Slower US inflation clears the way for a rate cut

Expert market comment made by senior analyst Alex Kuptsikevich of the FxPro Analyst Team: Slower US inflation clears the way for a rate cut
FxPro | 384 days ago
Stocktwits

Inflation in America came out weaker than expected, actualising the question of a key rate cut. This is negative news for the dollar, which at the same time fuels appetite for equities.

The Consumer Price Index was virtually unchanged last month, showing 0.0% m/m and slowing on an annualised basis to 3.3% y/y. Average forecasts had expected to see figures 0.1 percentage point higher. However, market reaction shows that some traders were tuning in for an "upside surprise".

The core CPI, which excludes changes in food and energy prices, showed an even more significant decline. It rose 0.2% m/m (the lowest since October 2023) and slowed to 3.4% y/y (the lowest in three years).

The fresh data is a sigh of relief for the Fed, which will put interest rate cuts back on the near-term agenda. The markets will probably get stronger in expectations of 2 rate cuts this year, soon joining other G7 central banks that have already started easing.

By the FxPro Analyst Team

Regulation: FCA (UK), SCB (The Bahamas)
Tags: Analysis
Stocktwits
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ATFX Economic Calendar- 2025.06.30~2025.07.04

ATFX Economic Calendar- 2025.06.30~2025.07.04

The ATFX Weekly Economic Calendar is a comprehensive resource designed to help traders and investors stay ahead of market-moving events. It outlines key economic data releases, central bank meetings, speeches, and geopolitical events for the week. This calendar provides a strategic tool for navigating global markets, offering insights into potential volatility triggers across multiple asset.
ATFX | 11h 4min ago
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WTI dips below $64.50 as Middle East tensions ease, dampening supply fears. Silver struggles under $36, while AUD and NZD stay muted on weak China PMI. USD/JPY steadies near 145.90, and the yen holds gains on USD weakness. Traders now eye US ISM PMI and Fed minutes for clues on policy and market direction.
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US500, EURUSD, USDJPY

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Trade optimism boosts Fed rate cut bets

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XM Group | 1 day ago
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