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EUR/USD
Medlem sedan Mar 28, 2021
617 inlägg
Oct 04, 2021 at 10:37
Medlem sedan Mar 28, 2021
617 inlägg
EURUSD is the most celebrated and popular currency pair in the Forex market. Most of the traders start with this pair. Fundamentally it's also a very important pair.
Feb 21, 2022 at 14:30
Medlem sedan Jun 19, 2021
1 inlägg
Fx_challenger posted:What will make it go this low?
I see EURUSD in 1.1180 area, long takers be careful
Little drops of water make the mighty ocean
Medlem sedan Apr 09, 2019
538 inlägg
Feb 25, 2022 at 11:23
Medlem sedan Apr 09, 2019
538 inlägg
Fully expecting DXY to rally during this war in Ukraine which should lead to clear bearishness in EURUSD.
If you can't spot the liquidity then you are the liquidity.
Medlem sedan Feb 13, 2017
251 inlägg
Medlem sedan Feb 12, 2019
105 inlägg
Feb 28, 2022 at 19:46
Medlem sedan Feb 12, 2019
105 inlägg
Can see it rallying causing EU to drop with the invasion in Ukraine hopefully diplomacy will prevail
Medlem sedan Apr 09, 2019
538 inlägg
Mar 25, 2022 at 12:41
Medlem sedan Apr 09, 2019
538 inlägg
Divergence between DXY and EU occurred so while EU is looking bullish on the 4h I'm still waiting for more confirmation on HTF that we're entering a buy model.
If you can't spot the liquidity then you are the liquidity.
Medlem sedan Apr 09, 2019
538 inlägg
Apr 05, 2022 at 10:40
Medlem sedan Apr 09, 2019
538 inlägg
I think it is. There are plenty of opportunities on it throughout the week. Are you using DXY to compare it to? A lot can be gleaned by doing.
If you can't spot the liquidity then you are the liquidity.
Medlem sedan Sep 12, 2015
1948 inlägg
Jul 05, 2022 at 23:15
Medlem sedan Sep 12, 2015
1948 inlägg
If you click on Market heading and scroll down the list you will see Vol on each pair ,I've been trading Eur/Usd a long time and its not too difficult to predict ,plus lots of info on the pair.
"They mistook leverage with genius".
Medlem sedan Apr 09, 2019
538 inlägg
Jul 07, 2022 at 13:50
Medlem sedan Apr 09, 2019
538 inlägg
I can see us heading towards parity on this pair by the end of the month personally.
If you can't spot the liquidity then you are the liquidity.
Jul 15, 2022 at 14:13
Medlem sedan Jul 04, 2022
29 inlägg
The EURUSD is expected to decline with a 1.0189 minor resistance intact as the EURUSD continues to lose downside momentum as seen in the 4 hour MACD.
Medlem sedan Apr 09, 2019
538 inlägg
Jul 20, 2022 at 10:24
Medlem sedan Apr 09, 2019
538 inlägg
Sat in consolidation at the moment. I'm still bearish at the moment so think we are about to see another leg down from here. Not bullish until we break back above 1.045 personally.
If you can't spot the liquidity then you are the liquidity.
Medlem sedan Dec 21, 2023
4 inlägg
May 02 at 09:34
Medlem sedan Dec 21, 2023
4 inlägg
USD: Powell holds the dovish line
The dollar closed yesterday's FOMC day lower, as it had done for the three prior FOMC meetings. We and the market were a little surprised that there was no further assessment of the strong US activity data or particularly the high inflation data and instead, Fed Chair Jerome Powell merely reiterated the recent line that it would take longer for the Fed to gain confidence to cut rates. As we discuss in our Fed review piece, the dollar seemed to react the most to comments from Powell that a rate hike was unlikely and that yesterday's JOLTs job opening data showed restrictive policy was working. The 10bp drop in rates at the short end of the US curve was enough to see DXY sell-off 0.5%.
When trying to recover yesterday, the DXY received another hit when Japanese authorities were thought to have intervened again late in the US afternoon – a time of thin liquidity and perhaps a reminder that intervention will still very much be an option during Japan's four-day public holiday starting tomorrow. Given that the Bank of Japan is thought to be selling large clips of dollars – perhaps as much as $20-35bn per intervention session – the market is already starting to consider the size of available FX reserves for this purpose. We think Japanese authorities will intervene sparingly but are probably hoping they can stabilise USD/JPY ahead of a broad turn lower in the dollar, just as they did in September/October 2022.
The US data calendar is quite light today and the market will take its cues off tomorrow's payrolls. There is a school of thought building that if the unemployment rate finally responds to slowing labour demand and pushes up to say 4.2% (current 3.8%) by September, the Fed can cut rates. Let's see what tomorrow's jobs data has to say.
For today, DXY should trade well within the confines of its new 105.50-106.50 range.
The dollar closed yesterday's FOMC day lower, as it had done for the three prior FOMC meetings. We and the market were a little surprised that there was no further assessment of the strong US activity data or particularly the high inflation data and instead, Fed Chair Jerome Powell merely reiterated the recent line that it would take longer for the Fed to gain confidence to cut rates. As we discuss in our Fed review piece, the dollar seemed to react the most to comments from Powell that a rate hike was unlikely and that yesterday's JOLTs job opening data showed restrictive policy was working. The 10bp drop in rates at the short end of the US curve was enough to see DXY sell-off 0.5%.
When trying to recover yesterday, the DXY received another hit when Japanese authorities were thought to have intervened again late in the US afternoon – a time of thin liquidity and perhaps a reminder that intervention will still very much be an option during Japan's four-day public holiday starting tomorrow. Given that the Bank of Japan is thought to be selling large clips of dollars – perhaps as much as $20-35bn per intervention session – the market is already starting to consider the size of available FX reserves for this purpose. We think Japanese authorities will intervene sparingly but are probably hoping they can stabilise USD/JPY ahead of a broad turn lower in the dollar, just as they did in September/October 2022.
The US data calendar is quite light today and the market will take its cues off tomorrow's payrolls. There is a school of thought building that if the unemployment rate finally responds to slowing labour demand and pushes up to say 4.2% (current 3.8%) by September, the Fed can cut rates. Let's see what tomorrow's jobs data has to say.
For today, DXY should trade well within the confines of its new 105.50-106.50 range.
Medlem sedan Dec 21, 2023
4 inlägg
I går på 07:42
Medlem sedan Dec 21, 2023
4 inlägg
EUR: ECB-Fed divergence narrative crumbling
Yesterday, the European Central Bank's Chief Economist Philip Lane said there is no one-dimensional view of Fed-ECB divergence. What we are observing in markets over the past week is actually a convergence of both Fed pricing to the ECB’s and a generally more cautious stance of ECB officials on the prospect of a large and quick cutting cycle beyond June. The dollar leg still has the biggest impact on EUR/USD, but the euro appears on more solid ground.
What we must highlight, at the same time, is that the euro has the lowest sensitivity to moves in 2-year USD swap rates across the whole of G10. That has allowed the common currency to outperform most other G10 currencies since the start of the year but is going to stay a laggard if US data endorses a further dovish repricing of Fed expectations.
Today, EUR/USD will be moved primarily by US jobs and ISM services releases. A softer-than-expected payroll print can unlock upside potential for the pair to the 1.0850/1.0870 pre-March-US CPI levels.
Yesterday, the European Central Bank's Chief Economist Philip Lane said there is no one-dimensional view of Fed-ECB divergence. What we are observing in markets over the past week is actually a convergence of both Fed pricing to the ECB’s and a generally more cautious stance of ECB officials on the prospect of a large and quick cutting cycle beyond June. The dollar leg still has the biggest impact on EUR/USD, but the euro appears on more solid ground.
What we must highlight, at the same time, is that the euro has the lowest sensitivity to moves in 2-year USD swap rates across the whole of G10. That has allowed the common currency to outperform most other G10 currencies since the start of the year but is going to stay a laggard if US data endorses a further dovish repricing of Fed expectations.
Today, EUR/USD will be moved primarily by US jobs and ISM services releases. A softer-than-expected payroll print can unlock upside potential for the pair to the 1.0850/1.0870 pre-March-US CPI levels.
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