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scwizard (Od scwizard)
| Zisk : | +117.3% |
| Čerpanie | 68.10% |
| Pipy: | 736.2 |
| Obchodníci | 516 |
| Vyhrané: |
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| Prehrané: |
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| Typ: | Reálny |
| Páka: | 1:50 |
| Obchodovanie: | Ručne |
scwizard Diskusia
Členom od Oct 02, 2010
94 príspevkov
Oct 13, 2010 at 14:04
(upravené Oct 13, 2010 at 14:11)
Here's what I thought would happen: something simple, straightforward and according to plan.
Here's what happened:
New York closed yesterday, then flat <- called this, twas easy
London opened, went up <- who is moving price up and why???
JPM manipulates earnings, AU goes down, S&P500 futures flat <- !!!
Market opens for the little people, S&P500 INDEX GOES DOWN THEN UP, AU GOES STRAIGHT UP <- w...t...f...
I called that JPM would manipulate their earnings to create a unreal happy number, but I did NOT call the market surrounding it.
Here's what happened:
New York closed yesterday, then flat <- called this, twas easy
London opened, went up <- who is moving price up and why???
JPM manipulates earnings, AU goes down, S&P500 futures flat <- !!!
Market opens for the little people, S&P500 INDEX GOES DOWN THEN UP, AU GOES STRAIGHT UP <- w...t...f...
I called that JPM would manipulate their earnings to create a unreal happy number, but I did NOT call the market surrounding it.
u gotta skate
Členom od Oct 02, 2010
94 príspevkov
Oct 13, 2010 at 14:08
(upravené Oct 13, 2010 at 14:10)
10:02 MaGGz gdammmmit
10:02 MaGGz what the hell is happening....
10:02 wendy haizzz au
10:02 MaGGz this is a complete jjoke
10:04 wendy im crying
10:04 MaGGz godddd
10:04 MaGGz my countries currency
10:04 MaGGz is being used
10:02 MaGGz what the hell is happening....
10:02 wendy haizzz au
10:02 MaGGz this is a complete jjoke
10:04 wendy im crying
10:04 MaGGz godddd
10:04 MaGGz my countries currency
10:04 MaGGz is being used
u gotta skate
Členom od Oct 02, 2010
94 príspevkov
Oct 13, 2010 at 20:09
It may look like I had a good day, but that's just because I closed my UJ long.
http://abcnews.go.com/Business/wireStory?id=11855360
Today was actually super brutal. If I continue at this rate I'll be back to 0% in no time and 100% will be completely out of the question.
http://abcnews.go.com/Business/wireStory?id=11855360
Today was actually super brutal. If I continue at this rate I'll be back to 0% in no time and 100% will be completely out of the question.
u gotta skate
Členom od Oct 02, 2010
94 príspevkov
Oct 13, 2010 at 20:33
(upravené Oct 13, 2010 at 20:49)
XAU/AUD
Short this is my new medium/long term position.
Short this is my new medium/long term position.
Prílohy:
u gotta skate
Členom od Oct 02, 2010
94 príspevkov
Oct 13, 2010 at 21:10
The new cheat sheet is in: http://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/tot_operation_schedule.html
It's like Christmas 😁
It's like Christmas 😁
u gotta skate
Členom od Oct 02, 2010
94 príspevkov
Oct 14, 2010 at 09:33
Pay attention, this is called the "central bank formation" it's a very important formation:
I envy the Singapore MCB insiders who you can see front running this.
I envy the Singapore MCB insiders who you can see front running this.
Prílohy:
u gotta skate
Členom od Oct 02, 2010
94 príspevkov
Oct 14, 2010 at 09:34
Even if my speculative XAU/AUD short crashes and burns, I think it's shown me the way to an arb opportunity 😄
u gotta skate
Členom od Oct 02, 2010
94 príspevkov
Oct 14, 2010 at 12:23
Eh, I didn't have the patience for short XAU/AUD.
Also I donated more money to Oanda so that I could practice opening synthetic positions.
Arbing begins Monday.
Also I donated more money to Oanda so that I could practice opening synthetic positions.
Arbing begins Monday.
u gotta skate
Členom od Oct 02, 2010
94 príspevkov
Oct 14, 2010 at 12:46
Oanda employee: "shit according to our computers we're losing money fast due to the uncertain nature of the 8:30 news events!"
Oanda manager: "don't worry, I have a plan, here's what it is:
Step 1: Take the money.
Step 2: Run."
And then he took hold of the cat5 cable and pulled.
Oanda manager: "don't worry, I have a plan, here's what it is:
Step 1: Take the money.
Step 2: Run."
And then he took hold of the cat5 cable and pulled.
u gotta skate
Členom od Jul 06, 2010
8 príspevkov
Oct 14, 2010 at 15:18
😄😁😀 out for almost 30 min. scared the hell out of me. shut down right when I was trying to closeout my EURUSD positions when the spread flipped back to 0.9...😂 ... thought they were trying to get me too. (that's why I normally don't trade events)
Členom od Oct 02, 2010
94 príspevkov
Oct 15, 2010 at 14:30
I placed a bet today that someone evil and big would kill the dollar.
I never counted on the possibility that they might try to kill the dollar and fail.
I never counted on the possibility that they might try to kill the dollar and fail.
u gotta skate
Členom od Jul 06, 2010
8 príspevkov
Oct 15, 2010 at 14:43
I'm actually surprised you can still see whats going on. Oanda has too many problems again. Huge difference in price streams between FXCM UK and Oanda kept me irritated. I'm out, Done for the week (glad I didn't trade the news today!)...
Happy Trading!
Happy Trading!
Členom od Jul 23, 2010
70 príspevkov
Oct 15, 2010 at 21:09
not a bad week for you it looks like... my week is break even LOL
go with the flow; just be on the right end of the wave
Členom od Oct 02, 2010
94 príspevkov
Oct 15, 2010 at 22:13
(upravené Oct 15, 2010 at 22:14)
It's not so simple. The majority of the profits came from closing my UJ short, so I can't properly call them this week's profits.
The other half of the profits and then some were wiped out today. I don't know how bad today was yet, because OANDA is closed atm, but chances are it was really really really bad.
So yeah, I'm at a loss for this week so you actually did better.
The other half of the profits and then some were wiped out today. I don't know how bad today was yet, because OANDA is closed atm, but chances are it was really really really bad.
So yeah, I'm at a loss for this week so you actually did better.
u gotta skate
Členom od Oct 02, 2010
94 príspevkov
Oct 15, 2010 at 22:32
(upravené Oct 15, 2010 at 22:33)
Actually it seems my losses are limited to 5$/7% or something of the sort. Now those are huge losses, but not as bad as I expected.
The reason seems to be the nature of USD/TRY. I thought it was more volatile than AUD/USD, but it actually seems to be much less.
So this marks the second time that pure luck has saved me. First I close my UJ short because I wanted more available margin to trade gold, then 1 day later BoJ intervention. Second is this.
Regardless, tomorrow I'm going to be trading on demo, if I lose a lot of money on demo, then the market has changed, possibly topped, and the next move I try and catch will be a significant daily move.
The reason seems to be the nature of USD/TRY. I thought it was more volatile than AUD/USD, but it actually seems to be much less.
So this marks the second time that pure luck has saved me. First I close my UJ short because I wanted more available margin to trade gold, then 1 day later BoJ intervention. Second is this.
Regardless, tomorrow I'm going to be trading on demo, if I lose a lot of money on demo, then the market has changed, possibly topped, and the next move I try and catch will be a significant daily move.
u gotta skate
Členom od Oct 02, 2010
94 príspevkov
Oct 16, 2010 at 06:45
Here's the details. The question I'm going to want to answer tomorrow is "is everything under control."
If the answer is "no" then I'm going to short AUD/JPY with a large lot size, a target of more than 300 pips and a stop loss of margin call.
The thesis:
1. The wheels are coming off the bus.
2. The Bank of Japan will not move until after the wheels finish coming off the bus.
If the answer is "no" then I'm going to short AUD/JPY with a large lot size, a target of more than 300 pips and a stop loss of margin call.
The thesis:
1. The wheels are coming off the bus.
2. The Bank of Japan will not move until after the wheels finish coming off the bus.
u gotta skate
Členom od Oct 02, 2010
94 príspevkov
Oct 18, 2010 at 02:35
http://www.myfxbook.com/members/scwizard/scwizard-robot/56918
New account. This one is for screwing around in demo and robot trading.
If I'm successful beyond my wildest imagination I will try a similar strategy in a real fxopen account.
New account. This one is for screwing around in demo and robot trading.
If I'm successful beyond my wildest imagination I will try a similar strategy in a real fxopen account.
u gotta skate
Členom od Oct 02, 2010
94 príspevkov
Oct 18, 2010 at 14:30
Very insightful post here: The Reasons Why Monday's Are Usually Positive.
u gotta skate
Členom od Oct 02, 2010
94 príspevkov
Oct 18, 2010 at 23:06
I will not close this AJ short before Thanksgiving.
Also trading against OANDA retail seems to be a sound strategy: http://fxtrade.oanda.com/analysis/open-position-ratios
Also trading against OANDA retail seems to be a sound strategy: http://fxtrade.oanda.com/analysis/open-position-ratios
u gotta skate
Členom od Oct 02, 2010
94 príspevkov
Oct 18, 2010 at 23:24
(upravené Oct 18, 2010 at 23:24)
HELL YEAH
http://fxtrade.oanda.com/shared/documents/pdf/account/risk_disclosure.pdf
51% of OANDA clients were profitable. Clearly it's because OANDA's sophisticated clientele and platform allow OANDA clients to on the whole beat the market.
If 80% of their clients are long UJ though, still a good time to short imo.
http://fxtrade.oanda.com/shared/documents/pdf/account/risk_disclosure.pdf
51% of OANDA clients were profitable. Clearly it's because OANDA's sophisticated clientele and platform allow OANDA clients to on the whole beat the market.
If 80% of their clients are long UJ though, still a good time to short imo.
u gotta skate
