Daily Global Market Update

Oil prices edged up, with positive technical signals. The Australian Dollar appears oversold, while the Euro shows positive momentum. The Dollar-Yen pair is overbought. Global equities rallied, driven by positive inflation data and eased government shutdown fears. Key economic data releases today include Austria's Producer Price Index, Japan's Manufacturing PMI, and the US Chicago PMI.

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Oil's Upward Momentum

Oil gained 0.7% against the dollar in the last session. The Stochastic RSI is signalling a positive trend.

Aussie Dollar's Oversold Territory

The AUD/USD pair traded sideways in the last session. The Stochastic indicator suggests the market is currently oversold.

Euro's Positive Signal

The EUR/USD pair traded sideways in the last session. The Williams Percent Range indicator is providing a positive signal.

Dollar Yen's Overbought Conditions

The USD/JPY pair made a minor downward correction, dropping 0.1% in the last session. The Stochastic indicator suggests the market is currently overbought.

Global Financial Headlines

Global equity funds saw sharp inflows this past week, buoyed by a positive US inflation report and relief from avoiding a government shutdown, boosting investor confidence in risk assets. Meanwhile, United Health and a Medici's merger faces delays under close scrutiny from the US Department of Justice. US stocks had a banner year in 2024, with the S&P 500 up by 25% and the NASDAQ Composite up by over 31%.

Upcoming Economic Highlights

Key economic events to monitor include:

• Austria's Producer Price Index - 8:00 GMT

• Japan's Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI - 03:00 GMT

• US Chicago Purchasing Managers Index - 14:45 GMT

• US 6-Month Bill Auction - 16:30 GMT

• Spain's Current Account Balance - 09:00 GMT

• Japan's CFTC JPY NCET Positions - 20:30 GMT

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USDJPY, GBPUSD, BTCUSD

US CPI may offer clues on Fed's next move; USDJPY points up; UK CPI expected to remain steady; GBPUSD tilts down; Bitcoin flies above 123,000; next target at 125,000

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USD/JPY Extends Gains as Market Monitors US Tariff Policy

The USD/JPY pair climbed to 147.42 on Monday. Early in the session, the yen staged a partial recovery from last week’s losses amid heightened global trade risks, but the rebound proved short-lived as the currency resumed its downward trajectory.

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Gold Shines as Trade Tensions Rise

On July 14, global markets turned risk-off after President Trump revived tariff threats targeting the EU and Canada. Gold surged past $3,350 on safe-haven bids, while USD/CAD spiked near 1.3700. EUR/USD rebounded toward 1.1700, and NZD/USD slid below 0.6000 ahead of key Chinese trade data. GBP/USD remained pressured around 1.3500 amid Brexit silence.

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ATFX Market Outlook 14th July 2025

Trump issued a letter late on Thursday that said a 35% tariff rate on all imports from Canada would apply from August 1. Wall Street ended lower on Friday, with Meta Platforms weighing on the S&P 500 after President Donald Trump intensified his tariff offensive against Canada, amplifying the uncertainty swirling around U.S. trade policy.

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USD/JPY Climbs as Yen Struggles Amid Trade Tensions

On Friday, the USD/JPY pair advanced to 146.93, marking a three-week high as the US dollar continued to strengthen against a backdrop of escalating global trade tensions.

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Dollar Dominates After Trump’s Trade Strike| 11th July, 2025

On July 10, silver extends gains toward $36.50 amid rising macro uncertainty and safe-haven demand. The US Dollar weakens, boosting AUD and NZD. USD/JPY trims early losses as BoJ hike hopes fade, while EUR/JPY retreats from highs on softening sentiment. Markets brace for US Jobless Claims to guide the next leg in global risk and Fed rate expectations.

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ATFX Market Outlook 11th July 2025

U.S. stock indices, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, closed slightly higher on Thursday, both reaching new record closing highs. Optimism was boosted by Delta Air Lines' positive earnings forecast and Nvidia's record-breaking market capitalisation, helping investors remain unfazed by Trump’s latest tariff announcements.

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ATFX Market Outlook 10th July 2025

U.S. President Donald Trump announced new tariffs on seven countries, stating earlier this week that a 25% tariff would be imposed on Japan and other trade partners starting in August. Despite this, Wall Street closed higher on Wednesday, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq leading the gains.

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EURUSD	1.16651	GBPUSD	1.34237	AUDUSD	0.6548
USDJPY	147.719	USDCAD	1.3701	USDCHF	0.7978