EUR/USD finds support at the 200-day SMA

EURUSD had been rangebound before sliding lower - But the retreat ceases at the 200-day SMA - Momentum indicators remain tilted to the downside
XM Group | 582 days ago

EURUSD had been trading sideways since the beginning of the year following its pullback from the December high of 1.1138. The pair spiked lower on Tuesday, but the congested region that includes the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) and the top of the Ichimoku cloud rejected further retreats.

Considering that both the RSI and stochastics are deep in their negative zones, the price could revisit its recent support of 1.0843, which overlaps with the 200-day SMA. Piercing through that wall, the pair may challenge the December bottom of 1.0722. Even lower, the 1.0634 barricade could provide downside protection.

On the flipside, should the pair rotate higher, the November resistance of 1.0964 could prove to be the first barrier for the bulls to overcome. A violation of that territory could pave the way for the November high of 1.1016. Further advances may then encounter resistance at the April peak of 1.1094.

In brief, EURUSD has lost some ground in the short term, but the 200-day SMA prevented a steep decline for now. Therefore, the bulls could continue to hope for a recovery as long as the latter holds its ground.

Regulation: CySEC (Cyprus), FSC (Belize), DFSA (UAE), FSCA (South Africa)
read more
ATFX ​Market Outlook 22nd August 2025

ATFX ​Market Outlook 22nd August 2025

Ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech tonight, three Fed officials poured cold water on expectations of a September rate cut. U.S. PMI data showed stronger business activity in August, but weekly jobless claims posted the most significant increase in nearly three months, highlighting continued labor market weakness.
ATFX | 17h 4min ago
Eurozone PMI in Focus as Dollar Holds Strong | 21st August 2025

Eurozone PMI in Focus as Dollar Holds Strong | 21st August 2025

FX markets tread cautiously ahead of Eurozone PMI and FOMC minutes. EUR/USD holds near 1.1650 under dollar pressure, while GBP/USD slips toward 1.3400 on sticky UK inflation. USD/JPY steadies in the mid-147s, EUR/JPY consolidates near 171.70, and USD/CAD hovers at 1.3880 with oil gains offering little relief. Traders eye PMI prints and Fed signals for direction.
Moneta Markets | 1 day ago
ATFX ​Market Outlook 21st August 2025

ATFX ​Market Outlook 21st August 2025

The FOMC minutes revealed that only two Fed policymakers supported a rate cut in September. U.S. equities fell on Wednesday, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 pressured by a tech selloff as investors rotated into lower-valued sectors, while awaiting comments from Fed officials at the Jackson Hole symposium later this week. The Dow edged up 0.04%, the S&P 500 slipped 0.24%, and the Nasdaq lost 0.67%.
ATFX | 1 day ago
ATFX Market Outlook 20th August 2025

ATFX Market Outlook 20th August 2025

The U.S. increased tariffs on 407 products, with steel and aluminium duties reaching as high as 50%. U.S. equities declined on Tuesday, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 pushed lower by technology shares, while investors looked ahead to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech later this week at the central bank’s annual symposium. 
ATFX | 2 days ago
ATFX ​Market Outlook 19th August 2025

ATFX ​Market Outlook 19th August 2025

U.S. equities ended Monday little changed as investors struggled for direction, awaiting earnings reports from major retailers for further clues on the economic outlook, while also focusing on the upcoming Federal Reserve symposium in Jackson Hole. The Dow Jones slipped 0.08%, the S&P 500 edged down 0.03%, and the Nasdaq inched up 0.01%.
ATFX | 3 days ago
ATFX Market Outlook 18th August 2025

ATFX Market Outlook 18th August 2025

U. S. July retail sales showed strong growth, though the chance of a 25 bps September Fed cut slipped from 94% to 89%. Preliminary Michigan data signaled weaker consumer sentiment, while Trump called his first meeting with Putin in six years “productive.” 
ATFX | 4 days ago