Daily Global Market Update

The Pound rose slightly against the Dollar, while Bitcoin and Oil prices jumped. The AUD stayed flat. Crypto losses surged in Q2. US jobless claims dipped but beneficiary numbers rose. Oil futures climbed on supply disruption fears. Today's key economic releases include UK GDP, US personal income/spending, and Japan's construction/housing data.

Moneta Markets | 371 days ago

Pound/Dollar Pair's Slight Uptick

The GBP/USD pair experienced a minor upwards correction, rising by 0.1% in the last session. The RSI is giving a negative signal, indicating potential overbought conditions.

Bitcoin's Robust Gain

The Bitcoin/USD pair surged by 1.1% in the last session. According to the CCI, we are currently in an oversold market.

Oil's Sharp Rise

The Oil/Dollar pair increased by 1.4% in the last session. The Rate of Change (ROC) indicator is showing a positive signal, suggesting upward momentum.

AUD/USD Pair's Stability

The AUD/USD pair traded sideways in the last session. The stochastic indicator is giving a positive signal, pointing to potential bullish momentum.

Global Financial Headlines

Crypto losses from hacks and scams more than doubled in Q2 of 2024, reaching over $572 million. US jobless claims dropped slightly last week, although the overall number of beneficiaries rose, suggesting softening labour market conditions. Oil futures climbed due to concerns over potential supply disruptions amidst geopolitical tensions.

Upcoming Economic Highlights

Today's key economic releases include the UK's current account and gross domestic product, US personal income and spending, and Japan's construction orders and housing starts.

• UK's Gross Domestic Product - 0600 GMT

• US Personal Income - 1230 GMT

• US Personal Spending - 1230 GMT

• UK's Current Account - 0600 GMT

• Japan's Construction Orders - 0500 GMT

• Japan's Housing Starts - 0500 GMT

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Dollar Mixed as Tariff Tensions Rise and Jobs Data Buoys Fed Outlook | 4th July, 2025

On July 4, strong U.S. jobs data boosts the dollar, but Trump’s tariff warning sparks trade uncertainty. USD/CAD dips near 1.3600 as oil rebounds; AUD/USD slips below 0.6650. NZD/USD holds near 0.6050, GBP/USD steadies at 1.3650, and USD/CNY stays firm as PBOC signals caution. Markets eye ISM data and tariff updates for next moves.

Moneta Markets | 1 day ago

ATFX Market Outlook 4th July 2025

The U.S. economy added 147,000 jobs in June, beating expectations of 110,000, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%. Traders are now betting that the Fed is unlikely to cut rates before September. Meanwhile, the House narrowly passed Trump's major fiscal bill by a vote of 218 to 214. U.S. stocks rallied on Thursday, hitting fresh record highs.

ATFX | 1 day ago

Rate Shifts Steer FX Markets as Silver Holds Strong

On July 3, silver stays firm above $35.40 as Fed cut bets persist. EUR/USD holds near 1.1800, while GBP/USD lingers near 1.3585 ahead of UK jobs data. JPY strengthens after BoJ signals a hawkish pause. AUD/USD slips on weak trade surplus. Focus turns to US NFP and ISM data for market direction before the US holiday break.

Moneta Markets | 1 day ago

ATFX Market Outlook 3rd July 2025

Wednesday’s ADP report showed a surprise decline of 33,000 private-sector jobs in June, marking the first contraction since March 2023 as economic uncertainty weighed on hiring. U.S. equities surged, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closing at record highs, driven by gains in tech stocks and relief following the U.S.–Vietnam trade agreement, which eased concerns over prolonged trade tensions

ATFX | 2 days ago

GBP/USD at the top of a bullish channel

GBP/USD loses momentum near three-year high, tests the channel’s upper band. Short-term bias remains bullish, but overbought conditions are evident. Bullish outlook remains intact above 1.3450.

XM Group | 2 days ago

Dollar Rebounds, Risk FX Holds Strong | 2nd July, 2025

On July 2, the USD stabilizes as Fed rate cut bets build. GBP/USD nears 1.3750 highs, NZD/USD extends above 0.6120, and AUD/USD holds near 0.6820 despite soft retail sales. USD/JPY recovers to 146.20, while silver dips below $36. Markets await US labor data and Fed remarks for direction ahead of July 4.

Moneta Markets | 3 days ago

ATFX Market Outlook 2nd July 2025

Fed Chairman Powell emphasised the need for more data before considering interest rate cuts, with a July cut still a possibility. On Tuesday, the Nasdaq and S&P 500 closed lower due to weakness in large tech stocks, with the Nasdaq down 0.82% and the S&P 500 down 0.11%. In contrast, the Dow rose by 0.91% amid volatile trading and low liquidity.

ATFX | 3 days ago

WTI Slides as Geopolitical Risks Ease | 1st July, 2025

WTI dips below $64.50 as Middle East tensions ease, dampening supply fears. Silver struggles under $36, while AUD and NZD stay muted on weak China PMI. USD/JPY steadies near 145.90, and the yen holds gains on USD weakness. Traders now eye US ISM PMI and Fed minutes for clues on policy and market direction.

Moneta Markets | 4 days ago

EURUSD	1.17788	GBPUSD	1.36532	AUDUSD	0.65507
USDJPY	144.479	USDCAD	1.36033	USDCHF	0.79342