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ortellius
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Posts by
ortellius
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Backtesting Results
in
New Traders
Oct 03 at 13:14
A 53% vs 33% win-rate with the same rules screams regime shift + small sample. Try segmenting by volatility/session and run a walk-forward: expand the 2024 sample, then forward-test live on tiny risk to see if the edge still shows up
What role does AI and automation play in optimizing options trading exchange p
in
General
Oct 03 at 12:57
Curious which models you’re actually running—feature-engineered tree ensembles or deep sequence models? Without tick-level out-of-sample results and explicit cost assumptions (slippage/fees), claims about ‘maximizing returns’ read like marketing; can you share a reproducible benchmark?
US & Global Economy Slowing – Tariffs to Blame?
in
General
Sep 30 at 11:42
Tariffs can be a headwind, but I’m watching leading data (PMIs/new orders) from my HFM MT5 economic calendar and financial conditions as the bigger drivers of risk appetite. If credit spreads widen while PMIs stay sub-50, the slowdown is more than just trade policy
Breakouts vs. Fakeouts – How to Identify the Difference
in
General
Sep 25 at 20:10
I also avoid entries that break against the higher-TF trend and only act after a clean retest holds - missing some moves, but my fakeouts dropped a lot
What Are Central Bank Speeches?
in
General
Sep 17 at 09:07
hawkish vs dovish sets the impulse. In my experience I wait for the first spike to fade, then let structure + RSI divergences confirm before touching anything—one line from a governor can reverse the day
Unemployment Data – Jobs as a Currency Driver
in
General
Sep 17 at 08:23
On NFP weeks I track unemployment alongside average hourly earnings and participation; a wage beat can move USD even when the headline rate is flat
Is Algorithmic Trading Really Better Than Manual Trading?
in
General
Sep 12 at 08:58
Guys, how are you handling regime shifts - volatility filters, walk-forward validation, and periodic re-optimization, or do you run stable parameters with risk-parity sizing?
CFD Trading in 2025 – What You Need to Know
in
General
Sep 11 at 19:18
CFDs are just tools - edge lives in execution and risk. Don’t hold a CFD swing if financing eats >10% of expected edge; test on demo, go live small, and plan for gaps/slippage.
Does anyone use EA/robot to trade ?
in
General
Sep 05 at 09:19
Agreed, especially if you can show it over 24 months with low DD. Anyone claiming ‘200% a week’ should post a verified, track-record-connected system; otherwise, risk management says hard pass
Does anyone use EA/robot to trade ?
in
General
Aug 28 at 12:24
+1 to that. Whenever I evaluate an EA, I want 24+ months OOS with max DD capped; ‘200% a week’ usually reads like martingale or grid unless proven otherwise
What method do you use to draw past support and resistance levels?
in
General
Aug 26 at 09:02
The more times a level is tested the stronger it gets. In my trading I map zones on D1/H4, then refine on M15 and only pull fibs when the impulse-correction structure is clean; ATR/wick clusters help me size the zone
The next altcoin run
in
General
Aug 26 at 08:32
ETH strength alone doesn’t guarantee an alt season; look for BTC dominance rolling over, positive net stablecoin inflows, and funding rates normalizing before chasing low-caps. Project plugs aside, on-chain activity and liquidity depth should lead the thesis, not listings hype. I entered small short on BTC with HFM when the coin was at 115, looking for a dip towards 105 or even 100
What is Gold's next move?
in
General
Aug 13 at 08:46
Good levels - on my HFM chart the 3,409 zone is the lid; I’ll only go long on a daily close above and clean retest, aiming 3,439 then 3,500.
Ever Tried CFD Stock Trading?
in
General
Aug 12 at 04:40
CFD stocks can be fine for short-term tactics, but in my backtests the financing/dividend adjustments and wider effective spread mattered a lot on swings. How are you handling corporate actions (dividends, splits) and overnight fees in your P&L tracking?
How do you develop your personal strategy?
in
General
Aug 06 at 12:03
testing, programming, backtesting, demo, then going live. It’s been key to consistency in my trading journey
How do you develop your personal strategy?
in
General
Aug 01 at 08:26
I’ve learned with HFM that tracking risk‑adjusted returns is much more insightful than raw gain alone. In my experience, verifying your system on MyFxBook and refining based on drawdown behavior builds real confidence.
How to Start CFD Trading? Any Tips for Beginners?
in
General
Aug 01 at 07:37
After years trading CFDs, demo testing helped me refine entries and manage leverage responsibly before risking real capital
Retail traders don’t need indicators - they need to stop lying to themselves
in
General
Jul 25 at 08:50
it’s not the indicator that fails you, it’s the lack of discipline and poor position sizing. In my years trading, I’ve found that waiting for high-probability setups and respecting risk rules yields far better results than stacking RSI, MACD, or Fib tools
CySec
in
General
Jul 23 at 11:28
With a few years of experience, I’ve learned that choosing a regulated CySEC broker like HFM can be reliable enough - just research individual track records rather than painting the whole region negatively
What are the main risks in Forex trading?
in
General
Jul 22 at 08:55
I’ve been there playing catch‑up after revenge trades. Over the past year I’ve improved by reducing lot size and always sticking to my plan
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