USDCHF Analysis: safe-haven assets are still the main theme of the market

Fundamental Analysis of USDJPYUSDCHF Key Takeaways

• Trump is unhappy with Powell: Trump blasted Powell for acting too late, calling for an immediate interest rate cut, otherwise the economy will slow down, exacerbating investors’ concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve and the economic outlook. US assets repeated the triple kill of stocks, bonds and currencies on Monday, and currencies such as gold and safe-haven Swiss francs accelerated their rise, and gold prices hit a new record high.
• Tariff impact: The deadlock in US tariff policy is damaging the country’s economy and undermining investor confidence. The “tariff war” that Trump originally expected to be a quick victory has evolved into a “protracted war”, and Trump is extremely anxious. Today, many economic indicators show that these tariff policies may push the United States and even many parts of the world to the brink of economic recession, and the capricious “tariff war” has not only failed to overwhelm other countries, but has put American companies and people under tremendous pressure.

Technical Analysis of USDCHF Daily and Hourly ChartsUSDCHF Daily Chart Insights

(USDCHFDaily Price Chart, Source: Ultima Markets MT5)

• Stochastic oscillator:The indicator enters the oversold area, entangled oscillation, and the oversold trend suggests that there may be a short-term adjustment probability.
• Trend direction: Although the indicator suggests that the short-term oversold is serious, the moving average is clearly in a downward trend. It is not advisable to rashly buy the bottom. Even if it rises, it is mainly to adjust expectations.

USDCHF 2-hour Chart Analysis

(USDCHF H2 Price Chart, Source: Ultima Markets MT5)

• Stochastic oscillator: The indicator sends a bullish signal during the Asian session, which is contrary to the direction of the daily cycle, and the market price shows a clear rebound trend.
• Oscillation range: After the exchange rate fell below the oscillation range, it has now retreated to around the lower edge of the range, 0.81154. If the exchange rate continues to rise, the next target will be near the black 65-period moving average.

USDCHF PIVIOT INDICATOR

（USDCHFM30, source: Ultima Markets APP）

• According to the trading central pivot line indicator of Ultima Markets APP, the central price of the day is 0.8065,
• Bullish above 0.8065, first target 0.8150, second target 0.8190
• Bearish below 0.8065, first target 0.8040, second target 0.8020

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