase of 0.2% last month. Consequently, a growing proportion of income is being saved, reaching 4.9%, close to the 25-year average of 5.6%. This normalisation has been made possible by the slowdown in inflation, but it is also contributing to a further slowdown.

For example, the core personal spending price index slowed to 2.5% year-on-year, a four-year low. The data matched expectations, maintaining the slowdown trend and steadily approaching the Fed's 2% target. As the data was as expected, there was no sharp immediate reaction from the stock or currency markets. However, this news should reinforce the dovish stance of Fed members and bring the date of the next rate cut closer, as it has been moving further away since last November.

By the FxPro Analyst Team

Regulation: FCA (UK), SCB (The Bahamas)
read more
Dollar seeks to rebound as investors zero in on US data

Dollar seeks to rebound as investors zero in on US data

Trump-Musk public spat overshadows developments elsewhere; Trump-Xi call restarts US-China negotiations but outlook clouded; Key US data at 12:30 GMT; all eyes on nonfarm payrolls; Gold trades sideways, as silver jumps to a new high;
XM Group | 10h 12min ago
Markets Brace for NFP Showdown | 6th June, 2025

Markets Brace for NFP Showdown | 6th June, 2025

On June 6, 2025, global financial markets are cautious ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, expected to show 130,000 jobs added in May with a steady 4.2% unemployment rate. The Australian Dollar (AUD/USD at 0.6510) declines amid USD recovery (DXY at 98.80) but downside is limited by market caution.
Moneta Markets | 13h 19min ago
US data hurt the dollar, ECB to cut rates again

US data hurt the dollar, ECB to cut rates again

Dollar slides as ADP and ISM data miss estimates - Still, investors see 55bps Fed cuts in 2025 ahead of NFPs - BoC stands pad, signals that one more cut may be possible - ECB could deliver dovish rate cut; euro could pull back
XM Group | 1 day ago