Daily Global Market Update

Oil prices edged up, with positive technical signals. The Australian Dollar appears oversold, while the Euro shows positive momentum. The Dollar-Yen pair is overbought. Global equities rallied, driven by positive inflation data and eased government shutdown fears. Key economic data releases today include Austria's Producer Price Index, Japan's Manufacturing PMI, and the US Chicago PMI.

Moneta Markets | 188 days ago

Oil's Upward Momentum

Oil gained 0.7% against the dollar in the last session. The Stochastic RSI is signalling a positive trend.

Aussie Dollar's Oversold Territory

The AUD/USD pair traded sideways in the last session. The Stochastic indicator suggests the market is currently oversold.

Euro's Positive Signal

The EUR/USD pair traded sideways in the last session. The Williams Percent Range indicator is providing a positive signal.

Dollar Yen's Overbought Conditions

The USD/JPY pair made a minor downward correction, dropping 0.1% in the last session. The Stochastic indicator suggests the market is currently overbought.

Global Financial Headlines

Global equity funds saw sharp inflows this past week, buoyed by a positive US inflation report and relief from avoiding a government shutdown, boosting investor confidence in risk assets. Meanwhile, United Health and a Medici's merger faces delays under close scrutiny from the US Department of Justice. US stocks had a banner year in 2024, with the S&P 500 up by 25% and the NASDAQ Composite up by over 31%.

Upcoming Economic Highlights

Key economic events to monitor include:

• Austria's Producer Price Index - 8:00 GMT

• Japan's Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI - 03:00 GMT

• US Chicago Purchasing Managers Index - 14:45 GMT

• US 6-Month Bill Auction - 16:30 GMT

• Spain's Current Account Balance - 09:00 GMT

• Japan's CFTC JPY NCET Positions - 20:30 GMT

Regulation: FSA (Seychelles), FSCA (South Africa)

Dollar Mixed as Tariff Tensions Rise and Jobs Data Buoys Fed Outlook | 4th July, 2025

On July 4, strong U.S. jobs data boosts the dollar, but Trump’s tariff warning sparks trade uncertainty. USD/CAD dips near 1.3600 as oil rebounds; AUD/USD slips below 0.6650. NZD/USD holds near 0.6050, GBP/USD steadies at 1.3650, and USD/CNY stays firm as PBOC signals caution. Markets eye ISM data and tariff updates for next moves.

Moneta Markets | 2 days ago

ATFX Market Outlook 4th July 2025

The U.S. economy added 147,000 jobs in June, beating expectations of 110,000, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%. Traders are now betting that the Fed is unlikely to cut rates before September. Meanwhile, the House narrowly passed Trump's major fiscal bill by a vote of 218 to 214. U.S. stocks rallied on Thursday, hitting fresh record highs.

ATFX | 2 days ago

Rate Shifts Steer FX Markets as Silver Holds Strong

On July 3, silver stays firm above $35.40 as Fed cut bets persist. EUR/USD holds near 1.1800, while GBP/USD lingers near 1.3585 ahead of UK jobs data. JPY strengthens after BoJ signals a hawkish pause. AUD/USD slips on weak trade surplus. Focus turns to US NFP and ISM data for market direction before the US holiday break.

Moneta Markets | 3 days ago

ATFX Market Outlook 3rd July 2025

Wednesday’s ADP report showed a surprise decline of 33,000 private-sector jobs in June, marking the first contraction since March 2023 as economic uncertainty weighed on hiring. U.S. equities surged, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closing at record highs, driven by gains in tech stocks and relief following the U.S.–Vietnam trade agreement, which eased concerns over prolonged trade tensions

ATFX | 3 days ago

Dollar Rebounds, Risk FX Holds Strong | 2nd July, 2025

On July 2, the USD stabilizes as Fed rate cut bets build. GBP/USD nears 1.3750 highs, NZD/USD extends above 0.6120, and AUD/USD holds near 0.6820 despite soft retail sales. USD/JPY recovers to 146.20, while silver dips below $36. Markets await US labor data and Fed remarks for direction ahead of July 4.

Moneta Markets | 4 days ago

ATFX Market Outlook 2nd July 2025

Fed Chairman Powell emphasised the need for more data before considering interest rate cuts, with a July cut still a possibility. On Tuesday, the Nasdaq and S&P 500 closed lower due to weakness in large tech stocks, with the Nasdaq down 0.82% and the S&P 500 down 0.11%. In contrast, the Dow rose by 0.91% amid volatile trading and low liquidity.

ATFX | 4 days ago

EURUSD hits another milestone

EURUSD upgrades short-term outlook as non-stop rally reaches 1.1800. Technical picture reflects cooling buying interest.

XM Group | 5 days ago

WTI Slides as Geopolitical Risks Ease | 1st July, 2025

WTI dips below $64.50 as Middle East tensions ease, dampening supply fears. Silver struggles under $36, while AUD and NZD stay muted on weak China PMI. USD/JPY steadies near 145.90, and the yen holds gains on USD weakness. Traders now eye US ISM PMI and Fed minutes for clues on policy and market direction.

Moneta Markets | 5 days ago

EURUSD	1.17692	GBPUSD	1.36308	AUDUSD	0.65236
USDJPY	144.808	USDCAD	1.36198	USDCHF	0.7946