GBP/USD battles with SMAs within sideways channel

GBP/USD continues its consolidating move; Medium-term uptrend line acts as strong support: RSI and MACD are weakening
XM Group | 490 days ago

GBP/USD is still holding near the mid-level of the medium-term trading range of 1.2520-1.2785. The pair is battling with the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at 1.2673 again, with the technical oscillators suggesting weak momentum on price. The MACD is flattening near its trigger and zero lines, while the RSI is pointing slightly down, trying to cross below the 50 level. 

In the case of more notable gains, the pair may manage to hit the upper boundary of the consolidation area at 1.2785 ahead of the five-month peak of 1.2825. Steeper increases could drive the market towards the 1.3000 psychological mark. 

On the other hand, some critical levels are waiting the price for a turning move from the price such as the 20- and the 200-day SMAs at 1.2630 and 1.2575 around the longer-term uptrend line. Beneath these lines, the 1.2495-1.2520 support region may halt bearish actions before resting near 1.2370 bar. 

All in all, GBP/USD has been lacking clear direction over the last three months, but a closing day below the supportive trend line would change the outlook to negative.

 

Regulation: CySEC (Cyprus), FSC (Belize), DFSA (UAE), FSCA (South Africa)
read more
ATFX Market Outlook 8th July 2025

ATFX Market Outlook 8th July 2025

U.S. President Trump signed an order delaying “reciprocal” tariffs from July 9 to August 1 and warned of steep hikes from that date, escalating trade tensions. U.S. stocks closed sharply lower, with the Dow down 0.94%, the S&P 500 falling 0.79%, and the Nasdaq dropping 0.92%. Tesla also tumbled after Elon Musk announced plans to launch a new political party.
ATFX | 1 day ago
ATFX Market Outlook 7th July 2025

ATFX Market Outlook 7th July 2025

U.S. dollar weakened against major currencies after President Trump’s landmark tax cut bill was passed, amid mounting pressure on countries to strike trade deals with Washington. As markets brace for the July 9 tariff deadline—targeting countries like Japan that have yet to reach agreements—the dollar index slipped 0.1% to 96.92.
ATFX | 2 days ago
ATFX Market Outlook 4th July 2025

ATFX Market Outlook 4th July 2025

The U.S. economy added 147,000 jobs in June, beating expectations of 110,000, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%. Traders are now betting that the Fed is unlikely to cut rates before September. Meanwhile, the House narrowly passed Trump's major fiscal bill by a vote of 218 to 214. U.S. stocks rallied on Thursday, hitting fresh record highs.
ATFX | 5 days ago
Rate Shifts Steer FX Markets as Silver Holds Strong

Rate Shifts Steer FX Markets as Silver Holds Strong

On July 3, silver stays firm above $35.40 as Fed cut bets persist. EUR/USD holds near 1.1800, while GBP/USD lingers near 1.3585 ahead of UK jobs data. JPY strengthens after BoJ signals a hawkish pause. AUD/USD slips on weak trade surplus. Focus turns to US NFP and ISM data for market direction before the US holiday break.
Moneta Markets | 6 days ago
ATFX Market Outlook 3rd July 2025

ATFX Market Outlook 3rd July 2025

Wednesday’s ADP report showed a surprise decline of 33,000 private-sector jobs in June, marking the first contraction since March 2023 as economic uncertainty weighed on hiring. U.S. equities surged, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closing at record highs, driven by gains in tech stocks and relief following the U.S.–Vietnam trade agreement, which eased concerns over prolonged trade tensions
ATFX | 6 days ago
GBP/USD at the top of a bullish channel

GBP/USD at the top of a bullish channel

GBP/USD loses momentum near three-year high, tests the channel’s upper band. Short-term bias remains bullish, but overbought conditions are evident. Bullish outlook remains intact above 1.3450.
XM Group | 6 days ago
Dollar Rebounds, Risk FX Holds Strong | 2nd July, 2025

Dollar Rebounds, Risk FX Holds Strong | 2nd July, 2025

On July 2, the USD stabilizes as Fed rate cut bets build. GBP/USD nears 1.3750 highs, NZD/USD extends above 0.6120, and AUD/USD holds near 0.6820 despite soft retail sales. USD/JPY recovers to 146.20, while silver dips below $36. Markets await US labor data and Fed remarks for direction ahead of July 4.
Moneta Markets | 7 days ago