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Speculators Continue to Sell US Dollars
v
Skúsení obchodníci
Aug 14, 2012 at 08:29
Commitment of Traders (COT) Report 07 August 2012 - Technical Analysis. Speculators continued to be sellers of the USD during the latest reporting period. Their net position is still long versus the currencies analyzed in this report, but the net USD long has been reduced from 309,663 contracts to just 133,074 contracts in the last three weeks.There does remain a very large Euro and SF short versus a long USD position, and there has been a small reduction in the euro short during the past four weeks. The short has diminished to 167.4K down from a high of 256K on the report of June the 5th. Con...
Speculators Slash USD Net Long Positions
v
Skúsení obchodníci
Aug 09, 2012 at 10:51
In the reporting period ended on July 1st, the aggregate net USD long was reduced by 89.4K contracts, approximately about one third of the previous total long. With the total USD long down to 174,734 contracts, this is the smallest long position specs have had in the USD since the report of May 8 of this year.There continues to be hefty euro/SF shorts against a USD long but these positions are being reduced in an orderly fashion. We suspect the strong volatile euro trade since the end of the report on the 31st has resulted in further liquidation of the short.The other feature in the period h...
When Do We Buy the Swiss Franc?
v
Skúsení obchodníci
Aug 09, 2012 at 10:51
There has been a steady barrage of conflicting information about the euro during the past week. The euro market was deflated after the ECB President Draghi's press conference, but quickly reversed once Spain announced there was a break through, and lower borrowing rates would be available in the near future.Specifics of such a Spanish bail out have yet to be revealed. Further, there continue to be rumors of major disagreements between the Germans, Spanish and the Italians. Spain, not having any debt auctions scheduled until October, does have time to find a way to bring down the borrowing ...
Speculators Increase USD Long and Euro Short
v
Skúsení obchodníci
Jul 17, 2012 at 08:16
Once again currency futures speculators increased their euro and Swiss franc shorts. The total euro short advanced to 204,608 contracts and the SF to 35,035. Since the Swiss National Bank has pegged the franc with the euro, the franc is merely a proxy for the euro. Specs also have a large position, long the DI Index futures contracts. With the market loaded with short euro positions, this might explain Friday rallies in the euro as specs take their money off the table ahead of the weekend. The final CME report from Friday shows the euro volume was down, but only by 4106 contracts. We have...
More Euro Difficulties Seem Likely
v
Obecné
Jul 12, 2012 at 10:58
Yesterday in Madrid Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy, bending to the wishes of Berlin and Brussels, announced the next dose of austerity, intended to produce €65B in savings. The previous austerity measures have sent unemployment soaring, 24% overall and up 50% for the young, and has resulted in contraction of economic activity and reduced tax receipts. The additional austerity will include an increase in the VAT to 21%, (still less than the 23% here in Ireland) a cut in jobless benefits, a salary cut for state employees, and local government reforms, including the elimination of yea...
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