The euro recorded a third consecutive neutral session against the dollar on Tuesday. So the couple stayed in range by the end of last week, about the level of support at 1.0620. Short-term indicators at the moment, however, are in favor of the single currency. Trading on Tuesday was opened at a price of 1.0667, while the rate of closure was 5 pips higher. The trend varies in a very narrow range, the difference between the highest and lowest value for the day was 41 pips.
EUR/USD continues consolidating above 1.0640 after forming a hammer candlestick on the daily time-frame at that level. Considering the fundamentals tomorrow and on Friday, and especially the US Change of Non-Farm Payrolls on Friday, consolidation will likely continue for now.
Lately the EUR/USD pair is caught in tight range but according to the technical readings on the four-hour time frame the risk remains towards downwards. The pair is experiencing difficulties to puch higher above the the 20-day SMA, which is tending to south currenlty. RSI has switched to bullish mode, but yet is below mid-lines, while stochastic is caught in the middle and is trending to lows. Whereas the pair is standing still we should consider the key support level at 1.0620, as in case of breaking it, bears would be poised to chase 1.0565.
On yesterday session, the EURUSD initially fell but found yet again enough support at 1.0642 to reverse and close near the high of the day, however the currency pair closed within Tuesday’s range, which suggests being slightly on the bullish side of neutral.
The currency pair is trading above the 50-day moving average that should provide a dynamic support, however is still trading below 10 and 200-day moving averages that should provide dynamic resistance.
The key levels to watch are: a daily resistance at 1.0900, the 200-day moving average at 1.0825 (resistance), a daily resistance at 1.0819, the 10-day moving average at 1.0728 (resistance), a daily resistance at 1.0713, the 50-day moving average at 1.0657 (support) and a daily support at 1.0622.
Consolidation is getting tighter and tighter. While there's still a possibility that EUR/USD will start moving to the upside again, it's doubtful that there will be any major changes before the fundamentals tomorrow.
At the moment EUR/USD is losing 0.21% at 1.0642 and a breakdown of 1.0629 (low Apr.6) would target 1.0625 (100-day sma) and finally 1.0597 (low Mar.14). On the flip side, the immediate resistance is located at 1.0705 (high Mar.31) seconded by 1.0728 (20-day sma) and then 1.0772 (high Mar.30).
On yesterday session, the EURUSD initially tried to rise but found enough selling pressure around Wednesday open at 1.0679 to reverse and close near the low of the day, however the currency pair closed within Wednesdays range, which suggests being slightly on the bearish side of neutral.
The currency pair is trading below the 10, the 50 and 200-day moving averages that should provide dynamic resistance.
The key levels to watch are: The 200-day moving average at 1.0823 (resistance), a daily resistance at 1.0819, the 10-day moving average at 1.0709 (resistance), a daily resistance at 1.0713, the 50-day moving average at 1.0657 (resistance), a daily support at 1.0622 and a Fibonacci retracement at 1.0584 (support).
At the moment EUR/USD is losing 0.09% at 1.0634 and a breach of 1.0627 (low Apr.6) would target 1.0625 (100-day sma) en route to 1.0597 (low Mar.14). On the flip side, the immediate hurdle aligns at 1.0673 (55-day sma) followed by 1.0705 (high Mar.31) and finally 1.0724 (20-day sma).
The euro fell against the US dollar on Friday. By the close of US trading, EUR/USD was trading at 1.0591, losing 0.50%. I believe that support is now at 1.0581, the low of Friday's trading, and the resistance is likely at 1.0690 - the maximum of the Wednesday's trading.
The US NFP report today pushed the US dollar to donwards agains the major rivals and set the chances of an adance limited. EUR/USD remains within the well-known weekly range and finds difficulties to move above 1.0670 area.
The technical outlook for EUR/USD remains bearish. A breach of 1.0525 could lead the pair towards 1.0455 and 1.0390. Looking to the upside only break above the 100-DMA at 1.0630 might bring back bulls with aiming the psychological level at 1.0700.
With a breach of 1.0525 (Mar. 9 low), the pair could drop further towards 1.0455 (Jan. 11 low) and 1.0390 (Jan. 4 low). On the upside, a break above the 100-DMA at 1.0630 would aim for 1.0700 (psychological level) before 1.0735 (20-DMA).
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