EBC Markets Briefing | Wall St tumbles on strong NFP report

US stocks dropped Friday, with the S&P 500 wiping out 2025 gains, as a strong jobs report fueled cautious Fed rate cut expectations.

US stocks sold off on Friday, with the S&P 500 erasing its 2025 gains, after an upbeat jobs report has reinforced bets that the Fed will be cautious in cutting interest rates this year.

Investors were confident that the Goldilocks scenario of falling prices, a resilient economy and gradual policy easing will prevail. But concerns remained over how Trump’s second term will unfold.

Futures options markets showed 10-year Treasury yield could head higher to 5% in the near term. There is still room for equities to fall further as the yield levels have been painful for them in recent years.

Magnificent Seven are expected to post a combined earnings increase of 18% this year, down from a projected 34% for 2024, according to data compiled by BI. And the rally will have to broaden out beyond them.

The technology behemoths will likely struggle to dominate the market in 2025 as earnings growth decelerates, said Morgan Stanley. BofA also warned growth expectations for the group approached all-time highs.

Three of 11 sectors in the S&P 500 are poised to have seen profit growth accelerate by double digits in Q4, including communication services and technology, along with previously unloved groups like health care.

The benchmark index dipped below the low of 5815.8 hit on 20 December, and the continued bearish bias indicated it could dip below 5,780 in the near term. A trend reversal demands its break above 50 SMA.

EBC Financial Risk Management Disclaimer: This material is for general information purposes only and is not intended as (and should not be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by EBC Financial News or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.

Regulation: FCA (UK), ASIC (Australia), CIMA (Cayman Islands)
read more
US tariff letters boost dollar, dent risk appetite 

US tariff letters boost dollar, dent risk appetite 

Trump letters and August 1 deadline in focus; Dollar strengthens as both China and the EU avoid tariff letters; Equities are wobbly, while gold confirms lingering demand; Aussie gains as RBA surprises by keeping rates unchanged
XM Group | 11h 57min ago
EUR/USD Declines as Markets Await US Tariff Developments

EUR/USD Declines as Markets Await US Tariff Developments

The EUR/USD pair dropped to 1.1746 on Tuesday, with the US dollar holding a slight edge before correcting. The greenback faced pressure after Donald Trump announced new tariffs on 14 countries that have yet to secure trade agreements with the US.
RoboForex | 12h 33min ago
Central Bank Outlook and Trade Shift Sentiment | 8th July, 2025

Central Bank Outlook and Trade Shift Sentiment | 8th July, 2025

On July 8, gold slips below $3,350 as risk appetite improves. Silver holds steady near $36.90, while AUD/USD rises to 0.6855 ahead of the RBA decision. USD/JPY surges above 161.00 as BoJ tightening bets fade. PBOC sets USD/CNY at 7.1534, signaling stability. Focus now shifts to US CPI, central bank guidance, and trade progress for market direction.
Moneta Markets | 15h 7min ago
ATFX Market Outlook 8th July 2025

ATFX Market Outlook 8th July 2025

U.S. President Trump signed an order delaying “reciprocal” tariffs from July 9 to August 1 and warned of steep hikes from that date, escalating trade tensions. U.S. stocks closed sharply lower, with the Dow down 0.94%, the S&P 500 falling 0.79%, and the Nasdaq dropping 0.92%. Tesla also tumbled after Elon Musk announced plans to launch a new political party.
ATFX | 17h 39min ago
Markets await trade deals as Trump makes new tariff threats

Markets await trade deals as Trump makes new tariff threats

Dollar edges higher, gold slips despite confusion and renewed trade tensions. Trump delays tariff deadline to August 1, says trade deals are close. Wall Street hits record after Congress passes Big Beautiful Bill. Oil recovers from lows after OPEC+ hikes output more than expected.
XM Group | 1 day ago