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GBP???

Oct 06, 2016 at 23:18
1,461 Zobrazení
32 Replies
Členom od Jun 14, 2013   130 príspevkov
Oct 07, 2016 at 11:37 (upravené Oct 07, 2016 at 11:38)
mlawson71 posted:
Does anyone know why this actually happened?

Try some of these videos by Nanex - it explains visually with live data streams what HFT do and how they operate. Once you see the frightening speed at which these machine trade, it is easy to imagine how a small error in the code of an algo can cause something like a flash crash...

NANEX HFT Trading Model:


Wild High Frequency Trading Algo Destroys eMini Futures:



Keep in mind these videos are from the US stock markets. Forex markets work a little different, but basically your order goes from your PC to your Broker, which either fills your order or sends it to other market makers/exchanges to get filled, and this is usually where an HFT machine sits. Most, and I mean MOST of all your trades are filled by an HFT machine somewhere.
Keep it simple, be disciplined, get rich slowly and above all protect your equity!
Členom od Dec 11, 2015   1487 príspevkov
Oct 10, 2016 at 08:45
It's shocking that a small error could cause such a big spike. This particular one probably cleaned out a lot of traders. Can someone be held responsible for it?
Členom od Jun 14, 2013   130 príspevkov
Oct 10, 2016 at 09:06 (upravené Oct 10, 2016 at 09:09)
mlawson71 posted:
It's shocking that a small error could cause such a big spike. This particular one probably cleaned out a lot of traders. Can someone be held responsible for it?

I think its extremely difficult in the Forex Markets to determine exactly who or what is responsible. In the GBP case I read an article by an HFT operator that the algo's they develop today are so sophisticated that they can 'sniff out' Stop Orders and trigger them to initiate a larger move.

So if you think about it, after Brexit the market was heavily short the GBP. So many larger traders and institutions had Sell-Stop orders below certain key Historical Levels (going back to 1985 or even further). So all these algo's have to do is send thousands of buy/sell orders and immediately canceling them (usually within milliseconds). In the GBP this triggered large Sell-Stop orders, that in turn triggered more Sell-Stop orders, etc. Suddenly everybody scrambles to cover their buy orders and all you need is a few HFT operators to get nervous and switch their machines off in panic so their algo's don't bankrupt them in seconds. And then you get an instant evaporation of liquidity (willing buyers to balance the extreme volume of sell orders) and the market collapses and snowballs out of control. The only time the move stops is when the HFT machines are switched back on to fill all the sell orders.

I actually saw this process happen last night when markets opened on the EURUSD. For about 10 minutes the Bid/Ask spread went berserk, almost like the EURUSD was having an epilepsy attack. This was either a HFT algo test or an algo that was testing or hunting for stop orders. Whats more scary is that this happens all day long, and all you need is an algo that goes mental during low liquidity periods and you have a mini flash crash.
Keep it simple, be disciplined, get rich slowly and above all protect your equity!
Členom od Jan 25, 2010   1360 príspevkov
Oct 10, 2016 at 09:24
Black Swan events like this are awesome!

Even though I keep losing money, I am glad to see scam vendors go outta business too. Sh*t systems deserve to disappear. After all their hype, the vendors prove their own systems don't work well. Glad to finally get my own on them for once. 😎
Členom od May 11, 2011   235 príspevkov
Oct 10, 2016 at 09:50
mlawson71 posted:
It's shocking that a small error could cause such a big spike. This particular one probably cleaned out a lot of traders. Can someone be held responsible for it?

No, it's an unregulated market. There is talk that they may call for the exclusion of exotic options trading on the fx markets to create more stability, firstly because they are known to cause irregularities and it will limit the effect of Algo's.
For every loss there should be at least an equal and opposite profit.
Členom od Sep 12, 2015   1948 príspevkov
Oct 10, 2016 at 11:52
JacoAF posted:
mlawson71 posted:
It's shocking that a small error could cause such a big spike. This particular one probably cleaned out a lot of traders. Can someone be held responsible for it?

I think its extremely difficult in the Forex Markets to determine exactly who or what is responsible. In the GBP case I read an article by an HFT operator that the algo's they develop today are so sophisticated that they can 'sniff out' Stop Orders and trigger them to initiate a larger move.

So if you think about it, after Brexit the market was heavily short the GBP. So many larger traders and institutions had Sell-Stop orders below certain key Historical Levels (going back to 1985 or even further). So all these algo's have to do is send thousands of buy/sell orders and immediately canceling them (usually within milliseconds). In the GBP this triggered large Sell-Stop orders, that in turn triggered more Sell-Stop orders, etc. Suddenly everybody scrambles to cover their buy orders and all you need is a few HFT operators to get nervous and switch their machines off in panic so their algo's don't bankrupt them in seconds. And then you get an instant evaporation of liquidity (willing buyers to balance the extreme volume of sell orders) and the market collapses and snowballs out of control. The only time the move stops is when the HFT machines are switched back on to fill all the sell orders.

I actually saw this process happen last night when markets opened on the EURUSD. For about 10 minutes the Bid/Ask spread went berserk, almost like the EURUSD was having an epilepsy attack. This was either a HFT algo test or an algo that was testing or hunting for stop orders. Whats more scary is that this happens all day long, and all you need is an algo that goes mental during low liquidity periods and you have a mini flash crash.

Its not difficult to find out what started the chain reaction if it went through an exchange,4.6trillion through one exchange daily,different with dark pool,but the general public will never be informed,sometimes the HFTs push around the price just to see what reaction it gets,called pinging,a high-frequency trading firm places bids and offers in small lots (like 100 shares) for a large number of listed stocks; if an order for stock XYZ gets executed (i.e., someone buys it in the dark pool), this alerts the high-frequency trading firm to the presence of a potentially large institutional order for stock XYZ. The high-frequency trading firm would then scoop up all available shares of XYZ in the market, hoping to sell them back to the institution that is a buyer of these shares

     
"They mistook leverage with genius".
Členom od Sep 12, 2015   1948 príspevkov
Oct 10, 2016 at 13:14
GJscalper posted:
snapdragon1970 posted:
I was drinking whiskey celebrating at the time, my gfs 10k profit on oil.
Why would you bother typing it if you have no proof of it?
screen shot you requested:

Prílohy:

"They mistook leverage with genius".
Členom od Apr 18, 2017   920 príspevkov
Apr 26, 2017 at 06:25
mrtodd posted:
What just happened?
News?

Not only GBP based pairs but also all of trading pairs move here according to the fundamental statement or technical points of market! I see GBP related trading pairs are too much volatile, particularly GBP/JPY! This is one of the most volatile trading pair, and I like to use scalping trading style mainly here!
Členom od Feb 04, 2017   10 príspevkov
Apr 26, 2017 at 11:23
GJ can be amazing when you trade get the direction right because it can run and run. But sometimes it is such a pig and spikes all over the place. I find the spreads to high for scalping
Členom od Apr 27, 2017   16 príspevkov
Apr 27, 2017 at 14:57
GBPJPY trending pretty nicely right now...let the good times roll
Členom od Apr 18, 2017   920 príspevkov
Jun 14, 2017 at 09:42
mrtodd posted:
What just happened?
News?

News trading is always interesting! I do news trading mainly, in addition I use almost all of trading instruments during high voltage news sessions! Yes, GBP based trading instruments are much volatile, especially GBP/JPY!
Členom od Nov 19, 2015   5 príspevkov
Jun 15, 2017 at 05:56
GBP is very good for news. GBP/JPY moves more but I prefer GBPUSD as it is i more predicatable and spreads are lower
Členom od Dec 11, 2015   1487 príspevkov
Jun 17, 2017 at 09:17
I mostly prefer EUR/GBP though I do trade GBP/USD occasionally. It's become harder to trade both since the Brexit referendum.
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