Market Update: March 17, 2025

Financial markets are buzzing with activity driven by fresh economic data, shifting sentiment, and commodity movements. Here’s a look at the hottest developments shaping today’s market, focusing on WTI crude oil, the US Dollar Index, EUR/USD, and gold:

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WTI Crude Oil Rises Above $67.50

WTI crude oil prices are climbing, trading above $67.50 per barrel in the early Asian session. This uptick follows a positive shift in risk sentiment and a rebound in oil prices. Despite ongoing US tariff uncertainties, optimism around US-Canada trade talks and a weaker US Dollar are supporting this recovery, though gains remain cautious as traders eye global demand signals.

US Dollar Index Struggles Near 103.70

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is under pressure, trading around 103.70 during Asian hours, close to its lowest levels since early November. After failing to sustain recent gains, the DXY is grappling with fresh selling amid tariff-related slowdown fears and a high probability of no Fed rate change soon. The index’s vulnerability persists as markets await further US economic cues.

EUR/USD Holds Above 1.0900

The Euro (EUR) against the US Dollar (USD) remains firm above 1.0900, capitalizing on the Greenback’s weakness in early trading. This stability follows a strong run, driven by optimism over Germany’s fiscal plans and a softer USD post-CPI. With the pair near a four-month high, traders are watching for catalysts to push it toward the psychological 1.1000 level or trigger a pullback.

Gold Slips Below $3,000

Gold prices (XAU/USD) are edging lower, dipping below the $3,000 mark to around $2,986 in early trading. Despite a year-long surge fueled by trade tensions and Fed rate-cut bets, this slight retreat reflects profit-taking and a modest USD bounce. Gold remains close to its all-time peak, with safe-haven demand still underpinning its broader bullish trend.

Broader Market Context

Markets are at a crossroads. WTI crude oil’s rise signals cautious optimism, while the US Dollar Index’s struggles highlight ongoing economic uncertainty tied to US tariffs. EUR/USD’s strength underscores the Euro’s resilience, contrasting with gold’s minor pullback from record highs. As risk sentiment improves slightly, the interplay of US data releases and global trade developments will likely dictate whether these trends deepen or shift. Ready to trade these market moves? Create an account now and stay ahead of the curve!

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ATFX Market Outlook 4th July 2025

The U.S. economy added 147,000 jobs in June, beating expectations of 110,000, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%. Traders are now betting that the Fed is unlikely to cut rates before September. Meanwhile, the House narrowly passed Trump's major fiscal bill by a vote of 218 to 214. U.S. stocks rallied on Thursday, hitting fresh record highs.

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Gold declines as trade optimism reduces safe-haven demand, while a weak dollar limits losses

On Thursday, the price of gold fell to 3,340 USD per troy ounce, partially correcting the previous day’s gains. The decline reflects growing optimism over trade agreements, which reduced demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.

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Rate Shifts Steer FX Markets as Silver Holds Strong

On July 3, silver stays firm above $35.40 as Fed cut bets persist. EUR/USD holds near 1.1800, while GBP/USD lingers near 1.3585 ahead of UK jobs data. JPY strengthens after BoJ signals a hawkish pause. AUD/USD slips on weak trade surplus. Focus turns to US NFP and ISM data for market direction before the US holiday break.

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ATFX Market Outlook 3rd July 2025

Wednesday’s ADP report showed a surprise decline of 33,000 private-sector jobs in June, marking the first contraction since March 2023 as economic uncertainty weighed on hiring. U.S. equities surged, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closing at record highs, driven by gains in tech stocks and relief following the U.S.–Vietnam trade agreement, which eased concerns over prolonged trade tensions

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ATFX Market Outlook 2nd July 2025

Fed Chairman Powell emphasised the need for more data before considering interest rate cuts, with a July cut still a possibility. On Tuesday, the Nasdaq and S&P 500 closed lower due to weakness in large tech stocks, with the Nasdaq down 0.82% and the S&P 500 down 0.11%. In contrast, the Dow rose by 0.91% amid volatile trading and low liquidity.

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EURUSD hits another milestone

EURUSD upgrades short-term outlook as non-stop rally reaches 1.1800. Technical picture reflects cooling buying interest.

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US500, EURUSD, USDJPY

New record high for US 500 amid relief rally; Eurozone preliminary CPI to be within ECB’s target; EURUSD hits 4-year high; US NFP report the highlight of the week; USDJPY eases

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Gold Slips, Dollar Dips as Risk Sentiment Improves | 30th June, 2025

Gold dips toward $3,250 as risk sentiment improves and safe-haven demand fades. EUR/USD and GBP/USD stay firm above 1.1700 and 1.3700, while USD/CAD weakens to 1.3650 on rising oil and trade hopes. Trump's renewed Fed criticism shakes USD sentiment ahead of key inflation and GDP data this week.

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EURUSD	1.17794	GBPUSD	1.36508	AUDUSD	0.65517
USDJPY	144.385	USDCAD	1.35972	USDCHF	0.79384