Daily Global Market Update

GBP/USD steady, potential decline; BTC/USD up 2.2%, Oil rose 3.3%; AUD/USD down 0.3%. Global: Bitcoin > $45,000; Gold stable, Oil up on Middle East tensions. Key events: US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count, Germany's CPI, Finland's Industrial Output, Austrian Industrial Production, Japan's CFTC JPY NC Net Positions, UK's CFTC GBP NC Net Positions.

Moneta Markets | 515 days ago

Pound's Steady Stance

The Pound Dollar (GBP/USD) pairing remained largely unchanged in the last session. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is emitting a negative signal, suggesting potential downward pressure.

Bitcoin's Significant Surge

The Bitcoin Dollar pair experienced a notable increase of 2.2% in the last session. The Ultimate Oscillator is delivering a positive signal, aligning with the broader technical outlook.

Oil's Price Escalation

The Oil Dollar pair saw a significant rise of 3.3% in the last session. The Ultimate Oscillator is indicating a positive signal, which is consistent with our comprehensive technical analysis.

AUD's Minor Retreat

The Australian Dollar dropped 0.3% against the US Dollar in the last session. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) suggests that we are venturing through an oversold market.

Global Financial Headlines

Bitcoin has surged past the $45,000 mark for the first time since the day following the trading of spot ETFs in January. Gold prices have stabilized amid discussions from US Federal Reserve officials regarding the market's anticipation of early interest rate cuts, offsetting safe-haven demand amidst ongoing talks to conclude the Gaza conflict. Oil prices have increased following Israel's refusal of a ceasefire offer from Hamas, maintaining market tension due to the wider Middle Eastern conflicts that have been ongoing since October.

Today's Economic Highlights

Here's a glance at today's key economic events:

• US Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count - 1800 hours GMT

• Germany's Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices - 0700 hours GMT

• Finland's Industrial Output - 0600 hours GMT

• Austrian Industrial Production - 0800 hours GMT

• Japan's CFTC JPY NC Net Positions - 2030 GMT

• UK's CFTC GBP NC Net Positions - 2030 GMT

Regulation: FSA (Seychelles), FSCA (South Africa)

Central Bank Outlook and Trade Shift Sentiment | 8th July, 2025

On July 8, gold slips below $3,350 as risk appetite improves. Silver holds steady near $36.90, while AUD/USD rises to 0.6855 ahead of the RBA decision. USD/JPY surges above 161.00 as BoJ tightening bets fade. PBOC sets USD/CNY at 7.1534, signaling stability. Focus now shifts to US CPI, central bank guidance, and trade progress for market direction.

Moneta Markets | 4h 57min ago

ATFX Market Outlook 8th July 2025

U.S. President Trump signed an order delaying “reciprocal” tariffs from July 9 to August 1 and warned of steep hikes from that date, escalating trade tensions. U.S. stocks closed sharply lower, with the Dow down 0.94%, the S&P 500 falling 0.79%, and the Nasdaq dropping 0.92%. Tesla also tumbled after Elon Musk announced plans to launch a new political party.

ATFX | 7h 29min ago

ATFX Market Outlook 7th July 2025

U.S. dollar weakened against major currencies after President Trump’s landmark tax cut bill was passed, amid mounting pressure on countries to strike trade deals with Washington. As markets brace for the July 9 tariff deadline—targeting countries like Japan that have yet to reach agreements—the dollar index slipped 0.1% to 96.92.

ATFX | 1 day ago

Dollar Mixed as Tariff Tensions Rise and Jobs Data Buoys Fed Outlook | 4th July, 2025

On July 4, strong U.S. jobs data boosts the dollar, but Trump’s tariff warning sparks trade uncertainty. USD/CAD dips near 1.3600 as oil rebounds; AUD/USD slips below 0.6650. NZD/USD holds near 0.6050, GBP/USD steadies at 1.3650, and USD/CNY stays firm as PBOC signals caution. Markets eye ISM data and tariff updates for next moves.

Moneta Markets | 4 days ago

ATFX Market Outlook 4th July 2025

The U.S. economy added 147,000 jobs in June, beating expectations of 110,000, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%. Traders are now betting that the Fed is unlikely to cut rates before September. Meanwhile, the House narrowly passed Trump's major fiscal bill by a vote of 218 to 214. U.S. stocks rallied on Thursday, hitting fresh record highs.

ATFX | 4 days ago

Rate Shifts Steer FX Markets as Silver Holds Strong

On July 3, silver stays firm above $35.40 as Fed cut bets persist. EUR/USD holds near 1.1800, while GBP/USD lingers near 1.3585 ahead of UK jobs data. JPY strengthens after BoJ signals a hawkish pause. AUD/USD slips on weak trade surplus. Focus turns to US NFP and ISM data for market direction before the US holiday break.

Moneta Markets | 5 days ago

ATFX Market Outlook 3rd July 2025

Wednesday’s ADP report showed a surprise decline of 33,000 private-sector jobs in June, marking the first contraction since March 2023 as economic uncertainty weighed on hiring. U.S. equities surged, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closing at record highs, driven by gains in tech stocks and relief following the U.S.–Vietnam trade agreement, which eased concerns over prolonged trade tensions

ATFX | 5 days ago

GBP/USD at the top of a bullish channel

GBP/USD loses momentum near three-year high, tests the channel’s upper band. Short-term bias remains bullish, but overbought conditions are evident. Bullish outlook remains intact above 1.3450.

XM Group | 6 days ago

EURUSD	1.17279	GBPUSD	1.35826	AUDUSD	0.65412
USDJPY	146.294	USDCAD	1.36523	USDCHF	0.79713