Suppose I am in a buy trade of lot 0.1 entered at 3, currently at 4 and my target is at 5. If I put huge sell limit order of around 10 lots at 5 or 6 or around 5 will it have an impact of driving the market up. Or for that logic If I put huge buy stop order of around 10 lots at 5 or 6 or around 5 will it have an impact of driving the market up. Or atleast even a slight impact.
I think so because the market is designed to fulfill maximum orders in possibility range. Like SL if not low enough, will be instantly hit. Same goes for TP.
This was just a wildcard guess. Pls help experienced traders.
Price only changes when a transaction occurs. So an offer means nothing unless it is accepted. You may have a car that you value highly but you won't know the true value until someone hands you cash for it and the value then becomes that price that you exchanged at, not what you had in your mind, or advertised.
Now clusters of orders(stop or limit) will affect behaviour of price action when triggered. Stop orders(normal stop orders & stoplosses) will trigger a run of pricing as they are often clustered together(fibonacci, last bar high.low, etc). That is why you should think of stop orders as breakout orders. Often this price behaviour is thought to be stop-hunting but it is actually normal market behaviour.
Limit orders on the other hand tend to create resistance when they are clustered together. They are often clustered together for similar reasons to the stop-orders.
But to emphasize, until they are triggered they cannot affect the price.
I do have some reservations though.......that study is over 10 years old, so I'm not sure how things would have changed with today's technology. Also I have reservations about applicability to the FX market, given the size and decentralised nature, relative to the market that they studied.
No u don't stand corrected. Ofc limit orders won't make a market move. But just as theoretically when u jump earth moves with u, similarly there will be an unnoticed, theoretical Impact of Limit orders which is so small that none of us traders or even big banks need to worry about it.
BTW,Facts don't get old, Elliot wave has been with us since 1930, Fibonacci from 1200AD, so is this research even if it is 10 years old. With today's technology this research was possible to be made which had been hidden from our eyes for so long. Lastly 'about applicability to the FX market, given the size and decentralized nature, relative to the market that they studied', this fact is irrelevant to the type of market or its size, this effect may get magnified or diminished depending on a lot more factors than comprehend-able from a comment. Even when magnified it may still not be noticeable until a very small local market with global product demand is being studied.
So, u might wanna go through this paper before de crediting an honorable research.
@rosellemunsays You are contradicting your statement, So be cl,ar with a fact. Question is if the order will have value or not, little value, very little value or great value is out of question for now. You say 'price will change only if a transaction occurs' and then you contradict it with 'Limit orders often create a resistance. ' Limit order in not a transaction taken place. It is still pending order.
ANd most imptotantly, you are wrong at 'price will change only if a transaction occurs', it changes with changes in supply and demand, these supply and demand is represented by pending orders. Ever seen CFTC data /? they dont even consider trades done by us or even our brokers. Reason being that we can never match the volume of transaction done by banks and speculators. We can not even place a pending order large enough to be of their interest. ANd these firms dont place market order. Their's are always pending orders, so yes pending orders do affect the maket.
Try rading the research paper mentioned above to be clear on this topic. 'Market Impact of a Limit Order' by Nikolaus Hautsch* Ruihong Huang*. We cant be a trader, and will always remain a gambler if we dont try to see how the market is working.
Transaction is not an interesting factor for price change. It's a basic fact that as a transaction occurs, demand & supply will decrease by an equal quantity and so their ratio will change that'll change price.
Interesting point to ponder is that price will change even without transactions taking place. It's just a matter of either side giving up first or various other reasons. For e.g there has been no transactions for gold taking place since a month or two and today we discover the largest mine of ready to supply gold in Africa, the price of gold will take a great fall even if no transactions occur and just on the basis of news alone.
So there is a difference between transactions taking place and changes in supply and demand taking place.
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