Bitcoin wandering in the range

Expert market comment from senior analyst Alex Kuptsikevich of the FxPro Analyst Team: Bitcoin wandering in the range
FxPro | 729 days ago

Market picture

The cryptocurrency market lost another 0.5% of its capitalisation overnight, to 1.2 trillion. Most losses came on Wednesday afternoon, while capitalisation has risen since Thursday morning. Since last May, the market has failed to develop growth when it reaches levels above 1.22.

The main benchmark and psychological obstacle in this upward march is Bitcoin’s $30K level. It manages to go higher within local impulses for a while, but this only strengthens the local selling. Technically, Bitcoin never managed to break out of the narrow corridor, turning from decline to rise with the start of active trading on Thursday.

This resistance is temporary, and after some consolidation, we should expect a new test of this resistance. At the same time, one should not write off what is happening in the global equity markets. In spring, Bitcoin gained in March on the problems of regional US banks. Still, if the pressure on stocks increases due to the economic slowdown, the correlation between stocks and cryptocurrencies will be positive again.

News background

The Stablecoin sector has yet to fully benefit from Bitcoin’s rally to annual highs, drawing attention from Fitch.

In June, aggregate trading volume on centralised cryptocurrency exchanges rose for the first time since March. According to CCData, the figure rose 14.2% to $2.71 trillion.

In Australia, the offices of Binance were searched as part of an ongoing investigation into the crypto exchange’s activities in the country. An Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) spokesperson said the regulator's probe into the company is ongoing.

Authorities in Denmark have ordered Saxo Bank to curtail cryptocurrency trading. All digital asset positions must be eliminated by 2024, as cryptocurrency trading is not on banks’ list of permitted activities.

Kenya has introduced a 3% tax on cryptocurrency transactions. According to a UN report, Kenya has the fifth highest global adoption of cryptocurrencies, with 8.5% of the country's population owning them.

By the FxPro Analyst Team

Regulation: FCA (UK), SCB (The Bahamas)
read more
Risk-on sentiment fades as tariffs return to the spotlight 

Risk-on sentiment fades as tariffs return to the spotlight 

Dollar surrenders gains posted after robust labour market report; Trump celebrates US budget bill approval; scheduled to sign it today; Most Fed members feel more comfortable as July rate cut is priced out; Oil steadies near $66, gold rally retains momentum;
XM Group | 3h 30min ago
ATFX Market Outlook 4th July 2025

ATFX Market Outlook 4th July 2025

The U.S. economy added 147,000 jobs in June, beating expectations of 110,000, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%. Traders are now betting that the Fed is unlikely to cut rates before September. Meanwhile, the House narrowly passed Trump's major fiscal bill by a vote of 218 to 214. U.S. stocks rallied on Thursday, hitting fresh record highs.
ATFX | 9h 5min ago
Nonfarm payrolls take center stage

Nonfarm payrolls take center stage

Slide in US private payrolls raise concerns about NFP miss - US strikes trade deal with Vietnam ahead of July 9 deadline - Pound feels the heat of fiscal shenanigans - S&P 500 hits fresh record high ahead of jobs report
XM Group | 1 day ago
Rate Shifts Steer FX Markets as Silver Holds Strong

Rate Shifts Steer FX Markets as Silver Holds Strong

On July 3, silver stays firm above $35.40 as Fed cut bets persist. EUR/USD holds near 1.1800, while GBP/USD lingers near 1.3585 ahead of UK jobs data. JPY strengthens after BoJ signals a hawkish pause. AUD/USD slips on weak trade surplus. Focus turns to US NFP and ISM data for market direction before the US holiday break.
Moneta Markets | 1 day ago