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Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Oct 11, 2016 at 13:15

Today officially begins the Earnings Season with the presentation of Alcoa's quarterly accounts. The earnings season starts today, but only in the next week is to gain greater intensity. In addition to Alcoa's results will be published on Friday Citigroup accounts, JP Morgan and Wells Fargo.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Oct 10, 2016 at 14:21

The figures indicate that the expansion of the labor market remains intact although at a slower pace. Data confirm the improvements in the labor market indicated by the Fed at the last meeting and shall not constitute an obstacle to a rise in interest rates in December. Until this meeting will be published two employment reports. The Fed has scheduled a meeting in early November but should not take any decision before the presidential elections.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Oct 08, 2016 at 03:43

The main even yesterday was the abrupt fall of the pound against the dollar (6%). A drop of 6% in the forex market is, in general terms, a drop of about 20% in a stock index. The reasons for this move are unclear but apparently are not of a fundamental nature and can be an error, of an automatic trading program that triggered a series of stops in a low liquidity environment.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Oct 06, 2016 at 15:03

To frame the session today (and perhaps also the near ones) is necessary to go back yesterday, when Bloomberg published an article on the ECB’s monetary policy. According to this article, the Central Bank was considering reducing its financial asset acquisition plan, and this reduction is called tampering. According to the report, the ECB would be to draft a plan to gradually decrease (possibly in steps of 10 000 M. €) its asset purchase program currently at 80 000 M. € / month. This program is scheduled to end in March 2017 and in the market there was the expectation that this...

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Oct 05, 2016 at 11:12

Yesterday, the British stock market led the gains on a day the British Pound has considerably devaluated, reaching the minimum of the last 31 years.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Oct 05, 2016 at 06:39

Today, attention will be focused on the behavior of the shares of Deutsche Bank and the intervention of two members of the Fed, the Governors of the Federal Reserve of Richmond and Chicago.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Oct 04, 2016 at 08:01

The improved perception of global investors in relation to Deutsche Bank boosted Asian markets. In Japan, the Tankan report showed that the feeling of Nipponese industrial large remained unchanged in the 3rd quarter of this year.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Oct 03, 2016 at 22:02

The improved perception of global investors in relation to Deutsche Bank boosted Asian markets. In Japan, the Tankan report showed that the feeling of Nipponese industrial large remained unchanged in the 3rd quarter of this year.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Sep 30, 2016 at 10:53

Yesterday, although oil has managed to keep up the levels it had after the cartel’s decision announcement, American equities were shaken by the weakness of the financial sector.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Sep 29, 2016 at 10:34

Before the financial committee of this institution, the Chairman of the Fed has taken a balanced and prudent approach. Janet Yellen said that there is no timetable for increases in interest rates despite several members of the Fed believe are necessary interest rate increases. So, in absence of any new risks and if economic conditions will remain it will be appropriate an increase interest rates.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Sep 28, 2016 at 17:45

In a context of increased risk aversion, the yen is a refuge, so the Japanese currency has appreciated in the last two sessions, thereby penalizing the Nikkei and especially the export sector.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Sep 27, 2016 at 15:47

Subsequent to this reaction to the presidential debate European investors will focus on the banking situation.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Sep 26, 2016 at 10:30

After a week marked by meetings of central banks, global stock markets seem to have entered a new phase. In this new chapter, the central banks will continue to play an important role, but will have to share it with oil and with the intensification of the US election campaign. In this context, there has been a more cautious stance on the part of Asian investors, which resulted in some profit taking, from gains generated by the meetings of the Bank of Japan and the Fed.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Sep 23, 2016 at 14:21

After the strong rise of the last two days, there is the question whether the “benevolent” decisions from the Fed and Japan’s central bank are sufficient to restore positive sentiment of European investors or whether these valuations require new catalysts. This rally itself can be self-sustaining, for some time, because in theory the fund managers have a high level of liquidity in their portfolios. However, this liquidity can be used to feed the redemption of specialized equity funds in Europe. In fact, the week ending on 21 represented the 33th consecutive week of redemption...

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Sep 22, 2016 at 12:09

In a context marked by the decisions of the central banks, it is important to monitor the intervention of Mario Draghi at a conference organized by the European Systemic Risk Board, over which he presides. It is not excluded that during his speech, Mario Draghi make nod to the European banking system situation and possibly the future of monetary policy in the eurozone. In the short term, European equities should continue to be influenced by the EU yields (which will be conditioned not only by the words of Mario Draghi as well as the development of their American and Japanese counterparts) and ...

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Sep 21, 2016 at 14:20

Investors reacted positively to the Bank of Japan’s decision (BoJ). The meeting today stood the intention of the BoJ to gain greater flexibility in its asset purchase program by failing to have a fixed amount for these purchases and by failing to have a predefined target for the debt maturities that acquires. The BoJ also undertook to continue the expansion of liquidity injected into the economy until inflation reaches 2%.Completed the meeting of the Bank of Japan, the spotlight falls on the meeting of the Fed. The big question on the US Federal Reserve meeting is whether it will increas...

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Sep 20, 2016 at 16:59

The S & P500 has a new sector: real estate, yesterday debuted with a gain of 0.75%. Now, the index which serves as a benchmark for many investment funds consists of 11 sectors.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Sep 19, 2016 at 11:10

During the first hours of trading, European markets should be supported by the oil and mining sectors. In the Asian session, the industrial commodities traded up. The catalyst of this rise is essentially technical in nature. In recent weeks, many investors decided to sell positions in these assets and now, before the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Fed meetings they began to reduce this exposure. In fact, if the Fed does not act together with the BoJ and make a conciliatory statement to investors, then risk assets (including oil) will appreciate in value. Another sector that will be monitored by i...

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Sep 16, 2016 at 10:09

Today, as in Europe, will expire futures contracts and options called quadruple witching, which shall cause a much higher than average volatility and the occurrence of erratic movements. Nowadays, the most sensitive time 13h30 (opening) and 18h00. The day of expiration of options and futures is statistically positive for positive markets, and also considering the losses of recent days, it is not excluded a hypothetical recovery. Even if this move materializes, the technical situation of medium-term American markets remains delicate.

Trading Journal v Noví obchodníci Sep 15, 2016 at 16:06

The publication, scheduled for today, of retail sales was one of the last and most important data before the meeting of the Fed, next week. In fact data became worst than expected.

EURUSD	1.13133	GBPUSD	1.32721	AUDUSD	0.64537
USDJPY	144.677	USDCAD	1.38118	USDCHF	0.82483

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