Challenge: 100% gain in 3 months with no loss trades

Nov 28, 2015 at 18:23
1,484 Zobrazení
28 Replies
Členom od Jul 13, 2013   11 príspevkov
Nov 28, 2015 at 18:23 (upravené Nov 28, 2015 at 10:33)
Hi every one.

In September this year I set a goal of getting to 100% profit in 3 months on real account. I started September 21st. On October 1st I have added optional point of 'no loss trades' to that goal. With this last point it has become a bit tricky and many potential trading opportunities vanished from sight but that has its own benefits overall.

There is a small clarification about 'no loss': the trade must be closed in a positive territory (filtering out the swaps, comissions, etc.)

The result is 100% profit with no loss trades on November 17th which is less than 2 months:
https://www.myfxbook.com/members/dhby/dhby-ecnfs/1373477/riIHoEIXxjMNb7NPDFNh

This is encouraging result and I think everyone needs a feeling like that to gain more confidence in their trading.

So I propose you a challenge: 100% profit in 2 months with no loss on real account.
Looking forward to your successful reports here.
Good luck!
Členom od Nov 01, 2015   120 príspevkov
Nov 29, 2015 at 08:19
dhby posted:
Hi every one.

In September this year I set a goal of getting to 100% profit in 3 months on real account. I started September 21st. On October 1st I have added optional point of 'no loss trades' to that goal. With this last point it has become a bit tricky and many potential trading opportunities vanished from sight but that has its own benefits overall.

There is a small clarification about 'no loss': the trade must be closed in a positive territory (filtering out the swaps, comissions, etc.)

The result is 100% profit with no loss trades on November 17th which is less than 2 months:
https://www.myfxbook.com/members/dhby/dhby-ecnfs/1373477/riIHoEIXxjMNb7NPDFNh

This is encouraging result and I think everyone needs a feeling like that to gain more confidence in their trading.

So I propose you a challenge: 100% profit in 2 months with no loss on real account.
Looking forward to your successful reports here.
Good luck!

 How good is it to have 100% win rate when you have a drawdown % of over 50%? Meaning you are willing to let the account almost margin call just to maintain a perfect 100% rate.... The biggest win in % of your was 2.13% yet, your max drawdown was over 50%. That my friend is HORRIBLE trading!
Členom od Jul 06, 2013   11 príspevkov
Nov 29, 2015 at 10:38
Členom od Jul 13, 2013   11 príspevkov
Nov 29, 2015 at 11:06 (upravené Nov 29, 2015 at 11:11)
HolyGrailPTY posted:
 How good is it to have 100% win rate when you have a drawdown % of over 50%? Meaning you are willing to let the account almost margin call just to maintain a perfect 100% rate.... The biggest win in % of your was 2.13% yet, your max drawdown was over 50%. That my friend is HORRIBLE trading!

I understand that the chart and the plain statistics you see in this account is a bit scary. So give you some explanation of my trading during this period and it's up to you how you judge it.

The real drawdown started September 23. And it perfectly matched the end of the bearish wave on the EURUSD (and in general bullish on USD). Since that point all the trading was a recovery trading and therefore had no goal of building up gain but keeping equity around secured gain level.
As you see in the plain statistics the actual growth on close of September 22 was 7.4%. By the time the EURUSD bulls finished their wave which happened to be on October 15 the gain was 41.9% and the equity was -26.55%. In absolute terms the value of the drawdown was 41.9 - 7.4 + 26.55 = 61.05% - a huge drawdown really.
But if you look at that from another perspective (which is more important for me): Before the drawdown total gain was 7.4%. During the drawdown the maximum 'in progress loss' was -26.55%. Which gives the actual drawdown (when equity went below the secured gain) at max 7.4 + 26.55 = 33.95%. And important fact is that this actual drawdown has lasted for only 4 days (October 13th till 16th this is clearly visible on the chart).
Being a EURUSD bear in general I closely monitored the price activity during the drawdown period. Technically while the price was below the trendline through May'14 - Aug'15 there was no any reason to close trades in loss. The breakout happened late October 14 and lasted for less than a day which changed the overall EURUSD picture a little but not in general and the following week just built up the confidence in that.
So while you look at that as a major issue with this trading I only had a bit of doubt in my general view during the short-lived breakout.
Still I agree that the position was too oversized during the rally which was an effect of the 'no loss trades' point.
Členom od Jul 13, 2013   11 príspevkov
Nov 29, 2015 at 11:18
Lacunoide posted:
Challenge accepted!!!

https://www.myfxbook.com/members/Lacunoide/my-life-for-aiur/1383241

You're almost there. Nice!
RSTrading
forex_trader_139412
Členom od Jul 16, 2013   385 príspevkov
Nov 29, 2015 at 20:21
These EAs(straight line EAs) look good, but in reality are a horrible way of trading as @HolyGrailPTY pointed out. They do not use stops, which is a very dangerous way of trading, some time or another the EA will take a bad trade and you will either have to ride it out (to keep your 100% rate going) or close it manually. Sometimes a dd of 1k pips is endured to make a few pips. The R:R ratio is normally horrendous.

About a year ago, I was conviced this was the way to go.. Here is my post:

https://www.myfxbook.com/community/general/my-dilemma/857694,1

A good system can not be without losses..
Členom od Mar 02, 2010   97 príspevkov
Nov 30, 2015 at 03:24 (upravené Nov 30, 2015 at 03:44)
@dhby as long all values, results are private its absolute useless challenge...

@RSTrading: incorrect! if you hedge your positions asynchron, you dont need any sl, async hedges are an replacement of sl.
pls dont meaning hedge orders must not be filled, this can be happend with sl as long with async hedges, if the broker get/sends no quotes, all sl, hedges, new orders are not filled!

drawdown isnt correct callculated by myfxbook because they calc p/l from closed trades! read the blog, so your system can have a bigger myfxbook drawdown then in real!
drawdown is the loss at time X, if you close your position(s), so if you dont close your orders, no drawdown can be calculated by myfxbook...
also, if you send your statements via ftp publisher once a day, no floating loss or profit between the statements are recorded,
to get the absolut real drawdown, you have to record each tick: accountprofit() margin, equity, like i do:

Date-Time;Max Drawdown;Balance;Equity;Margin;FreeMargin;Margin%;
2015.11.30 05:15;-102;50073;50083;15;50068;333566;

this is the only one correct and real way to collect drawdown data by tick!
ixbone@
Členom od Nov 01, 2015   120 príspevkov
Nov 30, 2015 at 07:51
dhby posted:
Lacunoide posted:
Challenge accepted!!!

https://www.myfxbook.com/members/Lacunoide/my-life-for-aiur/1383241

You're almost there. Nice!

 Yeah is almost there, but look at his equity curve. It's pointing down. So even if he has 100% win rate, his drawdown is still floating and some positions are in red over 200 pips!
Členom od Jul 13, 2013   11 príspevkov
Nov 30, 2015 at 08:04
IXBONE posted:
@dhby as long all values, results are private its absolute useless challenge...


I don't think I get what you mean?
Členom od Jul 13, 2013   11 príspevkov
Nov 30, 2015 at 08:13
HolyGrailPTY posted:

 Yeah is almost there, but look at his equity curve. It's pointing down. So even if he has 100% win rate, his drawdown is still floating and some positions are in red over 200 pips!

Trading is quite much about the patience, so don't be so fast to judge, we'll see the result later
Členom od Mar 31, 2014   60 príspevkov
Nov 30, 2015 at 08:43 (upravené Nov 30, 2015 at 08:46)
@dhby

Your 55% DD is very alarming. Be stubborn with your trading career, but be flexible with your trades. Cut the losses quick. There is nothing wrong with a losing trade.

' It's not whether you're right or wrong that's important, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong.'
~ George Soros
Členom od Jul 13, 2013   11 príspevkov
Nov 30, 2015 at 21:08
chiecghethunam posted:
@dhby

Your 55% DD is very alarming. Be stubborn with your trading career, but be flexible with your trades. Cut the losses quick. There is nothing wrong with a losing trade.

' It's not whether you're right or wrong that's important, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong.'
~ George Soros

I'd say in the first place - do not enter a trade if you are not sure that trade can be closed in a positive territory in some not very far future.
Členom od Mar 31, 2014   60 príspevkov
Dec 01, 2015 at 01:10
dhby posted:

I'd say in the first place - do not enter a trade if you are not sure that trade can be closed in a positive territory in some not very far future.

So you are sure that you are always right? I bet that you trade without stoplosses. Good luck with that mindset.

Btw, your challenge is nothing special. >> https://www.myfxbook.com/members/chiecghethunam/ppstone-aggressive/1434388
Členom od Nov 28, 2015   30 príspevkov
Dec 01, 2015 at 07:42
Good job. Ignore the naysayers.
Členom od May 10, 2011   25 príspevkov
Dec 01, 2015 at 07:42
chiecghethunam posted:
@dhby

Your 55% DD is very alarming. Be stubborn with your trading career, but be flexible with your trades. Cut the losses quick. There is nothing wrong with a losing trade.

' It's not whether you're right or wrong that's important, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong.'
~ George Soros



Pse comment my Drawdown...


https://www.myfxbook.com/members/a7302435/correlation/1431424
Členom od Jul 06, 2013   11 príspevkov
Dec 01, 2015 at 07:44
a7302435 posted:
chiecghethunam posted:
@dhby

Your 55% DD is very alarming. Be stubborn with your trading career, but be flexible with your trades. Cut the losses quick. There is nothing wrong with a losing trade.

' It's not whether you're right or wrong that's important, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong.'
~ George Soros



Pse comment my Drawdown...



https://www.myfxbook.com/members/a7302435/correlation/1431424



But it is a Cent Account on newforex :-D
Členom od Mar 31, 2014   60 príspevkov
Dec 01, 2015 at 08:49
@a7302435 thats a great performance
Členom od Nov 28, 2015   30 príspevkov
Dec 01, 2015 at 11:08
a7302435 posted:
[
Pse comment my Drawdown...

https://www.myfxbook.com/members/a7302435/correlation/1431424

Good job. Like to see you get your trading privileges verified also. I found out that in MT4 you have to change your password with your broker then use that new password as the 'master password' so you can update your investor password.
Členom od Nov 28, 2015   30 príspevkov
Dec 01, 2015 at 11:08
a7302435 posted:

Pse comment my Drawdown...


https://www.myfxbook.com/members/a7302435/correlation/1431424

You can also download the EA which will work too
Členom od Oct 29, 2014   6 príspevkov
Dec 02, 2015 at 08:17
100% in 3 months! I think that is very impressive but also very dangerous. If you could make so much in 3 months, you could also lose 100% in 1 month. Yes 1 month.

In my opinion, trading is a slow steady journey, with consistent long run profits, instead of sudden massive profits followed by sudden massive losses. Its just not sustainable in the long term.

Cheers!
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