Weekly Market Analysis: US Dollar Focus, RBA Interest Rates & New Zealand Unemployment Data

As I kick off another week of market analysis, I can't help but dive straight into the latest Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data, which dropped unexpectedly higher last Friday. My prediction of a stronger NFP turned out to be accurate, indicating a positive trend in job additions.

As I kick off another week of market analysis, I can't help but dive straight into the latest Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data, which dropped unexpectedly higher last Friday. My prediction of a stronger NFP turned out to be accurate, indicating a positive trend in job additions.

But before we delve deeper into the week ahead, I want to extend a warm invitation to register for tomorrow's webinar, scheduled from 6 to 7 p.m. Sydney time. Your participation will add immense value to our discussion.

Register Here for the Webinar: https://acy.com/en/education/webinars/

Now, let's dissect the NFP figures. The forecast stood at 180,000, but the actual numbers soared to an impressive 353,000, nearly doubling the expectations. This surge is attributed to the heightened demand for labor during the festive season, reflecting a robust job market.

Looking forward, this week holds several key events. Today, we witnessed Fed Chair Powell's address on CBS's 60 Minutes, shedding light on monetary policies. Tomorrow, we anticipate the release of services PMI and non-manufacturing PMI data for January, expected to reflect December's economic activities.

Australia's retail sales and the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) interest rate decision also loom on the horizon. Despite speculation, I believe the RBA will maintain its current rates, given the steady decline in inflation over the past year.

Wednesday brings New Zealand's employment change and unemployment rate updates for the fourth quarter, crucial indicators for assessing the country's economic performance.

Thursday remains relatively quiet, with crude oil investors taking center stage. However, Friday's German CPI and initial jobless claims in the US demand our attention, signaling potential market fluctuations.

As we navigate through these developments, I encourage you to share this video with friends eager to stay informed about the week's market dynamics. Your questions and comments are always welcome below, as we embark on another insightful journey together.

Here's to a rewarding trading week ahead, filled with opportunities and informed decision-making. Let's make it count!

Catch up with the latest news and market analysis here https://acy.com/en/market-news

This content may have been written by a third party. ACY makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or other information supplied by any third-party. This content is information only, and does not constitute financial, investment or other advice on which you can rely.

Regulation: ASIC (Australia), FSCA (South Africa)
read more
Markets in Flux: Gold Slips on USD Demand as WTI Rallies Amid Geopolitical Concerns | 26th August 2025

Markets in Flux: Gold Slips on USD Demand as WTI Rallies Amid Geopolitical Concerns | 26th August 2025

WTI rallies above $63.50 as fading hopes for a Russia-Ukraine peace deal boost oil prices. Gold struggles near $3,330 despite Fed rate cut bets, while silver holds firm near $39.00. AUD/USD climbs toward 0.6550 on risk appetite and dovish Fed tone, while USD/CAD stays weak near 1.3500 as oil strength supports the loonie. Markets now eye U.S. jobs and inflation data for direction.
Moneta Markets | 7h 59min ago
Dollar wobbles as Trump tries to fire Fed’s Lisa Cook

Dollar wobbles as Trump tries to fire Fed’s Lisa Cook

Fed’s independence under attack again as Trump wants to oust Lisa Cook. Dollar skids but later recovers, US yield curve steepens slightly, gold edges up. Stocks turn negative as Fed rally fades, PCE inflation awaited. Euro slips as French government at risk of collapse.
XM Group | 9h 18min ago
ATFX ​Market Outlook 26th August 2025

ATFX ​Market Outlook 26th August 2025

U.S. new home sales in July declined as persistently high mortgage rates continued to dampen housing demand. U.S. equities closed lower on Monday, with investors weighing the interest rate outlook while focusing on NVIDIA’s upcoming quarterly earnings, all while digesting last Friday’s strong rebound. The Dow Jones fell 0.77%, the S&P 500 lost 0.43%, and the Nasdaq slipped 0.2%.
ATFX | 10h 18min ago
US 30, EURUSD, USDJPY

US 30, EURUSD, USDJPY

Soft US PCE may support September rate cut; US 30 hits record high; German, French, Italian CPI could guide ECB outlook; EURUSD hovers near 1.1700; Tokyo CPI may prompt BoJ action; USDJPY remains range-bound
XM Group | 11h 49min ago